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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictCoin flip

Too close to call, with a slight lean to Bournemouth. The Goexch goals model gives Fulham 36%, the draw 25% and Bournemouth 39%, and expects 2.8 goals in total. Our most likely score is 0-1. Kick-off: Sun, 29 Nov 2026, 19:35 IST IST at Craven Cottage.

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. Fulham

    36%
    Back2.78Lay2.78

  2. Draw

    25%
    Back4.00Lay4.00

  3. AFC BournemouthPick

    39%
    Back2.56Lay2.56
Start
19:35
IST
Date
Sun, 29 Nov 2026 · 14:05 UK
Venue
Craven Cottage, London

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Fulham vs Bournemouth in brief

  • Bournemouth 39%, draw 25%, Fulham 36%, which makes this a coin flip.
  • Predicted score 0-1, with the goals line finely balanced (2.8 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 57% on our model.
Predicted score
0-1
Goexch pick
Bournemouth
UK broadcast
Sky Sports
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Fulham vs Bournemouth on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

  1. Back39% chance

    AFC Bournemouth2.56

    Take 2.56 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 2.56 returns ₹256, stake included.

  2. Lay36% chance

    Fulham2.78

    Lay only at 2.78 or smaller. At 2.78, a ₹100 lay risks ₹178 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

  1. Home advantage

    Edge: Even

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Fulham. That narrows the gap but does not cancel Bournemouth's extra quality.

  2. Expected goals

    Edge: Even

    At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to 50/50 (53% for the over).

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Bournemouth

    Bournemouth rate clearly higher and the draw is only 25%. If they score first, the match should go their way.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Fulham vs Bournemouth?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.44
Half-time call
0-0

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Fulham

Expect Fulham to sit compact at Craven Cottage and wait for one chance rather than try to control the match.

Away

AFC Bournemouth

Bournemouth are a practical mid-table side: solid without the ball on their trip to Craven Cottage, but lacking the creativity to run a game.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

  • If Bournemouth name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.

  • If Fulham score first

    The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Fulham vs Bournemouth match preview

AFC Bournemouth visit Craven Cottage in a 2026/27 Premier League match that the Goexch model rates as a coin flip. We project 1.36 expected goals for Fulham and 1.44 for Bournemouth. Across thousands of simulated matches, Bournemouth win 39% of them. An early goal would change everything for Fulham. Teams chasing a game leave gaps, and that is where upsets come from.

Calendar

Calendar check: Fulham and Bournemouth

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Fulham play 8 days after their game away at Man City on 21 Nov. After this, they go away at Spurs 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 12 of 38.

Bournemouth play 8 days after their game at home to Forest on 21 Nov. After this, they go at home to Brighton 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 12 of 38.

They meet again at Vitality Stadium on Sat, 30 Jan 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.

  1. 21 NovMan City vs FulhamEtihad Stadium
  2. 21 NovBournemouth vs ForestVitality Stadium
  3. 29 NovFulham vs BournemouthCraven Cottage
  4. 02 DecSpurs vs FulhamTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  5. 02 DecBournemouth vs BrightonVitality Stadium

Keep reading

More Fulham and Bournemouth predictions

  1. 30 JanAFC Bournemouth vs FulhamPremier League · 20:30 IST
  2. 02 DecTottenham Hotspur vs FulhamPremier League · 01:30 IST, next day
  3. 05 DecEverton vs FulhamPremier League · 20:30 IST
  4. 02 DecAFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League · 01:30 IST, next day
  5. 05 DecAFC Bournemouth vs Hull CityPremier League · 20:30 IST
  6. 29 NovEverton vs LiverpoolPremier League · 17:30 IST

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FAQ · 9

Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Fulham vs Bournemouth?

Goexch predicts AFC Bournemouth to win. Our goals model gives Fulham 36%, the draw 25% and Bournemouth 39%, which we class as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth?

Our predicted score is 0-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.

What are the fair odds for Fulham vs Bournemouth?

On our numbers: Fulham 2.78, draw 4.00, Bournemouth 2.56. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth kick off in India?

19:35 IST IST on Sun, 29 Nov 2026 (14:05 in the UK), at Craven Cottage in London. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Fulham vs Bournemouth on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back AFC Bournemouth at 2.56 or bigger, or lay Fulham at 2.78 or smaller. Laying means you win if Fulham do not win; at 2.78, a ₹100 lay risks ₹178. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Fulham vs Bournemouth match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein AFC Bournemouth aage hain: Fulham 36%, draw 25%, Bournemouth 39%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Can Fulham cause an upset?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined defence and a quiet day for Bournemouth's attack. We give Fulham a 36% chance.

Where can I watch Fulham vs Bournemouth?

In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Indian TV rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings near the day.

Will both teams score in Fulham vs Bournemouth?

We put both teams to score at 57%, so we lean yes. Over 2.5 goals is 53%.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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