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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Fulham vs Hull City prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictStrong lean

On our numbers, Fulham beat Hull 67% of the time, with the draw at 19%. We project 2.10 expected goals to 0.83 and a 2-0 score, with over 2.5 goals at 56%. Kick-off: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 19:30 IST IST at Craven Cottage.

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. FulhamPick

    67%
    Back1.49Lay1.49

  2. Draw

    19%
    Back5.26Lay5.26

  3. Hull City

    14%
    Back7.14Lay7.14
Start
19:30
IST
Date
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Venue
Craven Cottage, London

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Fulham vs Hull in brief

  • Fulham 67%, draw 19%, Hull 14%, which makes this a strong lean.
  • Predicted score 2-0, with goals expected (2.9 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 49% on our model.
Predicted score
2-0
Goexch pick
Fulham
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Fulham vs Hull on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

  1. Back67% chance

    Fulham1.49

    Take 1.49 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.49 returns ₹149, stake included.

  2. Lay14% chance

    Hull City7.14

    Lay only at 7.14 or smaller. At 7.14, a ₹100 lay risks ₹614 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

  1. Home advantage

    Edge: Fulham

    Fulham are the stronger side and at home, which our model values at just over a fifth of a goal. Both advantages add up.

  2. Expected goals

    Edge: Goals

    2.9 expected goals is above the league average, and over 2.5 goals lands 56% of the time in our simulations.

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Fulham

    Fulham rate clearly higher and the draw is only 19%. If they score first, the match should go their way.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Fulham vs Hull?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Expected goals
2.10 – 0.83
Half-time call
0-0

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Fulham

Expect Fulham to sit compact at Craven Cottage and wait for one chance rather than try to control the match.

Away · promoted

Hull City

Hull are back in the top flight and still adjusting to its pace. Expect a deep, compact shape on their trip to Craven Cottage, long spells without the ball and most of their threat from set pieces.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

  • If Fulham name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.

  • If Hull score first

    The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Fulham vs Hull match preview

Hull City visit Craven Cottage in a 2026/27 Premier League match that the Goexch model rates as a strong lean. We project 2.10 expected goals for Fulham and 0.83 for Hull. Across thousands of simulated matches, Fulham win 67% of them. An early goal would change everything for Hull. Teams chasing a game leave gaps, and that is where upsets come from.

Calendar

Calendar check: Fulham and Hull

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Fulham play 7 days after their game away at Ipswich on 10 Oct. After this, they go away at Coventry 7 days after this one. League game 7 of 38.

Hull play 6 days after their game at home to Everton on 11 Oct. After this, they go at home to Brentford 8 days after this one. League game 7 of 38.

They meet again at MKM Stadium on Sat, 15 May 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.

  1. 10 OctIpswich vs FulhamPortman Road
  2. 11 OctHull vs EvertonMKM Stadium
  3. 17 OctFulham vs HullCraven Cottage
  4. 24 OctCoventry vs FulhamCoventry Building Society Arena
  5. 25 OctHull vs BrentfordMKM Stadium

Keep reading

More Fulham and Hull predictions

  1. 15 MayHull City vs FulhamPremier League · 19:30 IST
  2. 24 OctCoventry City vs FulhamPremier League · 19:30 IST
  3. 31 OctAston Villa vs FulhamPremier League · 01:30 IST, next day
  4. 25 OctHull City vs BrentfordPremier League · 19:30 IST
  5. 31 OctHull City vs Ipswich TownPremier League · 20:30 IST
  6. 17 OctEverton vs ChelseaPremier League · 17:00 IST

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FAQ · 9

Fulham vs Hull City FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Fulham vs Hull?

Goexch predicts Fulham to win. Our goals model gives Fulham 67%, the draw 19% and Hull 14%, which we class as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Hull City?

Our predicted score is 2-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 12%.

What are the fair odds for Fulham vs Hull?

On our numbers: Fulham 1.49, draw 5.26, Hull 7.14. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Fulham vs Hull City kick off in India?

19:30 IST IST on Sat, 17 Oct 2026 (15:00 in the UK), at Craven Cottage in London. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Fulham vs Hull on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Fulham at 1.49 or bigger, or lay Hull City at 7.14 or smaller. Laying means you win if Hull City do not win; at 7.14, a ₹100 lay risks ₹614. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Fulham vs Hull match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein Fulham aage hain: Fulham 67%, draw 19%, Hull 14%. Sabse sambhav score 2-0 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Will both teams score in Fulham vs Hull?

We put both teams to score at 49%, so we lean no. Over 2.5 goals is 56%.

Where can I watch Fulham vs Hull?

Indian TV rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings near the day.

How many goals are expected in Fulham vs Hull?

2.9 expected goals in total. The most likely number of goals is 2, and a 0-0 comes up 5% of the time.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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