Goexch
Get your ID

FootballPremier League 2026/27

Sunderland vs Everton prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictCoin flip

Too close to call, with a slight lean to Sunderland. The Goexch goals model gives Sunderland 48%, the draw 25% and Everton 27%, and expects 2.8 goals in total. Our most likely score is 1-0. Kick-off: Sat, 20 Feb 2027, 20:30 IST IST at Stadium of Light.

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. SunderlandPick

    48%
    Back2.08Lay2.08

  2. Draw

    25%
    Back4.00Lay4.00

  3. Everton

    27%
    Back3.70Lay3.70
Start
20:30
IST
Date
Sat, 20 Feb 2027 · 15:00 UK
Venue
Stadium of Light, Sunderland

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Sunderland vs Everton in brief

  • Sunderland 48%, draw 25%, Everton 27%, which makes this a coin flip.
  • Predicted score 1-0, with the goals line finely balanced (2.8 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 54% on our model.
Predicted score
1-0
Goexch pick
Sunderland
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Sunderland vs Everton on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

  1. Back48% chance

    Sunderland2.08

    Take 2.08 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 2.08 returns ₹208, stake included.

  2. Lay27% chance

    Everton3.70

    Lay only at 3.70 or smaller. At 3.70, a ₹100 lay risks ₹270 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

  1. Home advantage

    Edge: Sunderland

    Sunderland are the stronger side and at home, which our model values at just over a fifth of a goal. Both advantages add up.

  2. Expected goals

    Edge: Even

    At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to 50/50 (52% for the over).

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Sunderland

    Sunderland rate clearly higher and the draw is only 25%. If they score first, the match should go their way.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Sunderland vs Everton?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.14
Half-time call
0-0

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Sunderland

Expect Sunderland to sit compact at Stadium of Light and wait for one chance rather than try to control the match.

Away

Everton

Everton are a practical mid-table side: solid without the ball on their trip to Stadium of Light, but lacking the creativity to run a game.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

  • If Sunderland name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.

  • If Everton score first

    The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Sunderland vs Everton match preview

Sunderland host Everton in front of their own fans, and the Goexch numbers lean towards Sunderland. The expected-goals gap (1.62 for Sunderland, 1.14 for Everton) is the clearest signal, and it is where our 48% for Sunderland comes from. Everton's best chance is to keep it level into the last 30 minutes, when the draw becomes a real possibility.

Calendar

Calendar check: Sunderland and Everton

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Sunderland play 10 days after their game away at Hull on 10 Feb. After this, they go away at Palace 7 days after this one. League game 26 of 38.

Everton play 10 days after their game at home to Leeds on 10 Feb. After this, they go at home to Forest 7 days after this one. League game 26 of 38.

These sides already met at Hill Dickinson Stadium on Sat, 26 Dec 2026, making this the return fixture.

  1. 10 FebHull vs SunderlandMKM Stadium
  2. 10 FebEverton vs LeedsHill Dickinson Stadium
  3. 20 FebSunderland vs EvertonStadium of Light
  4. 27 FebPalace vs SunderlandSelhurst Park
  5. 27 FebEverton vs ForestHill Dickinson Stadium

Keep reading

More Sunderland and Everton predictions

  1. 26 DecEverton vs SunderlandPremier League · 20:30 IST
  2. 27 FebCrystal Palace vs SunderlandPremier League · 20:30 IST
  3. 03 MarSunderland vs Manchester UnitedPremier League · 01:30 IST, next day
  4. 27 FebEverton vs Nottingham ForestPremier League · 20:30 IST
  5. 03 MarManchester City vs EvertonPremier League · 01:30 IST, next day
  6. 20 FebAFC Bournemouth vs Crystal PalacePremier League · 20:30 IST

Back or lay it live

Trade this match with your Goexch ID

One ID for cricket, football and tennis, with 24/7 WhatsApp support in English and Hindi. 18+ only. Set a budget first and bet responsibly.

Get your ID on WhatsApp

FAQ · 9

Sunderland vs Everton FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Sunderland vs Everton?

Goexch predicts Sunderland to win. Our goals model gives Sunderland 48%, the draw 25% and Everton 27%, which we class as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Everton?

Our predicted score is 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.

What are the fair odds for Sunderland vs Everton?

On our numbers: Sunderland 2.08, draw 4.00, Everton 3.70. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Sunderland vs Everton kick off in India?

20:30 IST IST on Sat, 20 Feb 2027 (15:00 in the UK), at Stadium of Light in Sunderland. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Sunderland vs Everton on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Sunderland at 2.08 or bigger, or lay Everton at 3.70 or smaller. Laying means you win if Everton do not win; at 3.70, a ₹100 lay risks ₹270. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Sunderland vs Everton match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein Sunderland aage hain: Sunderland 48%, draw 25%, Everton 27%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Everton?

We put both teams to score at 54%, so we lean yes. Over 2.5 goals is 52%.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.

Where can I watch Sunderland vs Everton?

Indian TV rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings near the day.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

Check it at the source

Sources and official information

External sites open in a new tab. We aren't affiliated with them.