Goexch

FootballPremier League 2026/27

Crystal Palace vs Everton prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictStrong lean

On our numbers, Palace beat Everton 64% of the time, with the draw at 20%. We project 2.12 expected goals to 0.94 and a 2-0 score, with over 2.5 goals at 59%. Kick-off: Sat, 10 Apr 2027, 19:30 IST IST at Selhurst Park.

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. Crystal PalacePick

    64%
    Back1.56Lay1.56
  2. Draw

    20%
    Back5.00Lay5.00
  3. Everton

    16%
    Back6.25Lay6.25
Start
19:30
IST
Date
Sat, 10 Apr 2027 · 15:00 UK
Venue
Selhurst Park, London

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Palace vs Everton in brief

  • Palace 64%, draw 20%, Everton 16%, which makes this a strong lean.
  • Predicted score 2-0, with goals expected (3.1 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 54% on our model.
Predicted score
2-0
Goexch pick
Palace
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Palace vs Everton on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

  1. Back64% chance

    Crystal Palace1.56

    Take 1.56 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.56 returns ₹156, stake included.

  2. Lay16% chance

    Everton6.25

    Lay only at 6.25 or smaller. At 6.25, a ₹100 lay risks ₹525 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

  1. Home advantage

    Edge: Palace

    Palace are the stronger side and at home, which our model values at just over a fifth of a goal. Both advantages add up.

  2. Expected goals

    Edge: Goals

    3.1 expected goals is above the league average, and over 2.5 goals lands 59% of the time in our simulations.

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Palace

    Palace rate clearly higher and the draw is only 20%. If they score first, the match should go their way.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Palace vs Everton?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Expected goals
2.12 – 0.94
Half-time call
0-0

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Crystal Palace

Palace are a practical mid-table side: solid without the ball at Selhurst Park, but lacking the creativity to run a game.

Away

Everton

Expect Everton to sit compact on their trip to Selhurst Park and wait for one chance rather than try to control the match.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

  • If Palace name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.

  • If Everton score first

    The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Palace vs Everton match preview

Everton visit Selhurst Park in a 2026/27 Premier League match that the Goexch model rates as a strong lean. We project 2.12 expected goals for Palace and 0.94 for Everton. Across thousands of simulated matches, Palace win 64% of them. An early goal would change everything for Everton. Teams chasing a game leave gaps, and that is where upsets come from.

Calendar

Calendar check: Palace and Everton

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Palace play 21 days after their game away at Ipswich on 20 Mar, with an international break in between, so rhythm could be rusty. After this, they go away at Man City 7 days after this one. League game 31 of 38.

Everton play 21 days after their game at home to Spurs on 20 Mar, with an international break in between, so rhythm could be rusty. After this, they go at home to Bournemouth 7 days after this one. League game 31 of 38.

These sides already met at Hill Dickinson Stadium on Sat, 22 Aug 2026, making this the return fixture.

  1. 20 MarIpswich vs PalacePortman Road
  2. 20 MarEverton vs SpursHill Dickinson Stadium
  3. 10 AprPalace vs EvertonSelhurst Park
  4. 17 AprMan City vs PalaceEtihad Stadium
  5. 17 AprEverton vs BournemouthHill Dickinson Stadium

Keep reading

  1. 17 AprManchester City vs Crystal PalacePremier League · 19:30 IST
  2. 24 AprManchester United vs Crystal PalacePremier League · 19:30 IST
  3. 17 AprEverton vs AFC BournemouthPremier League · 19:30 IST
  4. 24 AprEverton vs Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League · 19:30 IST
  5. 10 AprAFC Bournemouth vs Manchester CityPremier League · 19:30 IST
  6. 10 AprAston Villa vs Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League · 19:30 IST

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FAQ · 9

Crystal Palace vs Everton FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Palace vs Everton?

Goexch predicts Crystal Palace to win. Our goals model gives Palace 64%, the draw 20% and Everton 16%, which we class as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Everton?

Our predicted score is 2-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 11%.

What are the fair odds for Palace vs Everton?

On our numbers: Palace 1.56, draw 5.00, Everton 6.25. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Crystal Palace vs Everton kick off in India?

19:30 IST IST on Sat, 10 Apr 2027 (15:00 in the UK), at Selhurst Park in London. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Palace vs Everton on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Crystal Palace at 1.56 or bigger, or lay Everton at 6.25 or smaller. Laying means you win if Everton do not win; at 6.25, a ₹100 lay risks ₹525. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Palace vs Everton match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein Crystal Palace aage hain: Palace 64%, draw 20%, Everton 16%. Sabse sambhav score 2-0 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Where can I watch Palace vs Everton?

Indian TV rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings near the day.

Will both teams score in Palace vs Everton?

We put both teams to score at 54%, so we lean yes. Over 2.5 goals is 59%.

How many goals are expected in Palace vs Everton?

3.1 expected goals in total. The most likely number of goals is 3, and a 0-0 comes up 5% of the time.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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