FootballPremier League 2026/27
Crystal Palace vs Sunderland prediction
Goexch verdict
On our numbers, Palace beat Sunderland 62% of the time, with the draw at 21%. We project 2.01 expected goals to 0.93 and a 2-0 score, with over 2.5 goals at 56%. Kick-off: Sat, 27 Feb 2027, 20:30 IST IST at Selhurst Park.
Quick read
Palace vs Sunderland in brief
- Palace 62%, draw 21%, Sunderland 17%, which makes this a strong lean.
- Predicted score 2-0, with goals expected (2.9 xG).
- Both teams to score: 53% on our model.
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Goexch pick
- Palace
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Exchange plan
How should you trade Palace vs Sunderland on Goexch?
Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.
Back62% chance
Crystal Palace1.61
Take 1.61 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.61 returns ₹161, stake included.
Lay17% chance
Sunderland5.88
Lay only at 5.88 or smaller. At 5.88, a ₹100 lay risks ₹488 to win ₹100.
Key factors
What will decide this match?
Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.
Home advantage
Edge: Palace
Palace are the stronger side and at home, which our model values at just over a fifth of a goal. Both advantages add up.
Expected goals
Edge: Goals
2.9 expected goals is above the league average, and over 2.5 goals lands 56% of the time in our simulations.
Quality gap
Edge: Palace
Palace rate clearly higher and the draw is only 21%. If they score first, the match should go their way.
Goals model
How many goals will there be in Palace vs Sunderland?
Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 53%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56%
- Expected goals
- 2.01 – 0.93
- Half-time call
- 0-0
Team set-up
How will the two teams line up?
Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Crystal Palace
Expect Palace to sit compact at Selhurst Park and wait for one chance rather than try to control the match.
Away
Sunderland
Expect Sunderland to sit compact on their trip to Selhurst Park and wait for one chance rather than try to control the match.
Risk radar
What could change the prediction?
The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.
If Palace name a weakened XI
Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.
If Sunderland score first
The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.
Preview
Palace vs Sunderland match preview
Crystal Palace host Sunderland in front of their own fans, and the Goexch numbers lean towards Palace. The expected-goals gap (2.01 for Palace, 0.93 for Sunderland) is the clearest signal, and it is where our 62% for Palace comes from. Sunderland's best chance is to keep it level into the last 30 minutes, when the draw becomes a real possibility.
Calendar
Calendar check: Palace and Sunderland
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Palace play 7 days after their game away at Bournemouth on 20 Feb. After this, they go away at Arsenal 4 days after this one. League game 27 of 38.
Sunderland play 7 days after their game at home to Everton on 20 Feb. After this, they go at home to Man Utd 4 days after this one. League game 27 of 38.
These sides already met at Stadium of Light on Sat, 19 Dec 2026, making this the return fixture.
Keep reading
More Palace and Sunderland predictions
- 19 DecSunderland vs Crystal PalacePremier League · 20:30 IST
- 03 MarArsenal vs Crystal PalacePremier League · 01:30 IST, next day
- 13 MarCrystal Palace vs FulhamPremier League · 20:30 IST
- 03 MarSunderland vs Manchester UnitedPremier League · 01:30 IST, next day
- 13 MarSunderland vs BrentfordPremier League · 20:30 IST
- 27 FebAston Villa vs ChelseaPremier League · 20:30 IST
FAQ · 9
Crystal Palace vs Sunderland FAQs
Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.
Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp
Who will win Palace vs Sunderland?
Goexch predicts Crystal Palace to win. Our goals model gives Palace 62%, the draw 21% and Sunderland 17%, which we class as a strong lean.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Sunderland?
Our predicted score is 2-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 11%.
What are the fair odds for Palace vs Sunderland?
On our numbers: Palace 1.61, draw 4.76, Sunderland 5.88. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.
What time does Crystal Palace vs Sunderland kick off in India?
20:30 IST IST on Sat, 27 Feb 2027 (15:00 in the UK), at Selhurst Park in London. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.
How do I trade Palace vs Sunderland on the Goexch exchange?
On our numbers, back Crystal Palace at 1.61 or bigger, or lay Sunderland at 5.88 or smaller. Laying means you win if Sunderland do not win; at 5.88, a ₹100 lay risks ₹488. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.
Palace vs Sunderland match kaun jeetega?
Goexch goals model mein Crystal Palace aage hain: Palace 62%, draw 21%, Sunderland 17%. Sabse sambhav score 2-0 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Can Sunderland cause an upset?
Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined defence and a quiet day for Palace's attack. We give Sunderland a 17% chance.
Where can I watch Palace vs Sunderland?
Indian TV rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings near the day.
Will both teams score in Palace vs Sunderland?
We put both teams to score at 53%, so we lean yes. Over 2.5 goals is 56%.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.
Check it at the source
Sources and official information
- Premier League fixturesOfficial fixture list, kick-off times and results.Premier League
- Laws of the GameThe official laws of football, including stoppage time and match duration.IFAB
- FIFAWorld Cup fixtures, results and tournament regulations.FIFA
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