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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Sunderland vs Hull City prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictClear lean

On our numbers, Sunderland beat Hull 61% of the time, with the draw at 21%. We project 1.98 expected goals to 0.96 and a 1-0 score, with over 2.5 goals at 56%. Kick-off: Sat, 02 Jan 2027, 20:30 IST IST at Stadium of Light.

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. SunderlandPick

    61%
    Back1.64Lay1.64

  2. Draw

    21%
    Back4.76Lay4.76

  3. Hull City

    18%
    Back5.56Lay5.56
Start
20:30
IST
Date
Sat, 02 Jan 2027 · 15:00 UK
Venue
Stadium of Light, Sunderland

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Sunderland vs Hull in brief

  • Sunderland 61%, draw 21%, Hull 18%, which makes this a clear lean.
  • Predicted score 1-0, with goals expected (2.9 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 53% on our model.
Predicted score
1-0
Goexch pick
Sunderland
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Sunderland vs Hull on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

  1. Back61% chance

    Sunderland1.64

    Take 1.64 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.64 returns ₹164, stake included.

  2. Lay18% chance

    Hull City5.56

    Lay only at 5.56 or smaller. At 5.56, a ₹100 lay risks ₹456 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

  1. Home advantage

    Edge: Sunderland

    Sunderland are the stronger side and at home, which our model values at just over a fifth of a goal. Both advantages add up.

  2. Expected goals

    Edge: Goals

    2.9 expected goals is above the league average, and over 2.5 goals lands 56% of the time in our simulations.

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Sunderland

    Sunderland rate clearly higher and the draw is only 21%. If they score first, the match should go their way.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Sunderland vs Hull?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
53%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Expected goals
1.98 – 0.96
Half-time call
0-0

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Sunderland

Expect Sunderland to sit compact at Stadium of Light and wait for one chance rather than try to control the match.

Away · promoted

Hull City

As a promoted club, Hull will focus on keeping it tight on their trip to Stadium of Light. Their best chances tend to come from corners, free kicks and quick breaks.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

  • If Sunderland name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.

  • If Hull score first

    The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Sunderland vs Hull match preview

Sunderland host Hull City in front of their own fans, and the Goexch numbers lean towards Sunderland. The expected-goals gap (1.98 for Sunderland, 0.96 for Hull) is the clearest signal, and it is where our 61% for Sunderland comes from. Hull's best chance is to keep it level into the last 30 minutes, when the draw becomes a real possibility.

Calendar

Calendar check: Sunderland and Hull

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Sunderland play 3 days after their game away at Man Utd on 30 Dec, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go at home to Liverpool 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 19 of 38.

Hull play 4 days after their game at home to Leeds on 29 Dec. After this, they go away at Forest 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 19 of 38.

They meet again at MKM Stadium on Wed, 10 Feb 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.

  1. 29 DecHull vs LeedsMKM Stadium
  2. 30 DecMan Utd vs SunderlandOld Trafford
  3. 02 JanSunderland vs HullStadium of Light
  4. 05 JanForest vs HullCity Ground
  5. 05 JanSunderland vs LiverpoolStadium of Light

Keep reading

More Sunderland and Hull predictions

  1. 10 FebHull City vs SunderlandPremier League · 01:30 IST, next day
  2. 05 JanSunderland vs LiverpoolPremier League · 01:45 IST, next day
  3. 16 JanChelsea vs SunderlandPremier League · 20:30 IST
  4. 05 JanNottingham Forest vs Hull CityPremier League · 01:00 IST, next day
  5. 16 JanHull City vs ArsenalPremier League · 20:30 IST
  6. 02 JanBrighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester UnitedPremier League · 18:00 IST

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FAQ · 9

Sunderland vs Hull City FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Sunderland vs Hull?

Goexch predicts Sunderland to win. Our goals model gives Sunderland 61%, the draw 21% and Hull 18%, which we class as a clear lean.

What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Hull City?

Our predicted score is 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 1-0, at 10%.

What are the fair odds for Sunderland vs Hull?

On our numbers: Sunderland 1.64, draw 4.76, Hull 5.56. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Sunderland vs Hull City kick off in India?

20:30 IST IST on Sat, 02 Jan 2027 (15:00 in the UK), at Stadium of Light in Sunderland. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Sunderland vs Hull on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Sunderland at 1.64 or bigger, or lay Hull City at 5.56 or smaller. Laying means you win if Hull City do not win; at 5.56, a ₹100 lay risks ₹456. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Sunderland vs Hull match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein Sunderland aage hain: Sunderland 61%, draw 21%, Hull 18%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.

Where can I watch Sunderland vs Hull?

Indian TV rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings near the day.

How many goals are expected in Sunderland vs Hull?

2.9 expected goals in total. The most likely number of goals is 2, and a 0-0 comes up 5% of the time.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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Sources and official information

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