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CricketEngland tour of Australia, 2026 · match 3 of 8

Australia vs England 3rd ODI prediction

By Goexch Cricket Desk, match analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictStrong lean

On our numbers, Australia win 62% of the time against England, which makes this a strong lean. We expect 351 from Australia and 348 from England at Bellerive Oval, where the batters should have the edge. The match starts Wed, 18 Nov 2026 (start time not yet confirmed).

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. AustraliaPick

    62%
    Back1.61Lay1.61
  2. England

    38%
    Back2.63Lay2.63
Start
TBC
time
Date
Wed, 18 Nov 2026
Venue
Bellerive Oval, Hobart

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

AUS vs ENG 3rd ODI in brief

  • Australia at 62%, a strong lean. Back only at 1.61 or bigger.
  • Pitch suits batters, and Australia are projected to post the bigger total.
  • Australia are playing in home conditions.
Goexch pick
Australia
Format
ODI · 50 overs
Pitch
flat, high-scoring
Favours
Batters

Exchange plan

How should you trade AUS vs ENG on Goexch?

Our fair prices for both sides. Back the pick at the price or bigger; lay the outsider at the price or smaller.

  1. Back62% chance

    Australia1.61

    Take 1.61 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.61 returns ₹161, stake included.

  2. Lay38% chance

    England2.63

    Lay only at 2.63 or smaller. At 2.63, a ₹100 lay risks ₹163 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

The pitch comes first, followed by the two factors with the most influence on this match.

  1. Pitch read

    Edge: Even

    Batters can trust the bounce from the first ball. Bowlers need clear plans, because anything full or wide goes to the rope. Both sides will rely on the batters, so the deeper attack matters.

  2. Toss call

    Edge: Even

    The toss barely matters. Both sides will expect to score big whichever way it falls.

  3. Even batting

    Edge: Even

    The two batting line-ups rate almost the same (3 runs apart), so the bowling and the toss should decide it.

Projection

How many runs will Australia and England score?

Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a flat, high-scoring surface at Bellerive Oval.

Powerplay (0-10)
Middle Overs (11-40)
Death Overs (41-50)
Australia EnglandInnings: AUS 325-377 · ENG 324-372

Match-winners

Who can swing Australia vs England?

Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to decide the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.

Australia

  • Marcus Stoinis93

    Balances the XI

  • Steve Smith88

    Fast starter at the top

England

  • Chris Woakes83

    Trusted at the end of the innings

  • Phil Salt84

    Fast starter at the top

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before the first ball.

  • If Marcus Stoinis is left out

    We would cut Australia by about five points, making this a clear lean.

  • If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss

    Extra help for the bowlers would close the gap between the two batting line-ups.

  • If rain shortens the match

    Fewer overs add randomness, which helps the underdog.

Preview

Australia vs England match preview

With 5 matches of England tour of Australia, 2026 still to come, game 3 can swing the series. Australia come in at 62% because their batting and bowling both suit these flat, high-scoring conditions slightly better. Australia are at home, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. England are still in this at 38%, but they need their best players to fire on the same day.

On the toss: The toss barely matters. Both sides will expect to score big whichever way it falls.

Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.

Calendar

Calendar check: 3rd ODI

Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in England tour of Australia, 2026.

Bellerive Oval in Hobart hosts the 3rd ODI on Wed, 18 Nov 2026: fixture 3 of 8 in the series.

The previous fixture, the 2nd ODI, was played 3 days before this one at Adelaide Oval in Adelaide, which means a travel day to Hobart in between. That is enough rest for both teams to pick their strongest XIs.

Up next: the 1st T20I, 3 days after this match at Melbourne Cricket Ground in Melbourne.

  1. 15 Nov2nd ODI: Australia vs EnglandAdelaide Oval
  2. 18 Nov3rd ODI: Australia vs EnglandBellerive Oval
  3. 21 Nov1st T20I: Australia vs EnglandMelbourne Cricket Ground

Keep reading

  1. 21 Nov1st T20I: Australia vs EnglandEngland tour of Australia, 2026
  2. 23 Nov2nd T20I: Australia vs EnglandEngland tour of Australia, 2026
  3. 26 Nov3rd T20I: Australia vs EnglandEngland tour of Australia, 2026
  4. 29 Nov4th T20I: Australia vs EnglandEngland tour of Australia, 2026

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FAQ · 9

AUS vs ENG 3rd ODI FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Australia vs England?

Goexch predicts Australia to win, with a 62% chance against 38% for England, which we class as a strong lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a flat, high-scoring pitch at Bellerive Oval is likely to play.

What are the fair odds for Australia in the AUS vs ENG 3rd ODI?

Our 62% rating works out to fair decimal odds of 1.61 for Australia and 2.63 for England. If the back price on the exchange is shorter than that, the bet has no value on our numbers.

What time does the AUS vs ENG 3rd ODI start in India?

The series window puts it on Wed, 18 Nov 2026 (start time not yet confirmed) at Bellerive Oval, Hobart, but the board has not confirmed the date or start time yet. We update this page as soon as it does.

What is the pitch report for Bellerive Oval?

We expect a flat, high-scoring pitch that should help the batters. Batters can trust the bounce from the first ball. Bowlers need clear plans, because anything full or wide goes to the rope.

Should the captain bat or bowl first in AUS vs ENG?

The toss barely matters. Both sides will expect to score big whichever way it falls. The toss happens about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are confirmed.

Can England win this match?

Yes, but they need early wickets or a match-winning innings. We give England a 38% chance, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if Australia change their best XI.

How do I trade Australia vs England on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Australia at 1.61 or bigger, or lay England at 2.63 or smaller. Laying means you win if England do not win; at 2.63, a ₹100 lay risks ₹163. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Australia vs England match kaun jeetega?

Goexch model ke hisaab se Australia ka chance zyada hai: 62%, jabki England ka 38%. Match Wed, 18 Nov 2026 (start time not yet confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Hobart ki pitch report kya hai?

Hamare hisaab se pitch flat, high-scoring rahegi, yaani batting ke liye achhi pitch hai, bada score ban sakta hai. Toss match shuru hone se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.

Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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