FootballPremier League 2026/27
Hull City vs Liverpool prediction
Goexch verdict
Liverpool are our pick (strong lean). The Goexch goals model gives them a 79% chance to win, a fair back price of 1.27, with the draw at 13%. We expect 3.6 goals and a 0-2 score, and both teams score in 52% of simulations. Kick-off: Sat, 26 Dec 2026, 23:00 IST IST at MKM Stadium.
Quick read
Hull vs Liverpool in brief
- Liverpool 79%, draw 13%, Hull 8%, which makes this a strong lean.
- Predicted score 0-2, with goals expected (3.6 xG).
- Both teams to score: 52% on our model.
- Predicted score
- 0-2
- Goexch pick
- Liverpool
- UK broadcast
- Sky Sports
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Exchange plan
How should you trade Hull vs Liverpool on Goexch?
Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.
Back79% chance
Liverpool1.27
Take 1.27 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.27 returns ₹127, stake included.
Lay8% chance
Hull City12.50
Lay only at 12.50 or smaller. At 12.50, a ₹100 lay risks ₹1150 to win ₹100.
Key factors
What will decide this match?
Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.
Home advantage
Edge: Even
Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Hull. That narrows the gap but does not cancel Liverpool's extra quality.
Expected goals
Edge: Goals
3.6 expected goals is above the league average, and over 2.5 goals lands 70% of the time in our simulations.
Quality gap
Edge: Liverpool
Liverpool rate clearly higher and the draw is only 13%. If they score first, the match should go their way.
Goals model
How many goals will there be in Hull vs Liverpool?
Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 52%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 70%
- Expected goals
- 0.80 – 2.80
- Half-time call
- 0-1
Team set-up
How will the two teams line up?
Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.
Home · promoted
Hull City
As a promoted club, Hull will focus on keeping it tight at MKM Stadium. Their best chances tend to come from corners, free kicks and quick breaks.
Away
Liverpool
Liverpool have a squad deep enough to challenge for the title. They squeeze opponents on their trip to MKM Stadium, so Hull will need a disciplined low block to stay in the game.
Risk radar
What could change the prediction?
The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.
If Liverpool name a weakened XI
Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.
If Hull score first
The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.
Preview
Hull vs Liverpool match preview
Hull City host Liverpool in front of their own fans, and the Goexch numbers lean towards Liverpool. The expected-goals gap (0.80 for Hull, 2.80 for Liverpool) is the clearest signal, and it is where our 79% for Liverpool comes from. Hull's best chance is to keep it level into the last 30 minutes, when the draw becomes a real possibility.
Calendar
Calendar check: Hull and Liverpool
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Hull play 7 days after their game away at Man City on 19 Dec. After this, they go at home to Leeds 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 17 of 38.
Liverpool play 7 days after their game at home to Spurs on 19 Dec. After this, they go away at Villa 4 days after this one. League game 17 of 38.
They meet again at Anfield on Sat, 20 Feb 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.
Keep reading
More Hull and Liverpool predictions
- 20 FebLiverpool vs Hull CityPremier League · 20:30 IST
- 29 DecHull City vs Leeds UnitedPremier League · 01:00 IST, next day
- 02 JanSunderland vs Hull CityPremier League · 20:30 IST
- 30 DecAston Villa vs LiverpoolPremier League · 01:45 IST, next day
- 02 JanLiverpool vs Coventry CityPremier League · 20:30 IST
- 26 DecAston Villa vs Leeds UnitedPremier League · 18:00 IST
FAQ · 9
Hull City vs Liverpool FAQs
Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.
Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp
Who will win Hull vs Liverpool?
Goexch predicts Liverpool to win. Our goals model gives Hull 8%, the draw 13% and Liverpool 79%, which we class as a strong lean.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Liverpool?
Our predicted score is 0-2, with 0-1 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 0-2, at 11%.
What are the fair odds for Hull vs Liverpool?
On our numbers: Hull 12.50, draw 7.69, Liverpool 1.27. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.
What time does Hull City vs Liverpool kick off in India?
23:00 IST IST on Sat, 26 Dec 2026 (17:30 in the UK), at MKM Stadium in Hull. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.
How do I trade Hull vs Liverpool on the Goexch exchange?
On our numbers, back Liverpool at 1.27 or bigger, or lay Hull City at 12.50 or smaller. Laying means you win if Hull City do not win; at 12.50, a ₹100 lay risks ₹1150. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.
Hull vs Liverpool match kaun jeetega?
Goexch goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Hull 8%, draw 13%, Liverpool 79%. Sabse sambhav score 0-2 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Will both teams score in Hull vs Liverpool?
We put both teams to score at 52%, so we lean yes. Over 2.5 goals is 70%.
Can Hull cause an upset?
Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined defence and a quiet day for Liverpool's attack. We give Hull a 8% chance.
Where can I watch Hull vs Liverpool?
In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Indian TV rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings near the day.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.
Check it at the source
Sources and official information
- Premier League fixturesOfficial fixture list, kick-off times and results.Premier League
- Laws of the GameThe official laws of football, including stoppage time and match duration.IFAB
- FIFAWorld Cup fixtures, results and tournament regulations.FIFA
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