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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Hull City vs Sunderland prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictCoin flip

Too close to call, with a slight lean to Sunderland. The Goexch goals model gives Hull 32%, the draw 25% and Sunderland 43%, and expects 2.9 goals in total. Our most likely score is 1-2. Kick-off: Wed, 10 Feb 2027, 01:30 IST, next day IST at MKM Stadium.

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. Hull City

    32%
    Back3.13Lay3.13

  2. Draw

    25%
    Back4.00Lay4.00

  3. SunderlandPick

    43%
    Back2.33Lay2.33
Start
01:30
IST
Date
Wed, 10 Feb 2027 · 20:00 UK
Venue
MKM Stadium, Hull

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Hull vs Sunderland in brief

  • Sunderland 43%, draw 25%, Hull 32%, which makes this a coin flip.
  • Predicted score 1-2, with the goals line finely balanced (2.9 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 57% on our model.
Predicted score
1-2
Goexch pick
Sunderland
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Hull vs Sunderland on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

  1. Back43% chance

    Sunderland2.33

    Take 2.33 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 2.33 returns ₹233, stake included.

  2. Lay32% chance

    Hull City3.13

    Lay only at 3.13 or smaller. At 3.13, a ₹100 lay risks ₹213 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

  1. Home advantage

    Edge: Even

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Hull. That narrows the gap but does not cancel Sunderland's extra quality.

  2. Expected goals

    Edge: Even

    At 2.9 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to 50/50 (54% for the over).

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Sunderland

    Sunderland rate clearly higher and the draw is only 25%. If they score first, the match should go their way.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Hull vs Sunderland?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.55
Half-time call
0-0

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home · promoted

Hull City

As a promoted club, Hull will focus on keeping it tight at MKM Stadium. Their best chances tend to come from corners, free kicks and quick breaks.

Away

Sunderland

Expect Sunderland to sit compact on their trip to MKM Stadium and wait for one chance rather than try to control the match.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

  • If Sunderland name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.

  • If Hull score first

    The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Hull vs Sunderland match preview

Hull City host Sunderland in front of their own fans, and the Goexch numbers lean towards Sunderland. The expected-goals gap (1.30 for Hull, 1.55 for Sunderland) is the clearest signal, and it is where our 43% for Sunderland comes from. Hull's best chance is to keep it level into the last 30 minutes, when the draw becomes a real possibility.

Calendar

Calendar check: Hull and Sunderland

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Hull play 4 days after their game away at Brighton on 06 Feb. After this, they go away at Liverpool 10 days after this one. League game 25 of 38.

Sunderland play 4 days after their game at home to Villa on 06 Feb. After this, they go at home to Everton 10 days after this one. League game 25 of 38.

These sides already met at Stadium of Light on Sat, 02 Jan 2027, making this the return fixture.

  1. 06 FebBrighton vs HullAmerican Express Stadium
  2. 06 FebSunderland vs VillaStadium of Light
  3. 10 FebHull vs SunderlandMKM Stadium
  4. 20 FebLiverpool vs HullAnfield
  5. 20 FebSunderland vs EvertonStadium of Light

Keep reading

More Hull and Sunderland predictions

  1. 02 JanSunderland vs Hull CityPremier League · 20:30 IST
  2. 20 FebLiverpool vs Hull CityPremier League · 20:30 IST
  3. 27 FebHull City vs Manchester CityPremier League · 20:30 IST
  4. 20 FebSunderland vs EvertonPremier League · 20:30 IST
  5. 27 FebCrystal Palace vs SunderlandPremier League · 20:30 IST
  6. 10 FebAston Villa vs AFC BournemouthPremier League · 01:30 IST, next day

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FAQ · 9

Hull City vs Sunderland FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Hull vs Sunderland?

Goexch predicts Sunderland to win. Our goals model gives Hull 32%, the draw 25% and Sunderland 43%, which we class as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Sunderland?

Our predicted score is 1-2, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.

What are the fair odds for Hull vs Sunderland?

On our numbers: Hull 3.13, draw 4.00, Sunderland 2.33. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Hull City vs Sunderland kick off in India?

01:30 IST, next day IST on Wed, 10 Feb 2027 (20:00 in the UK), at MKM Stadium in Hull. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Hull vs Sunderland on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Sunderland at 2.33 or bigger, or lay Hull City at 3.13 or smaller. Laying means you win if Hull City do not win; at 3.13, a ₹100 lay risks ₹213. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Hull vs Sunderland match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein Sunderland aage hain: Hull 32%, draw 25%, Sunderland 43%. Sabse sambhav score 1-2 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

How many goals are expected in Hull vs Sunderland?

2.9 expected goals in total. The most likely number of goals is 2, and a 0-0 comes up 6% of the time.

Will both teams score in Hull vs Sunderland?

We put both teams to score at 57%, so we lean yes. Over 2.5 goals is 54%.

Can Hull cause an upset?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined defence and a quiet day for Sunderland's attack. We give Hull a 32% chance.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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Sources and official information

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