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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Everton vs Sunderland prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictCoin flip

Too close to call, with a slight lean to Everton. The Goexch goals model gives Everton 50%, the draw 24% and Sunderland 26%, and expects 2.8 goals in total. Our most likely score is 1-0. Kick-off: Sat, 26 Dec 2026, 20:30 IST IST at Hill Dickinson Stadium.

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. EvertonPick

    50%
    Back2.00Lay2.00

  2. Draw

    24%
    Back4.17Lay4.17

  3. Sunderland

    26%
    Back3.85Lay3.85
Start
20:30
IST
Date
Sat, 26 Dec 2026 · 15:00 UK
Venue
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Everton vs Sunderland in brief

  • Everton 50%, draw 24%, Sunderland 26%, which makes this a coin flip.
  • Predicted score 1-0, with the goals line finely balanced (2.8 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 54% on our model.
Predicted score
1-0
Goexch pick
Everton
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Everton vs Sunderland on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

  1. Back50% chance

    Everton2.00

    Take 2.00 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 2.00 returns ₹200, stake included.

  2. Lay26% chance

    Sunderland3.85

    Lay only at 3.85 or smaller. At 3.85, a ₹100 lay risks ₹285 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

  1. Home advantage

    Edge: Everton

    Everton are the stronger side and at home, which our model values at just over a fifth of a goal. Both advantages add up.

  2. Expected goals

    Edge: Even

    At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to 50/50 (52% for the over).

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Everton

    Everton rate clearly higher and the draw is only 24%. If they score first, the match should go their way.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Everton vs Sunderland?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.11
Half-time call
0-0

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Everton

Everton are a practical mid-table side: solid without the ball at Hill Dickinson Stadium, but lacking the creativity to run a game.

Away

Sunderland

Expect Sunderland to sit compact on their trip to Hill Dickinson Stadium and wait for one chance rather than try to control the match.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

  • If Everton name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.

  • If Sunderland score first

    The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Everton vs Sunderland match preview

Everton host Sunderland in front of their own fans, and the Goexch numbers lean towards Everton. The expected-goals gap (1.64 for Everton, 1.11 for Sunderland) is the clearest signal, and it is where our 50% for Everton comes from. Sunderland's best chance is to keep it level into the last 30 minutes, when the draw becomes a real possibility.

Calendar

Calendar check: Everton and Sunderland

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Everton play 7 days after their game away at Forest on 19 Dec. After this, they go at home to Man City 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 17 of 38.

Sunderland play 7 days after their game at home to Palace on 19 Dec. After this, they go away at Man Utd 4 days after this one. League game 17 of 38.

They meet again at Stadium of Light on Sat, 20 Feb 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.

  1. 19 DecForest vs EvertonCity Ground
  2. 19 DecSunderland vs PalaceStadium of Light
  3. 26 DecEverton vs SunderlandHill Dickinson Stadium
  4. 29 DecEverton vs Man CityHill Dickinson Stadium
  5. 30 DecMan Utd vs SunderlandOld Trafford

Keep reading

More Everton and Sunderland predictions

  1. 20 FebSunderland vs EvertonPremier League · 20:30 IST
  2. 29 DecEverton vs Manchester CityPremier League · 01:45 IST, next day
  3. 01 JanLeeds United vs EvertonPremier League · 01:30 IST, next day
  4. 30 DecManchester United vs SunderlandPremier League · 01:00 IST, next day
  5. 02 JanSunderland vs Hull CityPremier League · 20:30 IST
  6. 26 DecAston Villa vs Leeds UnitedPremier League · 18:00 IST

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FAQ · 9

Everton vs Sunderland FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Everton vs Sunderland?

Goexch predicts Everton to win. Our goals model gives Everton 50%, the draw 24% and Sunderland 26%, which we class as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Everton vs Sunderland?

Our predicted score is 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.

What are the fair odds for Everton vs Sunderland?

On our numbers: Everton 2.00, draw 4.17, Sunderland 3.85. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Everton vs Sunderland kick off in India?

20:30 IST IST on Sat, 26 Dec 2026 (15:00 in the UK), at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Everton vs Sunderland on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Everton at 2.00 or bigger, or lay Sunderland at 3.85 or smaller. Laying means you win if Sunderland do not win; at 3.85, a ₹100 lay risks ₹285. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Everton vs Sunderland match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein Everton aage hain: Everton 50%, draw 24%, Sunderland 26%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Will both teams score in Everton vs Sunderland?

We put both teams to score at 54%, so we lean yes. Over 2.5 goals is 52%.

Can Sunderland cause an upset?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined defence and a quiet day for Everton's attack. We give Sunderland a 26% chance.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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Sources and official information

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