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FootballPremier League · London derby

Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictStrong lean

On our numbers, Spurs beat Fulham 74% of the time, with the draw at 17%. We project 2.17 expected goals to 0.59 and a 2-0 score, with over 2.5 goals at 52%. Kick-off: Wed, 02 Dec 2026, 01:30 IST, next day IST at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. Tottenham HotspurPick

    74%
    Back1.35Lay1.35

  2. Draw

    17%
    Back5.88Lay5.88

  3. Fulham

    9%
    Back11.11Lay11.11
Start
01:30
IST
Date
Wed, 02 Dec 2026 · 20:00 UK
Venue
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Spurs vs Fulham in brief

  • Spurs 74%, draw 17%, Fulham 9%, which makes this a strong lean.
  • Predicted score 2-0, with the goals line finely balanced (2.8 xG).
  • This is the London derby, so expect more cards and fewer clear chances.
Predicted score
2-0
Goexch pick
Spurs
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
4.5-5.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Spurs vs Fulham on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

  1. Back74% chance

    Tottenham Hotspur1.35

    Take 1.35 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.35 returns ₹135, stake included.

  2. Lay9% chance

    Fulham11.11

    Lay only at 11.11 or smaller. At 11.11, a ₹100 lay risks ₹1011 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

  1. Home advantage

    Edge: Spurs

    Spurs are the stronger side and at home, which our model values at just over a fifth of a goal. Both advantages add up.

  2. Expected goals

    Edge: Even

    At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to 50/50 (52% for the over).

  3. Derby intensity

    Edge: Draw

    The London derby brings extra intensity, more fouls and a projected 4.5-5.5 cards. Derbies often finish closer than the league table suggests.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Spurs vs Fulham?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
39%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Expected goals
2.17 – 0.59
Half-time call
0-0

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Tottenham Hotspur

Spurs are well drilled and have enough quality up front to punish mistakes at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Everything they do starts with control of midfield.

Away

Fulham

Fulham are a practical mid-table side: solid without the ball on their trip to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, but lacking the creativity to run a game.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

  • If Spurs name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.

  • If Fulham score first

    The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Spurs vs Fulham match preview

Tottenham Hotspur host Fulham in front of their own fans, and the Goexch numbers lean towards Spurs. Because this is the London derby, form counts for less than usual, and we have pulled the numbers closer together to reflect that. The expected-goals gap (2.17 for Spurs, 0.59 for Fulham) is the clearest signal, and it is where our 74% for Spurs comes from. Fulham's best chance is to keep it level into the last 30 minutes, when the draw becomes a real possibility.

Calendar

Calendar check: Spurs and Fulham

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Spurs play 3 days after their game away at Sunderland on 29 Nov, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go at home to Arsenal 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 13 of 38.

Fulham play 3 days after their game at home to Bournemouth on 29 Nov, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go away at Everton 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 13 of 38.

They meet again at Craven Cottage on Wed, 06 Jan 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.

  1. 29 NovSunderland vs SpursStadium of Light
  2. 29 NovFulham vs BournemouthCraven Cottage
  3. 02 DecSpurs vs FulhamTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  4. 05 DecSpurs vs ArsenalTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  5. 05 DecEverton vs FulhamHill Dickinson Stadium

Keep reading

More Spurs and Fulham predictions

  1. 06 JanFulham vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League · 01:00 IST, next day
  2. 05 DecTottenham Hotspur vs ArsenalPremier League · 20:30 IST
  3. 12 DecHull City vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League · 20:30 IST
  4. 05 DecEverton vs FulhamPremier League · 20:30 IST
  5. 12 DecFulham vs BrentfordPremier League · 20:30 IST
  6. 02 DecAFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League · 01:30 IST, next day

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FAQ · 9

Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Spurs vs Fulham?

Goexch predicts Tottenham Hotspur to win. Our goals model gives Spurs 74%, the draw 17% and Fulham 9%, which we class as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham?

Our predicted score is 2-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 15%.

What are the fair odds for Spurs vs Fulham?

On our numbers: Spurs 1.35, draw 5.88, Fulham 11.11. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham kick off in India?

01:30 IST, next day IST on Wed, 02 Dec 2026 (20:00 in the UK), at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Spurs vs Fulham on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Tottenham Hotspur at 1.35 or bigger, or lay Fulham at 11.11 or smaller. Laying means you win if Fulham do not win; at 11.11, a ₹100 lay risks ₹1011. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Spurs vs Fulham match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein Tottenham Hotspur aage hain: Spurs 74%, draw 17%, Fulham 9%. Sabse sambhav score 2-0 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Will both teams score in Spurs vs Fulham?

We put both teams to score at 39%, so we lean no. Over 2.5 goals is 52%.

Where can I watch Spurs vs Fulham?

Indian TV rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings near the day.

How many goals are expected in Spurs vs Fulham?

2.8 expected goals in total. The most likely number of goals is 2, and a 0-0 comes up 6% of the time.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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