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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Liverpool vs Sunderland prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictStrong lean

Goexch backs Liverpool in Liverpool vs Sunderland, with a 86% win chance (strong lean). The model's most likely score is 2-0, the draw is 10%, both teams score 39% of the time and over 2.5 goals lands 68% of the time. Kick-off: Wed, 02 Dec 2026, 01:30 IST, next day IST at Anfield.

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. LiverpoolPick

    86%
    Back1.16Lay1.16

  2. Draw

    10%
    Back10.00Lay10.00

  3. Sunderland

    4%
    Back25.00Lay25.00
Start
01:30
IST
Date
Wed, 02 Dec 2026 · 20:00 UK
Venue
Anfield, Liverpool

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Liverpool vs Sunderland in brief

  • Liverpool 86%, draw 10%, Sunderland 4%, which makes this a strong lean.
  • Predicted score 2-0, with goals expected (3.5 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 39% on our model.
Predicted score
2-0
Goexch pick
Liverpool
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Liverpool vs Sunderland on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

  1. Back86% chance

    Liverpool1.16

    Take 1.16 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.16 returns ₹116, stake included.

  2. Lay4% chance

    Sunderland25.00

    Lay only at 25.00 or smaller. At 25.00, a ₹100 lay risks ₹2400 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

  1. Home advantage

    Edge: Liverpool

    Liverpool are the stronger side and at home, which our model values at just over a fifth of a goal. Both advantages add up.

  2. Expected goals

    Edge: Goals

    3.5 expected goals is above the league average, and over 2.5 goals lands 68% of the time in our simulations.

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Liverpool

    Liverpool rate clearly higher and the draw is only 10%. If they score first, the match should go their way.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Sunderland?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
39%
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Expected goals
2.95 – 0.53
Half-time call
1-0

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Liverpool

Liverpool are built to dominate the ball. They should have most of the possession at Anfield and keep Sunderland pinned in their own half for long spells.

Away

Sunderland

Sunderland are a practical mid-table side: solid without the ball on their trip to Anfield, but lacking the creativity to run a game.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

  • If Liverpool name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.

  • If Sunderland score first

    The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Liverpool vs Sunderland match preview

Sunderland visit Anfield in a 2026/27 Premier League match that the Goexch model rates as a strong lean. We project 2.95 expected goals for Liverpool and 0.53 for Sunderland. Across thousands of simulated matches, Liverpool win 86% of them. An early goal would change everything for Sunderland. Teams chasing a game leave gaps, and that is where upsets come from.

Calendar

Calendar check: Liverpool and Sunderland

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Liverpool play 3 days after their game away at Everton on 29 Nov, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go away at Chelsea 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 13 of 38.

Sunderland play 3 days after their game at home to Spurs on 29 Nov, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go away at Newcastle 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 13 of 38.

They meet again at Stadium of Light on Tue, 05 Jan 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.

  1. 29 NovEverton vs LiverpoolHill Dickinson Stadium
  2. 29 NovSunderland vs SpursStadium of Light
  3. 02 DecLiverpool vs SunderlandAnfield
  4. 05 DecChelsea vs LiverpoolStamford Bridge
  5. 05 DecNewcastle vs SunderlandSt James' Park

Keep reading

More Liverpool and Sunderland predictions

  1. 05 JanSunderland vs LiverpoolPremier League · 01:45 IST, next day
  2. 05 DecChelsea vs LiverpoolPremier League · 20:30 IST
  3. 12 DecLiverpool vs Leeds UnitedPremier League · 20:30 IST
  4. 05 DecNewcastle United vs SunderlandPremier League · 20:30 IST
  5. 12 DecSunderland vs Nottingham ForestPremier League · 20:30 IST
  6. 02 DecAFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League · 01:30 IST, next day

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FAQ · 9

Liverpool vs Sunderland FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Liverpool vs Sunderland?

Goexch predicts Liverpool to win. Our goals model gives Liverpool 86%, the draw 10% and Sunderland 4%, which we class as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Sunderland?

Our predicted score is 2-0, with 1-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 13%.

What are the fair odds for Liverpool vs Sunderland?

On our numbers: Liverpool 1.16, draw 10.00, Sunderland 25.00. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Liverpool vs Sunderland kick off in India?

01:30 IST, next day IST on Wed, 02 Dec 2026 (20:00 in the UK), at Anfield in Liverpool. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Liverpool vs Sunderland on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Liverpool at 1.16 or bigger, or lay Sunderland at 25.00 or smaller. Laying means you win if Sunderland do not win; at 25.00, a ₹100 lay risks ₹2400. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Liverpool vs Sunderland match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Liverpool 86%, draw 10%, Sunderland 4%. Sabse sambhav score 2-0 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Can Sunderland cause an upset?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined defence and a quiet day for Liverpool's attack. We give Sunderland a 4% chance.

Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Sunderland?

We put both teams to score at 39%, so we lean no. Over 2.5 goals is 68%.

Where can I watch Liverpool vs Sunderland?

Indian TV rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings near the day.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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Sources and official information

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