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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Liverpool vs Manchester United prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictStrong lean

Liverpool are our pick (strong lean). The Goexch goals model gives them a 70% chance to win, a fair back price of 1.43, with the draw at 18%. We expect 3.2 goals and a 2-0 score, and both teams score in 52% of simulations. Kick-off: Sun, 22 Nov 2026, 22:00 IST IST at Anfield.

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. LiverpoolPick

    70%
    Back1.43Lay1.43

  2. Draw

    18%
    Back5.56Lay5.56

  3. Manchester United

    12%
    Back8.33Lay8.33
Start
22:00
IST
Date
Sun, 22 Nov 2026 · 16:30 UK
Venue
Anfield, Liverpool

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Liverpool vs Man Utd in brief

  • Liverpool 70%, draw 18%, Man Utd 12%, which makes this a strong lean.
  • Predicted score 2-0, with goals expected (3.2 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 52% on our model.
Predicted score
2-0
Goexch pick
Liverpool
UK broadcast
Sky Sports
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Liverpool vs Man Utd on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

  1. Back70% chance

    Liverpool1.43

    Take 1.43 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.43 returns ₹143, stake included.

  2. Lay12% chance

    Manchester United8.33

    Lay only at 8.33 or smaller. At 8.33, a ₹100 lay risks ₹733 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

  1. Home advantage

    Edge: Liverpool

    Liverpool are the stronger side and at home, which our model values at just over a fifth of a goal. Both advantages add up.

  2. Expected goals

    Edge: Goals

    3.2 expected goals is above the league average, and over 2.5 goals lands 62% of the time in our simulations.

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Liverpool

    Liverpool rate clearly higher and the draw is only 18%. If they score first, the match should go their way.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Man Utd?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
52%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Expected goals
2.34 – 0.86
Half-time call
1-0

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Liverpool

Liverpool are built to dominate the ball. They should have most of the possession at Anfield and keep Man Utd pinned in their own half for long spells.

Away

Manchester United

Man Utd are organised and hard to break down, and they usually get results on their trip to Anfield by winning the midfield.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

  • If Liverpool name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.

  • If Man Utd score first

    The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Liverpool vs Man Utd match preview

Manchester United visit Anfield in a 2026/27 Premier League match that the Goexch model rates as a strong lean. We project 2.34 expected goals for Liverpool and 0.86 for Man Utd. Across thousands of simulated matches, Liverpool win 70% of them. An early goal would change everything for Man Utd. Teams chasing a game leave gaps, and that is where upsets come from.

Calendar

Calendar check: Liverpool and Man Utd

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Liverpool play 14 days after their game away at Palace on 08 Nov, with an international break in between, so rhythm could be rusty. After this, they go away at Everton 7 days after this one. League game 11 of 38.

Man Utd play 14 days after their game at home to Villa on 08 Nov, with an international break in between, so rhythm could be rusty. After this, they go at home to Brentford 6 days after this one. League game 11 of 38.

They meet again at Old Trafford on Sat, 23 Jan 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.

  1. 08 NovPalace vs LiverpoolSelhurst Park
  2. 08 NovMan Utd vs VillaOld Trafford
  3. 22 NovLiverpool vs Man UtdAnfield
  4. 28 NovMan Utd vs BrentfordOld Trafford
  5. 29 NovEverton vs LiverpoolHill Dickinson Stadium

Keep reading

More Liverpool and Man Utd predictions

  1. 23 JanManchester United vs LiverpoolPremier League · 20:30 IST
  2. 29 NovEverton vs LiverpoolPremier League · 17:30 IST
  3. 02 DecLiverpool vs SunderlandPremier League · 01:30 IST, next day
  4. 28 NovManchester United vs BrentfordPremier League · 20:30 IST
  5. 02 DecNewcastle United vs Manchester UnitedPremier League · 01:30 IST, next day
  6. 22 NovHull City vs Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League · 19:30 IST

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FAQ · 9

Liverpool vs Manchester United FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Liverpool vs Man Utd?

Goexch predicts Liverpool to win. Our goals model gives Liverpool 70%, the draw 18% and Man Utd 12%, which we class as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Manchester United?

Our predicted score is 2-0, with 1-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 11%.

What are the fair odds for Liverpool vs Man Utd?

On our numbers: Liverpool 1.43, draw 5.56, Man Utd 8.33. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Liverpool vs Manchester United kick off in India?

22:00 IST IST on Sun, 22 Nov 2026 (16:30 in the UK), at Anfield in Liverpool. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Liverpool vs Man Utd on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Liverpool at 1.43 or bigger, or lay Manchester United at 8.33 or smaller. Laying means you win if Manchester United do not win; at 8.33, a ₹100 lay risks ₹733. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Liverpool vs Man Utd match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Liverpool 70%, draw 18%, Man Utd 12%. Sabse sambhav score 2-0 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Man Utd?

We put both teams to score at 52%, so we lean yes. Over 2.5 goals is 62%.

Where can I watch Liverpool vs Man Utd?

In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Indian TV rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings near the day.

Can Man Utd cause an upset?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined defence and a quiet day for Liverpool's attack. We give Man Utd a 12% chance.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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