FootballPremier League 2026/27
Everton vs Fulham prediction
Goexch verdictSlight lean
Goexch backs Everton in Everton vs Fulham, with a 55% win chance (slight lean). The model's most likely score is 1-0, the draw is 24%, both teams score 52% of the time and over 2.5 goals lands 52% of the time. Kick-off: Sat, 05 Dec 2026, 20:30 IST IST at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
Quick read
Everton vs Fulham in brief
- Everton 55%, draw 24%, Fulham 21%, which makes this a slight lean.
- Predicted score 1-0, with the goals line finely balanced (2.8 xG).
- Both teams to score: 52% on our model.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Goexch pick
- Everton
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Exchange plan
How should you trade Everton vs Fulham on Goexch?
Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.
Back55% chance
Everton1.82
Take 1.82 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.82 returns ₹182, stake included.
Lay21% chance
Fulham4.76
Lay only at 4.76 or smaller. At 4.76, a ₹100 lay risks ₹376 to win ₹100.
Key factors
What will decide this match?
Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.
Home advantage
Edge: Everton
Everton are the stronger side and at home, which our model values at just over a fifth of a goal. Both advantages add up.
Expected goals
Edge: Even
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to 50/50 (52% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Everton
Everton rate clearly higher and the draw is only 24%. If they score first, the match should go their way.
Goals model
How many goals will there be in Everton vs Fulham?
Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 52%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%
- Expected goals
- 1.76 – 1.00
- Half-time call
- 0-0
Team set-up
How will the two teams line up?
Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Everton
Expect Everton to sit compact at Hill Dickinson Stadium and wait for one chance rather than try to control the match.
Away
Fulham
Expect Fulham to sit compact on their trip to Hill Dickinson Stadium and wait for one chance rather than try to control the match.
Risk radar
What could change the prediction?
The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.
If Everton name a weakened XI
Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.
If Fulham score first
The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.
Preview
Everton vs Fulham match preview
Fulham visit Hill Dickinson Stadium in a 2026/27 Premier League match that the Goexch model rates as a slight lean. We project 1.76 expected goals for Everton and 1.00 for Fulham. Across thousands of simulated matches, Everton win 55% of them. An early goal would change everything for Fulham. Teams chasing a game leave gaps, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar
Calendar check: Everton and Fulham
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Everton play 3 days after their game away at Villa on 02 Dec, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go away at Brighton 7 days after this one. League game 14 of 38.
Fulham play 3 days after their game away at Spurs on 02 Dec, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go at home to Brentford 7 days after this one. League game 14 of 38.
They meet again at Craven Cottage on Sat, 01 May 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.
Keep reading
More Everton and Fulham predictions
- 01 MayFulham vs EvertonPremier League · 19:30 IST
- 12 DecBrighton & Hove Albion vs EvertonPremier League · 20:30 IST
- 19 DecNottingham Forest vs EvertonPremier League · 20:30 IST
- 12 DecFulham vs BrentfordPremier League · 20:30 IST
- 19 DecLeeds United vs FulhamPremier League · 20:30 IST
- 05 DecAFC Bournemouth vs Hull CityPremier League · 20:30 IST
FAQ · 9
Everton vs Fulham FAQs
Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.
Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp
Who will win Everton vs Fulham?
Goexch predicts Everton to win. Our goals model gives Everton 55%, the draw 24% and Fulham 21%, which we class as a slight lean.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Fulham?
Our predicted score is 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 1-0, at 11%.
What are the fair odds for Everton vs Fulham?
On our numbers: Everton 1.82, draw 4.17, Fulham 4.76. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.
What time does Everton vs Fulham kick off in India?
20:30 IST IST on Sat, 05 Dec 2026 (15:00 in the UK), at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.
How do I trade Everton vs Fulham on the Goexch exchange?
On our numbers, back Everton at 1.82 or bigger, or lay Fulham at 4.76 or smaller. Laying means you win if Fulham do not win; at 4.76, a ₹100 lay risks ₹376. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.
Everton vs Fulham match kaun jeetega?
Goexch goals model mein Everton aage hain: Everton 55%, draw 24%, Fulham 21%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Can Fulham cause an upset?
Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined defence and a quiet day for Everton's attack. We give Fulham a 21% chance.
How many goals are expected in Everton vs Fulham?
2.8 expected goals in total. The most likely number of goals is 2, and a 0-0 comes up 6% of the time.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Fulham?
We put both teams to score at 52%, so we lean yes. Over 2.5 goals is 52%.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.
Check it at the source
Sources and official information
- Premier League fixturesOfficial fixture list, kick-off times and results.Premier League
- Laws of the GameThe official laws of football, including stoppage time and match duration.IFAB
- FIFAWorld Cup fixtures, results and tournament regulations.FIFA
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