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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictCoin flip

Too close to call, with a slight lean to Spurs. The Goexch goals model gives Spurs 38%, the draw 25% and Liverpool 37%, and expects 2.8 goals in total. Our most likely score is 2-1. Kick-off: Sat, 27 Feb 2027, 20:30 IST IST at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. Tottenham HotspurPick

    38%
    Back2.63Lay2.63

  2. Draw

    25%
    Back4.00Lay4.00

  3. Liverpool

    37%
    Back2.70Lay2.70
Start
20:30
IST
Date
Sat, 27 Feb 2027 · 15:00 UK
Venue
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Spurs vs Liverpool in brief

  • Spurs 38%, draw 25%, Liverpool 37%, which makes this a coin flip.
  • Predicted score 2-1, with the goals line finely balanced (2.8 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 57% on our model.
Predicted score
2-1
Goexch pick
Spurs
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Spurs vs Liverpool on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

  1. Back38% chance

    Tottenham Hotspur2.63

    Take 2.63 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 2.63 returns ₹263, stake included.

  2. Lay37% chance

    Liverpool2.70

    Lay only at 2.70 or smaller. At 2.70, a ₹100 lay risks ₹170 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

  1. Home advantage

    Edge: Spurs

    Spurs are the stronger side and at home, which our model values at just over a fifth of a goal. Both advantages add up.

  2. Expected goals

    Edge: Even

    At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to 50/50 (54% for the over).

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Spurs

    Spurs rate clearly higher and the draw is only 25%. If they score first, the match should go their way.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Spurs vs Liverpool?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.40
Half-time call
0-0

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Tottenham Hotspur

Spurs are organised and hard to break down, and they usually get results at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium by winning the midfield.

Away

Liverpool

Liverpool are built to dominate the ball. They should have most of the possession on their trip to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium and keep Spurs pinned in their own half for long spells.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

  • If Spurs name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.

  • If Liverpool score first

    The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Spurs vs Liverpool match preview

Liverpool visit Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in a 2026/27 Premier League match that the Goexch model rates as a coin flip. We project 1.43 expected goals for Spurs and 1.40 for Liverpool. Across thousands of simulated matches, Spurs win 38% of them. An early goal would change everything for Liverpool. Teams chasing a game leave gaps, and that is where upsets come from.

Calendar

Calendar check: Spurs and Liverpool

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Spurs play 7 days after their game away at Brighton on 20 Feb. After this, they go away at Bournemouth 4 days after this one. League game 27 of 38.

Liverpool play 7 days after their game at home to Hull on 20 Feb. After this, they go at home to Villa 4 days after this one. League game 27 of 38.

These sides already met at Anfield on Sat, 19 Dec 2026, making this the return fixture.

  1. 20 FebBrighton vs SpursAmerican Express Stadium
  2. 20 FebLiverpool vs HullAnfield
  3. 27 FebSpurs vs LiverpoolTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  4. 03 MarBournemouth vs SpursVitality Stadium
  5. 03 MarLiverpool vs VillaAnfield

Keep reading

More Spurs and Liverpool predictions

  1. 19 DecLiverpool vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League · 20:30 IST
  2. 03 MarAFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League · 01:30 IST, next day
  3. 13 MarTottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham ForestPremier League · 20:30 IST
  4. 03 MarLiverpool vs Aston VillaPremier League · 01:30 IST, next day
  5. 13 MarLiverpool vs Ipswich TownPremier League · 20:30 IST
  6. 27 FebAston Villa vs ChelseaPremier League · 20:30 IST

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FAQ · 9

Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Spurs vs Liverpool?

Goexch predicts Tottenham Hotspur to win. Our goals model gives Spurs 38%, the draw 25% and Liverpool 37%, which we class as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool?

Our predicted score is 2-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.

What are the fair odds for Spurs vs Liverpool?

On our numbers: Spurs 2.63, draw 4.00, Liverpool 2.70. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool kick off in India?

20:30 IST IST on Sat, 27 Feb 2027 (15:00 in the UK), at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Spurs vs Liverpool on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Tottenham Hotspur at 2.63 or bigger, or lay Liverpool at 2.70 or smaller. Laying means you win if Liverpool do not win; at 2.70, a ₹100 lay risks ₹170. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Spurs vs Liverpool match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein Tottenham Hotspur aage hain: Spurs 38%, draw 25%, Liverpool 37%. Sabse sambhav score 2-1 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Will both teams score in Spurs vs Liverpool?

We put both teams to score at 57%, so we lean yes. Over 2.5 goals is 54%.

Where can I watch Spurs vs Liverpool?

Indian TV rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings near the day.

Can Liverpool cause an upset?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined defence and a quiet day for Spurs's attack. We give Liverpool a 37% chance.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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Sources and official information

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