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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictCoin flip

Too close to call, with a slight lean to Spurs. The Goexch goals model gives Sunderland 28%, the draw 24% and Spurs 48%, and expects 2.9 goals in total. Our most likely score is 1-2. Kick-off: Sun, 29 Nov 2026, 19:35 IST IST at Stadium of Light.

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. Sunderland

    28%
    Back3.57Lay3.57

  2. Draw

    24%
    Back4.17Lay4.17

  3. Tottenham HotspurPick

    48%
    Back2.08Lay2.08
Start
19:35
IST
Date
Sun, 29 Nov 2026 · 14:05 UK
Venue
Stadium of Light, Sunderland

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Sunderland vs Spurs in brief

  • Spurs 48%, draw 24%, Sunderland 28%, which makes this a coin flip.
  • Predicted score 1-2, with goals expected (2.9 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 58% on our model.
Predicted score
1-2
Goexch pick
Spurs
UK broadcast
Sky Sports
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Sunderland vs Spurs on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

  1. Back48% chance

    Tottenham Hotspur2.08

    Take 2.08 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 2.08 returns ₹208, stake included.

  2. Lay28% chance

    Sunderland3.57

    Lay only at 3.57 or smaller. At 3.57, a ₹100 lay risks ₹257 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

  1. Home advantage

    Edge: Even

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Sunderland. That narrows the gap but does not cancel Spurs's extra quality.

  2. Expected goals

    Edge: Goals

    2.9 expected goals is above the league average, and over 2.5 goals lands 56% of the time in our simulations.

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Spurs

    Spurs rate clearly higher and the draw is only 24%. If they score first, the match should go their way.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Sunderland vs Spurs?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
58%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.68
Half-time call
0-0

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Sunderland

Sunderland are a practical mid-table side: solid without the ball at Stadium of Light, but lacking the creativity to run a game.

Away

Tottenham Hotspur

Spurs are organised and hard to break down, and they usually get results on their trip to Stadium of Light by winning the midfield.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

  • If Spurs name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.

  • If Sunderland score first

    The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Sunderland vs Spurs match preview

Tottenham Hotspur visit Stadium of Light in a 2026/27 Premier League match that the Goexch model rates as a coin flip. We project 1.24 expected goals for Sunderland and 1.68 for Spurs. Across thousands of simulated matches, Spurs win 48% of them. An early goal would change everything for Sunderland. Teams chasing a game leave gaps, and that is where upsets come from.

Calendar

Calendar check: Sunderland and Spurs

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Sunderland play 8 days after their game away at Villa on 21 Nov. After this, they go away at Liverpool 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 12 of 38.

Spurs play 8 days after their game at home to Ipswich on 21 Nov. After this, they go at home to Fulham 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 12 of 38.

They meet again at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sat, 30 Jan 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.

  1. 21 NovVilla vs SunderlandVilla Park
  2. 21 NovSpurs vs IpswichTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  3. 29 NovSunderland vs SpursStadium of Light
  4. 02 DecLiverpool vs SunderlandAnfield
  5. 02 DecSpurs vs FulhamTottenham Hotspur Stadium

Keep reading

More Sunderland and Spurs predictions

  1. 30 JanTottenham Hotspur vs SunderlandPremier League · 20:30 IST
  2. 02 DecLiverpool vs SunderlandPremier League · 01:30 IST, next day
  3. 05 DecNewcastle United vs SunderlandPremier League · 20:30 IST
  4. 02 DecTottenham Hotspur vs FulhamPremier League · 01:30 IST, next day
  5. 05 DecTottenham Hotspur vs ArsenalPremier League · 20:30 IST
  6. 29 NovEverton vs LiverpoolPremier League · 17:30 IST

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FAQ · 9

Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Sunderland vs Spurs?

Goexch predicts Tottenham Hotspur to win. Our goals model gives Sunderland 28%, the draw 24% and Spurs 48%, which we class as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Our predicted score is 1-2, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 11%.

What are the fair odds for Sunderland vs Spurs?

On our numbers: Sunderland 3.57, draw 4.17, Spurs 2.08. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur kick off in India?

19:35 IST IST on Sun, 29 Nov 2026 (14:05 in the UK), at Stadium of Light in Sunderland. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Sunderland vs Spurs on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Tottenham Hotspur at 2.08 or bigger, or lay Sunderland at 3.57 or smaller. Laying means you win if Sunderland do not win; at 3.57, a ₹100 lay risks ₹257. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Sunderland vs Spurs match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein Tottenham Hotspur aage hain: Sunderland 28%, draw 24%, Spurs 48%. Sabse sambhav score 1-2 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Spurs?

We put both teams to score at 58%, so we lean yes. Over 2.5 goals is 56%.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.

How many goals are expected in Sunderland vs Spurs?

2.9 expected goals in total. The most likely number of goals is 2, and a 0-0 comes up 6% of the time.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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