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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictStrong lean

Brighton & Hove Albion are our pick (strong lean). The Goexch goals model gives them a 65% chance to win, a fair back price of 1.54, with the draw at 19%. We expect 3.2 goals and a 1-2 score, and both teams score in 57% of simulations. Kick-off: Sun, 22 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST IST at MKM Stadium.

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. Hull City

    16%
    Back6.25Lay6.25

  2. Draw

    19%
    Back5.26Lay5.26

  3. Brighton & Hove AlbionPick

    65%
    Back1.54Lay1.54
Start
19:30
IST
Date
Sun, 22 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UK
Venue
MKM Stadium, Hull

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Hull vs Brighton in brief

  • Brighton 65%, draw 19%, Hull 16%, which makes this a strong lean.
  • Predicted score 1-2, with goals expected (3.2 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 57% on our model.
Predicted score
1-2
Goexch pick
Brighton
UK broadcast
Sky Sports
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Hull vs Brighton on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

  1. Back65% chance

    Brighton & Hove Albion1.54

    Take 1.54 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.54 returns ₹154, stake included.

  2. Lay16% chance

    Hull City6.25

    Lay only at 6.25 or smaller. At 6.25, a ₹100 lay risks ₹525 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

  1. Home advantage

    Edge: Even

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Hull. That narrows the gap but does not cancel Brighton's extra quality.

  2. Expected goals

    Edge: Goals

    3.2 expected goals is above the league average, and over 2.5 goals lands 63% of the time in our simulations.

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Brighton

    Brighton rate clearly higher and the draw is only 19%. If they score first, the match should go their way.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Hull vs Brighton?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
63%
Expected goals
1.00 – 2.23
Half-time call
0-1

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home · promoted

Hull City

As a promoted club, Hull will focus on keeping it tight at MKM Stadium. Their best chances tend to come from corners, free kicks and quick breaks.

Away

Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton are organised and hard to break down, and they usually get results on their trip to MKM Stadium by winning the midfield.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

  • If Brighton name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.

  • If Hull score first

    The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Hull vs Brighton match preview

Hull City host Brighton & Hove Albion in front of their own fans, and the Goexch numbers lean towards Brighton. The expected-goals gap (1.00 for Hull, 2.23 for Brighton) is the clearest signal, and it is where our 65% for Brighton comes from. Hull's best chance is to keep it level into the last 30 minutes, when the draw becomes a real possibility.

Calendar

Calendar check: Hull and Brighton

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Hull play 15 days after their game away at Arsenal on 07 Nov, with an international break in between, so rhythm could be rusty. After this, they go away at Palace 7 days after this one. League game 11 of 38.

Brighton play 14 days after their game at home to Brentford on 08 Nov, with an international break in between, so rhythm could be rusty. After this, they go at home to Newcastle 7 days after this one. League game 11 of 38.

They meet again at American Express Stadium on Sat, 06 Feb 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.

  1. 07 NovArsenal vs HullEmirates Stadium
  2. 08 NovBrighton vs BrentfordAmerican Express Stadium
  3. 22 NovHull vs BrightonMKM Stadium
  4. 29 NovPalace vs HullSelhurst Park
  5. 29 NovBrighton vs NewcastleAmerican Express Stadium

Keep reading

More Hull and Brighton predictions

  1. 06 FebBrighton & Hove Albion vs Hull CityPremier League · 20:30 IST
  2. 29 NovCrystal Palace vs Hull CityPremier League · 19:35 IST
  3. 02 DecHull City vs Nottingham ForestPremier League · 01:30 IST, next day
  4. 29 NovBrighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League · 19:35 IST
  5. 02 DecAFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League · 01:30 IST, next day
  6. 22 NovLiverpool vs Manchester UnitedPremier League · 22:00 IST

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FAQ · 9

Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Hull vs Brighton?

Goexch predicts Brighton & Hove Albion to win. Our goals model gives Hull 16%, the draw 19% and Brighton 65%, which we class as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Our predicted score is 1-2, with 0-1 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 1-2, at 10%.

What are the fair odds for Hull vs Brighton?

On our numbers: Hull 6.25, draw 5.26, Brighton 1.54. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion kick off in India?

19:30 IST IST on Sun, 22 Nov 2026 (14:00 in the UK), at MKM Stadium in Hull. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Hull vs Brighton on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Brighton & Hove Albion at 1.54 or bigger, or lay Hull City at 6.25 or smaller. Laying means you win if Hull City do not win; at 6.25, a ₹100 lay risks ₹525. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Hull vs Brighton match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein Brighton & Hove Albion aage hain: Hull 16%, draw 19%, Brighton 65%. Sabse sambhav score 1-2 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Where can I watch Hull vs Brighton?

In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Indian TV rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings near the day.

How many goals are expected in Hull vs Brighton?

3.2 expected goals in total. The most likely number of goals is 3, and a 0-0 comes up 4% of the time.

Can Hull cause an upset?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined defence and a quiet day for Brighton's attack. We give Hull a 16% chance.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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