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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Nottingham Forest vs AFC Bournemouth prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictSlight lean

On our numbers, Forest beat Bournemouth 55% of the time, with the draw at 24%. We project 1.71 expected goals to 0.95 and a 1-0 score, with over 2.5 goals at 50%. Kick-off: Sat, 23 Jan 2027, 20:30 IST IST at City Ground.

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. Nottingham ForestPick

    55%
    Back1.82Lay1.82

  2. Draw

    24%
    Back4.17Lay4.17

  3. AFC Bournemouth

    21%
    Back4.76Lay4.76
Start
20:30
IST
Date
Sat, 23 Jan 2027 · 15:00 UK
Venue
City Ground, Nottingham

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Forest vs Bournemouth in brief

  • Forest 55%, draw 24%, Bournemouth 21%, which makes this a slight lean.
  • Predicted score 1-0, with the goals line finely balanced (2.7 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 50% on our model.
Predicted score
1-0
Goexch pick
Forest
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Forest vs Bournemouth on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

  1. Back55% chance

    Nottingham Forest1.82

    Take 1.82 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.82 returns ₹182, stake included.

  2. Lay21% chance

    AFC Bournemouth4.76

    Lay only at 4.76 or smaller. At 4.76, a ₹100 lay risks ₹376 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

  1. Home advantage

    Edge: Forest

    Forest are the stronger side and at home, which our model values at just over a fifth of a goal. Both advantages add up.

  2. Expected goals

    Edge: Even

    At 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to 50/50 (50% for the over).

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Forest

    Forest rate clearly higher and the draw is only 24%. If they score first, the match should go their way.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Forest vs Bournemouth?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
50%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Expected goals
1.71 – 0.95
Half-time call
0-0

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Nottingham Forest

Forest are a practical mid-table side: solid without the ball at City Ground, but lacking the creativity to run a game.

Away

AFC Bournemouth

Bournemouth are a practical mid-table side: solid without the ball on their trip to City Ground, but lacking the creativity to run a game.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

  • If Forest name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.

  • If Bournemouth score first

    The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Forest vs Bournemouth match preview

AFC Bournemouth visit City Ground in a 2026/27 Premier League match that the Goexch model rates as a slight lean. We project 1.71 expected goals for Forest and 0.95 for Bournemouth. Across thousands of simulated matches, Forest win 55% of them. An early goal would change everything for Bournemouth. Teams chasing a game leave gaps, and that is where upsets come from.

Calendar

Calendar check: Forest and Bournemouth

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Forest play 7 days after their game away at Man City on 16 Jan. After this, they go away at Chelsea 7 days after this one. League game 22 of 38.

Bournemouth play 7 days after their game at home to Ipswich on 16 Jan. After this, they go at home to Fulham 7 days after this one. League game 22 of 38.

These sides already met at Vitality Stadium on Sat, 21 Nov 2026, making this the return fixture.

  1. 16 JanMan City vs ForestEtihad Stadium
  2. 16 JanBournemouth vs IpswichVitality Stadium
  3. 23 JanForest vs BournemouthCity Ground
  4. 30 JanChelsea vs ForestStamford Bridge
  5. 30 JanBournemouth vs FulhamVitality Stadium

Keep reading

More Forest and Bournemouth predictions

  1. 21 NovAFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham ForestPremier League · 20:30 IST
  2. 30 JanChelsea vs Nottingham ForestPremier League · 20:30 IST
  3. 06 FebNottingham Forest vs BrentfordPremier League · 20:30 IST
  4. 30 JanAFC Bournemouth vs FulhamPremier League · 20:30 IST
  5. 06 FebLeeds United vs AFC BournemouthPremier League · 20:30 IST
  6. 23 JanArsenal vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League · 20:30 IST

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FAQ · 9

Nottingham Forest vs AFC Bournemouth FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Forest vs Bournemouth?

Goexch predicts Nottingham Forest to win. Our goals model gives Forest 55%, the draw 24% and Bournemouth 21%, which we class as a slight lean.

What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs AFC Bournemouth?

Our predicted score is 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 1-0, at 12%.

What are the fair odds for Forest vs Bournemouth?

On our numbers: Forest 1.82, draw 4.17, Bournemouth 4.76. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Nottingham Forest vs AFC Bournemouth kick off in India?

20:30 IST IST on Sat, 23 Jan 2027 (15:00 in the UK), at City Ground in Nottingham. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Forest vs Bournemouth on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Nottingham Forest at 1.82 or bigger, or lay AFC Bournemouth at 4.76 or smaller. Laying means you win if AFC Bournemouth do not win; at 4.76, a ₹100 lay risks ₹376. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Forest vs Bournemouth match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein Nottingham Forest aage hain: Forest 55%, draw 24%, Bournemouth 21%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Will both teams score in Forest vs Bournemouth?

We put both teams to score at 50%, so we lean yes. Over 2.5 goals is 50%.

How many goals are expected in Forest vs Bournemouth?

2.7 expected goals in total. The most likely number of goals is 2, and a 0-0 comes up 7% of the time.

Where can I watch Forest vs Bournemouth?

Indian TV rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings near the day.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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Sources and official information

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