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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictStrong lean

Liverpool are our pick (strong lean). The Goexch goals model gives them a 67% chance to win, a fair back price of 1.49, with the draw at 20%. We expect 2.8 goals and a 2-0 score, and both teams score in 47% of simulations. Kick-off: Sat, 19 Dec 2026, 20:30 IST IST at Anfield.

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. LiverpoolPick

    67%
    Back1.49Lay1.49

  2. Draw

    20%
    Back5.00Lay5.00

  3. Tottenham Hotspur

    13%
    Back7.69Lay7.69
Start
20:30
IST
Date
Sat, 19 Dec 2026 · 15:00 UK
Venue
Anfield, Liverpool

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Liverpool vs Spurs in brief

  • Liverpool 67%, draw 20%, Spurs 13%, which makes this a strong lean.
  • Predicted score 2-0, with the goals line finely balanced (2.8 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 47% on our model.
Predicted score
2-0
Goexch pick
Liverpool
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Liverpool vs Spurs on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

  1. Back67% chance

    Liverpool1.49

    Take 1.49 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.49 returns ₹149, stake included.

  2. Lay13% chance

    Tottenham Hotspur7.69

    Lay only at 7.69 or smaller. At 7.69, a ₹100 lay risks ₹669 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

  1. Home advantage

    Edge: Liverpool

    Liverpool are the stronger side and at home, which our model values at just over a fifth of a goal. Both advantages add up.

  2. Expected goals

    Edge: Even

    At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to 50/50 (53% for the over).

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Liverpool

    Liverpool rate clearly higher and the draw is only 20%. If they score first, the match should go their way.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Spurs?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
47%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Expected goals
2.04 – 0.78
Half-time call
0-0

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Liverpool

Liverpool are built to dominate the ball. They should have most of the possession at Anfield and keep Spurs pinned in their own half for long spells.

Away

Tottenham Hotspur

Spurs are organised and hard to break down, and they usually get results on their trip to Anfield by winning the midfield.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

  • If Liverpool name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.

  • If Spurs score first

    The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Liverpool vs Spurs match preview

Tottenham Hotspur visit Anfield in a 2026/27 Premier League match that the Goexch model rates as a strong lean. We project 2.04 expected goals for Liverpool and 0.78 for Spurs. Across thousands of simulated matches, Liverpool win 67% of them. An early goal would change everything for Spurs. Teams chasing a game leave gaps, and that is where upsets come from.

Calendar

Calendar check: Liverpool and Spurs

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Liverpool play 7 days after their game at home to Leeds on 12 Dec. After this, they go away at Hull 7 days after this one. League game 16 of 38.

Spurs play 7 days after their game away at Hull on 12 Dec. After this, they go at home to Bournemouth 7 days after this one. League game 16 of 38.

They meet again at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sat, 27 Feb 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.

  1. 12 DecLiverpool vs LeedsAnfield
  2. 12 DecHull vs SpursMKM Stadium
  3. 19 DecLiverpool vs SpursAnfield
  4. 26 DecSpurs vs BournemouthTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  5. 26 DecHull vs LiverpoolMKM Stadium

Keep reading

More Liverpool and Spurs predictions

  1. 27 FebTottenham Hotspur vs LiverpoolPremier League · 20:30 IST
  2. 26 DecHull City vs LiverpoolPremier League · 23:00 IST
  3. 30 DecAston Villa vs LiverpoolPremier League · 01:45 IST, next day
  4. 26 DecTottenham Hotspur vs AFC BournemouthPremier League · 20:30 IST
  5. 29 DecTottenham Hotspur vs Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League · 01:00 IST, next day
  6. 19 DecAFC Bournemouth vs Coventry CityPremier League · 20:30 IST

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FAQ · 9

Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Liverpool vs Spurs?

Goexch predicts Liverpool to win. Our goals model gives Liverpool 67%, the draw 20% and Spurs 13%, which we class as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Our predicted score is 2-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 12%.

What are the fair odds for Liverpool vs Spurs?

On our numbers: Liverpool 1.49, draw 5.00, Spurs 7.69. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur kick off in India?

20:30 IST IST on Sat, 19 Dec 2026 (15:00 in the UK), at Anfield in Liverpool. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Liverpool vs Spurs on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Liverpool at 1.49 or bigger, or lay Tottenham Hotspur at 7.69 or smaller. Laying means you win if Tottenham Hotspur do not win; at 7.69, a ₹100 lay risks ₹669. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Liverpool vs Spurs match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Liverpool 67%, draw 20%, Spurs 13%. Sabse sambhav score 2-0 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

How many goals are expected in Liverpool vs Spurs?

2.8 expected goals in total. The most likely number of goals is 2, and a 0-0 comes up 6% of the time.

Can Spurs cause an upset?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined defence and a quiet day for Liverpool's attack. We give Spurs a 13% chance.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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