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FootballPremier League · London derby

Crystal Palace vs Brentford prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictClear lean

Crystal Palace are our pick (clear lean). The Goexch goals model gives them a 58% chance to win, a fair back price of 1.72, with the draw at 24%. We expect 2.4 goals and a 1-0 score, and both teams score in 44% of simulations. Kick-off: Wed, 10 Feb 2027, 01:30 IST, next day IST at Selhurst Park.

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. Crystal PalacePick

    58%
    Back1.72Lay1.72

  2. Draw

    24%
    Back4.17Lay4.17

  3. Brentford

    18%
    Back5.56Lay5.56
Start
01:30
IST
Date
Wed, 10 Feb 2027 · 20:00 UK
Venue
Selhurst Park, London

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Palace vs Brentford in brief

  • Palace 58%, draw 24%, Brentford 18%, which makes this a clear lean.
  • Predicted score 1-0, with a low-scoring game likely (2.4 xG).
  • This is the London derby, so expect more cards and fewer clear chances.
Predicted score
1-0
Goexch pick
Palace
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
4.5-5.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Palace vs Brentford on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

  1. Back58% chance

    Crystal Palace1.72

    Take 1.72 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.72 returns ₹172, stake included.

  2. Lay18% chance

    Brentford5.56

    Lay only at 5.56 or smaller. At 5.56, a ₹100 lay risks ₹456 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

  1. Home advantage

    Edge: Palace

    Palace are the stronger side and at home, which our model values at just over a fifth of a goal. Both advantages add up.

  2. Expected goals

    Edge: Few goals

    With only 2.4 expected goals, the under is the natural lean. Over 2.5 lands just 44% of the time.

  3. Derby intensity

    Edge: Draw

    The London derby brings extra intensity, more fouls and a projected 4.5-5.5 cards. Derbies often finish closer than the league table suggests.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Palace vs Brentford?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
44%
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Expected goals
1.65 – 0.79
Half-time call
0-0

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Crystal Palace

Expect Palace to sit compact at Selhurst Park and wait for one chance rather than try to control the match.

Away

Brentford

Expect Brentford to sit compact on their trip to Selhurst Park and wait for one chance rather than try to control the match.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

  • If Palace name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.

  • If Brentford score first

    The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Palace vs Brentford match preview

Crystal Palace host Brentford in front of their own fans, and the Goexch numbers lean towards Palace. Because this is the London derby, form counts for less than usual, and we have pulled the numbers closer together to reflect that. The expected-goals gap (1.65 for Palace, 0.79 for Brentford) is the clearest signal, and it is where our 58% for Palace comes from. Brentford's best chance is to keep it level into the last 30 minutes, when the draw becomes a real possibility.

Calendar

Calendar check: Palace and Brentford

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Palace play 4 days after their game at home to Coventry on 06 Feb. After this, they go away at Bournemouth 10 days after this one. League game 25 of 38.

Brentford play 4 days after their game away at Forest on 06 Feb. After this, they go at home to Coventry 10 days after this one. League game 25 of 38.

These sides already met at Gtech Community Stadium on Sat, 02 Jan 2027, making this the return fixture.

  1. 06 FebPalace vs CoventrySelhurst Park
  2. 06 FebForest vs BrentfordCity Ground
  3. 10 FebPalace vs BrentfordSelhurst Park
  4. 20 FebBournemouth vs PalaceVitality Stadium
  5. 20 FebBrentford vs CoventryGtech Community Stadium

Keep reading

More Palace and Brentford predictions

  1. 02 JanBrentford vs Crystal PalacePremier League · 20:30 IST
  2. 20 FebAFC Bournemouth vs Crystal PalacePremier League · 20:30 IST
  3. 27 FebCrystal Palace vs SunderlandPremier League · 20:30 IST
  4. 20 FebBrentford vs Coventry CityPremier League · 20:30 IST
  5. 27 FebNewcastle United vs BrentfordPremier League · 20:30 IST
  6. 10 FebAston Villa vs AFC BournemouthPremier League · 01:30 IST, next day

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FAQ · 9

Crystal Palace vs Brentford FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Palace vs Brentford?

Goexch predicts Crystal Palace to win. Our goals model gives Palace 58%, the draw 24% and Brentford 18%, which we class as a clear lean.

What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Brentford?

Our predicted score is 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 1-0, at 14%.

What are the fair odds for Palace vs Brentford?

On our numbers: Palace 1.72, draw 4.17, Brentford 5.56. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Crystal Palace vs Brentford kick off in India?

01:30 IST, next day IST on Wed, 10 Feb 2027 (20:00 in the UK), at Selhurst Park in London. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Palace vs Brentford on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Crystal Palace at 1.72 or bigger, or lay Brentford at 5.56 or smaller. Laying means you win if Brentford do not win; at 5.56, a ₹100 lay risks ₹456. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Palace vs Brentford match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein Crystal Palace aage hain: Palace 58%, draw 24%, Brentford 18%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Will both teams score in Palace vs Brentford?

We put both teams to score at 44%, so we lean no. Over 2.5 goals is 44%.

Can Brentford cause an upset?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined defence and a quiet day for Palace's attack. We give Brentford a 18% chance.

How many goals are expected in Palace vs Brentford?

2.4 expected goals in total. The most likely number of goals is 2, and a 0-0 comes up 9% of the time.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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