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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Sunderland vs Crystal Palace prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictCoin flip

Too close to call, with a slight lean to Palace. The Goexch goals model gives Sunderland 31%, the draw 25% and Palace 44%, and expects 2.9 goals in total. Our most likely score is 1-2. Kick-off: Sat, 19 Dec 2026, 20:30 IST IST at Stadium of Light.

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. Sunderland

    31%
    Back3.23Lay3.23

  2. Draw

    25%
    Back4.00Lay4.00

  3. Crystal PalacePick

    44%
    Back2.27Lay2.27
Start
20:30
IST
Date
Sat, 19 Dec 2026 · 15:00 UK
Venue
Stadium of Light, Sunderland

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Sunderland vs Palace in brief

  • Palace 44%, draw 25%, Sunderland 31%, which makes this a coin flip.
  • Predicted score 1-2, with goals expected (2.9 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 58% on our model.
Predicted score
1-2
Goexch pick
Palace
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Sunderland vs Palace on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

  1. Back44% chance

    Crystal Palace2.27

    Take 2.27 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 2.27 returns ₹227, stake included.

  2. Lay31% chance

    Sunderland3.23

    Lay only at 3.23 or smaller. At 3.23, a ₹100 lay risks ₹223 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

  1. Home advantage

    Edge: Even

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Sunderland. That narrows the gap but does not cancel Palace's extra quality.

  2. Expected goals

    Edge: Goals

    2.9 expected goals is above the league average, and over 2.5 goals lands 55% of the time in our simulations.

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Palace

    Palace rate clearly higher and the draw is only 25%. If they score first, the match should go their way.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Sunderland vs Palace?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
58%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.57
Half-time call
0-0

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Sunderland

Expect Sunderland to sit compact at Stadium of Light and wait for one chance rather than try to control the match.

Away

Crystal Palace

Expect Palace to sit compact on their trip to Stadium of Light and wait for one chance rather than try to control the match.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

  • If Palace name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.

  • If Sunderland score first

    The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Sunderland vs Palace match preview

Sunderland host Crystal Palace in front of their own fans, and the Goexch numbers lean towards Palace. The expected-goals gap (1.30 for Sunderland, 1.57 for Palace) is the clearest signal, and it is where our 44% for Palace comes from. Sunderland's best chance is to keep it level into the last 30 minutes, when the draw becomes a real possibility.

Calendar

Calendar check: Sunderland and Palace

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Sunderland play 7 days after their game at home to Forest on 12 Dec. After this, they go away at Everton 7 days after this one. League game 16 of 38.

Palace play 7 days after their game at home to Man Utd on 12 Dec. After this, they go at home to Arsenal 8 days after this one. League game 16 of 38.

They meet again at Selhurst Park on Sat, 27 Feb 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.

  1. 12 DecSunderland vs ForestStadium of Light
  2. 12 DecPalace vs Man UtdSelhurst Park
  3. 19 DecSunderland vs PalaceStadium of Light
  4. 26 DecEverton vs SunderlandHill Dickinson Stadium
  5. 27 DecPalace vs ArsenalSelhurst Park

Keep reading

More Sunderland and Palace predictions

  1. 27 FebCrystal Palace vs SunderlandPremier League · 20:30 IST
  2. 26 DecEverton vs SunderlandPremier League · 20:30 IST
  3. 30 DecManchester United vs SunderlandPremier League · 01:00 IST, next day
  4. 27 DecCrystal Palace vs ArsenalPremier League · 00:30 IST, next day
  5. 30 DecCrystal Palace vs AFC BournemouthPremier League · 01:00 IST, next day
  6. 19 DecAFC Bournemouth vs Coventry CityPremier League · 20:30 IST

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FAQ · 9

Sunderland vs Crystal Palace FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Sunderland vs Palace?

Goexch predicts Crystal Palace to win. Our goals model gives Sunderland 31%, the draw 25% and Palace 44%, which we class as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Crystal Palace?

Our predicted score is 1-2, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.

What are the fair odds for Sunderland vs Palace?

On our numbers: Sunderland 3.23, draw 4.00, Palace 2.27. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Sunderland vs Crystal Palace kick off in India?

20:30 IST IST on Sat, 19 Dec 2026 (15:00 in the UK), at Stadium of Light in Sunderland. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Sunderland vs Palace on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Crystal Palace at 2.27 or bigger, or lay Sunderland at 3.23 or smaller. Laying means you win if Sunderland do not win; at 3.23, a ₹100 lay risks ₹223. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Sunderland vs Palace match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein Crystal Palace aage hain: Sunderland 31%, draw 25%, Palace 44%. Sabse sambhav score 1-2 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Where can I watch Sunderland vs Palace?

Indian TV rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings near the day.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.

How many goals are expected in Sunderland vs Palace?

2.9 expected goals in total. The most likely number of goals is 2, and a 0-0 comes up 6% of the time.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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Sources and official information

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