CricketSri Lanka tour of India, 2026 · match 2 of 6
India vs Sri Lanka 2nd ODI prediction
Goexch verdict
India are our pick (strong lean). The Goexch model gives them a 74% chance against Sri Lanka in the 2nd ODI at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium, which is a fair back price of 1.35. We project India to make 340 and Sri Lanka 312 on a pitch that suits neither side. Start: Wed, 16 Dec 2026 (start time not yet confirmed).
Quick read
IND vs SL 2nd ODI in brief
- India at 74%, a strong lean. Back only at 1.35 or bigger.
- Even pitch, and India are projected to post the bigger total.
- India are playing in home conditions.
- Goexch pick
- India
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs
- Pitch
- balanced, dry
- Favours
- Balanced
Exchange plan
How should you trade IND vs SL on Goexch?
Our fair prices for both sides. Back the pick at the price or bigger; lay the outsider at the price or smaller.
Back74% chance
India1.35
Take 1.35 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.35 returns ₹135, stake included.
Lay26% chance
Sri Lanka3.85
Lay only at 3.85 or smaller. At 3.85, a ₹100 lay risks ₹285 to win ₹100.
Key factors
What will decide this match?
The pitch comes first, followed by the two factors with the most influence on this match.
Pitch read
Edge: Even
A fair pitch with something for both sides, so phase totals should land close to normal for the format. Neither attack gets a special advantage.
Toss call
Edge: Even
The coin matters little here. Planning and execution matter more.
Batting edge
Edge: India
Our projection gives India a 28-run cushion, and that is the biggest single reason the model leans their way.
Projection
How many runs will India and Sri Lanka score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a balanced, dry surface at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium.
- Powerplay (0-10)
- IND53-63SL43-55
- Middle Overs (11-40)
- IND175-195SL162-184
- Death Overs (41-50)
- IND89-105SL82-98
Match-winners
Who can swing India vs Sri Lanka?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to decide the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
India
Mohammed Siraj93
Trusted at the end of the innings
Hardik Pandya83
Balances the XI
Sri Lanka
Angelo Mathews84
Balances the XI
Dilshan Madushanka94
Trusted at the end of the innings
Risk radar
What could change the prediction?
The news that would move our numbers before the first ball.
If Mohammed Siraj is left out
We would cut India by about five points, making this a strong lean.
If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
Extra help for the bowlers would close the gap between the two batting line-ups.
If rain shortens the match
Fewer overs add randomness, which helps the underdog.
Preview
India vs Sri Lanka match preview
With 4 matches of Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026 still to come, game 2 can swing the series. India come in at 74% because their batting and bowling both suit these balanced, dry conditions slightly better. India are at home, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. Sri Lanka are still in this at 26%, but they need their best players to fire on the same day.
On the toss: The coin matters little here. Planning and execution matter more.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar
Calendar check: 2nd ODI
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026.
M. Chinnaswamy Stadium in Bengaluru hosts the 2nd ODI on Wed, 16 Dec 2026: fixture 2 of 6 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 1st ODI, was played 3 days before this one at Arun Jaitley Stadium in Delhi, which means a travel day to Bengaluru in between. That is enough rest for both teams to pick their strongest XIs.
Up next: the 3rd ODI, 3 days after this match at Narendra Modi Stadium in Ahmedabad.
Also at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium on the Goexch schedule: 5th T20I: India vs West Indies (17 Oct) (1 fixture in all).
Keep reading
More cricket predictions
FAQ · 9
IND vs SL 2nd ODI FAQs
Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.
Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp
Who will win India vs Sri Lanka?
Goexch predicts India to win, with a 74% chance against 26% for Sri Lanka, which we class as a strong lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a balanced, dry pitch at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium is likely to play.
What are the fair odds for India in the IND vs SL 2nd ODI?
Our 74% rating works out to fair decimal odds of 1.35 for India and 3.85 for Sri Lanka. If the back price on the exchange is shorter than that, the bet has no value on our numbers.
What time does the IND vs SL 2nd ODI start in India?
The series window puts it on Wed, 16 Dec 2026 (start time not yet confirmed) at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru, but the board has not confirmed the date or start time yet. We update this page as soon as it does.
What is the pitch report for M. Chinnaswamy Stadium?
We expect a balanced, dry pitch that should help neither side. A fair pitch with something for both sides, so phase totals should land close to normal for the format.
Should the captain bat or bowl first in IND vs SL?
The coin matters little here. Planning and execution matter more. The toss happens about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are confirmed.
Can Sri Lanka win this match?
Yes, but they need early wickets or a match-winning innings. We give Sri Lanka a 26% chance, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if India change their best XI.
How do I trade India vs Sri Lanka on the Goexch exchange?
On our numbers, back India at 1.35 or bigger, or lay Sri Lanka at 3.85 or smaller. Laying means you win if Sri Lanka do not win; at 3.85, a ₹100 lay risks ₹285. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.
India vs Sri Lanka match kaun jeetega?
Goexch model ke hisaab se India ka chance zyada hai: 74%, jabki Sri Lanka ka 26%. Match Wed, 16 Dec 2026 (start time not yet confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Bengaluru ki pitch report kya hai?
Hamare hisaab se pitch balanced, dry rahegi, yaani bat aur ball dono ko barabar madad milegi. Toss match shuru hone se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.
Check it at the source
Sources and official information
- ICCICC tournament fixtures, results, rankings and team news.International Cricket Council
- ICC playing conditionsOfficial match rules for Tests, ODIs and T20Is, including rain-affected matches.International Cricket Council
- ESPNcricinfoScorecards, venue records and player statistics.ESPN
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