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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Hull City vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictStrong lean

On our numbers, Spurs beat Hull 72% of the time, with the draw at 17%. We project 0.83 expected goals to 2.38 and a 0-2 score, with over 2.5 goals at 62%. Kick-off: Sat, 12 Dec 2026, 20:30 IST IST at MKM Stadium.

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. Hull City

    11%
    Back9.09Lay9.09

  2. Draw

    17%
    Back5.88Lay5.88

  3. Tottenham HotspurPick

    72%
    Back1.39Lay1.39
Start
20:30
IST
Date
Sat, 12 Dec 2026 · 15:00 UK
Venue
MKM Stadium, Hull

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Hull vs Spurs in brief

  • Spurs 72%, draw 17%, Hull 11%, which makes this a strong lean.
  • Predicted score 0-2, with goals expected (3.2 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 51% on our model.
Predicted score
0-2
Goexch pick
Spurs
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Hull vs Spurs on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

  1. Back72% chance

    Tottenham Hotspur1.39

    Take 1.39 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.39 returns ₹139, stake included.

  2. Lay11% chance

    Hull City9.09

    Lay only at 9.09 or smaller. At 9.09, a ₹100 lay risks ₹809 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

  1. Home advantage

    Edge: Even

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Hull. That narrows the gap but does not cancel Spurs's extra quality.

  2. Expected goals

    Edge: Goals

    3.2 expected goals is above the league average, and over 2.5 goals lands 62% of the time in our simulations.

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Spurs

    Spurs rate clearly higher and the draw is only 17%. If they score first, the match should go their way.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Hull vs Spurs?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Expected goals
0.83 – 2.38
Half-time call
0-1

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home · promoted

Hull City

As a promoted club, Hull will focus on keeping it tight at MKM Stadium. Their best chances tend to come from corners, free kicks and quick breaks.

Away

Tottenham Hotspur

Spurs are well drilled and have enough quality up front to punish mistakes on their trip to MKM Stadium. Everything they do starts with control of midfield.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

  • If Spurs name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.

  • If Hull score first

    The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Hull vs Spurs match preview

Hull City host Tottenham Hotspur in front of their own fans, and the Goexch numbers lean towards Spurs. The expected-goals gap (0.83 for Hull, 2.38 for Spurs) is the clearest signal, and it is where our 72% for Spurs comes from. Hull's best chance is to keep it level into the last 30 minutes, when the draw becomes a real possibility.

Calendar

Calendar check: Hull and Spurs

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Hull play 7 days after their game away at Bournemouth on 05 Dec. After this, they go away at Man City 7 days after this one. League game 15 of 38.

Spurs play 7 days after their game at home to Arsenal on 05 Dec. After this, they go away at Liverpool 7 days after this one. League game 15 of 38.

They meet again at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sat, 24 Apr 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.

  1. 05 DecBournemouth vs HullVitality Stadium
  2. 05 DecSpurs vs ArsenalTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  3. 12 DecHull vs SpursMKM Stadium
  4. 19 DecMan City vs HullEtihad Stadium
  5. 19 DecLiverpool vs SpursAnfield

Keep reading

More Hull and Spurs predictions

  1. 24 AprTottenham Hotspur vs Hull CityPremier League · 19:30 IST
  2. 19 DecManchester City vs Hull CityPremier League · 20:30 IST
  3. 26 DecHull City vs LiverpoolPremier League · 23:00 IST
  4. 19 DecLiverpool vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League · 20:30 IST
  5. 26 DecTottenham Hotspur vs AFC BournemouthPremier League · 20:30 IST
  6. 12 DecArsenal vs AFC BournemouthPremier League · 20:30 IST

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FAQ · 9

Hull City vs Tottenham Hotspur FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Hull vs Spurs?

Goexch predicts Tottenham Hotspur to win. Our goals model gives Hull 11%, the draw 17% and Spurs 72%, which we class as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Our predicted score is 0-2, with 0-1 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 0-2, at 11%.

What are the fair odds for Hull vs Spurs?

On our numbers: Hull 9.09, draw 5.88, Spurs 1.39. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Hull City vs Tottenham Hotspur kick off in India?

20:30 IST IST on Sat, 12 Dec 2026 (15:00 in the UK), at MKM Stadium in Hull. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Hull vs Spurs on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Tottenham Hotspur at 1.39 or bigger, or lay Hull City at 9.09 or smaller. Laying means you win if Hull City do not win; at 9.09, a ₹100 lay risks ₹809. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Hull vs Spurs match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein Tottenham Hotspur aage hain: Hull 11%, draw 17%, Spurs 72%. Sabse sambhav score 0-2 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Can Hull cause an upset?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined defence and a quiet day for Spurs's attack. We give Hull a 11% chance.

How many goals are expected in Hull vs Spurs?

3.2 expected goals in total. The most likely number of goals is 3, and a 0-0 comes up 4% of the time.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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