CricketEngland tour of Australia, 2026 · match 1 of 8
Australia vs England 1st ODI prediction
Goexch verdictSlight lean
On our numbers, Australia win 54% of the time against England, which makes this a slight lean. We expect 346 from Australia and 340 from England at Perth Stadium, where the batters should have the edge. The match starts Thu, 12 Nov 2026 (start time not yet confirmed).
Quick read
AUS vs ENG 1st ODI in brief
- Australia at 54%, a slight lean. Back only at 1.85 or bigger.
- Pitch suits batters, and Australia are projected to post the bigger total.
- Australia are playing in home conditions.
- Goexch pick
- Australia
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs
- Pitch
- flat, high-scoring
- Favours
- Batters
Exchange plan
How should you trade AUS vs ENG on Goexch?
Our fair prices for both sides. Back the pick at the price or bigger; lay the outsider at the price or smaller.
Back54% chance
Australia1.85
Take 1.85 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.85 returns ₹185, stake included.
Lay46% chance
England2.17
Lay only at 2.17 or smaller. At 2.17, a ₹100 lay risks ₹117 to win ₹100.
Key factors
What will decide this match?
The pitch comes first, followed by the two factors with the most influence on this match.
Pitch read
Edge: Even
Hard, true and quick, with short boundaries and a fast outfield. A below-par total will not be defended on this pitch. Both sides will rely on the batters, so the deeper attack matters.
Even batting
Edge: Even
Only 6 runs separate the projected totals, so the batting is close to level. One big individual innings is the likeliest tiebreaker.
Toss call
Edge: Even
The toss barely matters. Both sides will expect to score big whichever way it falls.
Projection
How many runs will Australia and England score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a flat, high-scoring surface at Perth Stadium.
- Powerplay (0-10)
- AUS56-66ENG54-64
- Middle Overs (11-40)
- AUS174-194ENG171-191
- Death Overs (41-50)
- AUS92-110ENG92-108
Match-winners
Who can swing Australia vs England?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to decide the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
Australia
Mitchell Marsh80
Balances the XI
Steve Smith83
Fast starter at the top
England
Phil Salt83
Steady hand in a chase
Chris Woakes93
Trusted at the end of the innings
Risk radar
What could change the prediction?
The news that would move our numbers before the first ball.
If Mitchell Marsh is left out
We would cut Australia by about five points, making this a coin flip.
If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
Extra help for the bowlers would close the gap between the two batting line-ups.
If rain shortens the match
Fewer overs add randomness, which helps the underdog.
Preview
Australia vs England match preview
England tour of Australia, 2026 starts here, so this is the first real look at each side's form on the tour. Australia come in at 54% because their batting and bowling both suit these flat, high-scoring conditions slightly better. Australia are at home, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. England are still in this at 46%, but they need their best players to fire on the same day.
On the toss: The toss barely matters. Both sides will expect to score big whichever way it falls.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar
Calendar check: 1st ODI
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in England tour of Australia, 2026.
Perth Stadium in Perth hosts the 1st ODI on Thu, 12 Nov 2026: fixture 1 of 8 in the series.
As the series opener, there is no head-to-head evidence from this tour yet, so the market leans on reputation.
Up next: the 2nd ODI, 3 days after this match at Adelaide Oval in Adelaide.
Also at Perth Stadium on the Goexch schedule: 1st Test: Australia vs New Zealand (09 Dec) (1 fixture in all).
Keep reading
More cricket predictions
FAQ · 9
AUS vs ENG 1st ODI FAQs
Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.
Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp
Who will win Australia vs England?
Goexch predicts Australia to win, with a 54% chance against 46% for England, which we class as a slight lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a flat, high-scoring pitch at Perth Stadium is likely to play.
What are the fair odds for Australia in the AUS vs ENG 1st ODI?
Our 54% rating works out to fair decimal odds of 1.85 for Australia and 2.17 for England. If the back price on the exchange is shorter than that, the bet has no value on our numbers.
What time does the AUS vs ENG 1st ODI start in India?
The series window puts it on Thu, 12 Nov 2026 (start time not yet confirmed) at Perth Stadium, Perth, but the board has not confirmed the date or start time yet. We update this page as soon as it does.
What is the pitch report for Perth Stadium?
We expect a flat, high-scoring pitch that should help the batters. Hard, true and quick, with short boundaries and a fast outfield. A below-par total will not be defended on this pitch.
Should the captain bat or bowl first in AUS vs ENG?
The toss barely matters. Both sides will expect to score big whichever way it falls. The toss happens about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are confirmed.
Can England win this match?
Yes, but they need early wickets or a match-winning innings. We give England a 46% chance, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if Australia change their best XI.
How do I trade Australia vs England on the Goexch exchange?
On our numbers, back Australia at 1.85 or bigger, or lay England at 2.17 or smaller. Laying means you win if England do not win; at 2.17, a ₹100 lay risks ₹117. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.
Australia vs England match kaun jeetega?
Goexch model ke hisaab se Australia ka chance zyada hai: 54%, jabki England ka 46%. Match Thu, 12 Nov 2026 (start time not yet confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Perth ki pitch report kya hai?
Hamare hisaab se pitch flat, high-scoring rahegi, yaani batting ke liye achhi pitch hai, bada score ban sakta hai. Toss match shuru hone se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.
Check it at the source
Sources and official information
- ICCICC tournament fixtures, results, rankings and team news.International Cricket Council
- ICC playing conditionsOfficial match rules for Tests, ODIs and T20Is, including rain-affected matches.International Cricket Council
- ESPNcricinfoScorecards, venue records and player statistics.ESPN
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