CricketAustralia tour of India, 2027 · match 1 of 5
India vs Australia 1st Test prediction
Goexch verdictSlight lean
India are our pick (slight lean). The Goexch model gives them a 54% chance against Australia in the 1st Test at Vidarbha Cricket Association Stadium, which is a fair back price of 1.85. We project India to make 275 and Australia 267 on a pitch that suits neither side. Start: Thu, 21 Jan 2027 (start time not yet confirmed).
Quick read
IND vs AUS 1st Test in brief
- India at 54%, a slight lean. Back only at 1.85 or bigger.
- Even pitch, and India are projected to post the bigger total.
- India are playing in home conditions.
- Goexch pick
- India
- Format
- Test match
- Pitch
- balanced, dry
- Favours
- Balanced
Exchange plan
How should you trade IND vs AUS on Goexch?
Our fair prices for both sides. Back the pick at the price or bigger; lay the outsider at the price or smaller.
Back54% chance
India1.85
Take 1.85 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.85 returns ₹185, stake included.
Lay46% chance
Australia2.17
Lay only at 2.17 or smaller. At 2.17, a ₹100 lay risks ₹117 to win ₹100.
Key factors
What will decide this match?
The pitch comes first, followed by the two factors with the most influence on this match.
Pitch read
Edge: Even
A fair pitch with something for both sides, so session totals should land close to normal for the format. Neither attack gets a special advantage.
Series opener
Edge: Australia
Neither side has form on this tour yet, which makes the first match of a series the hardest to predict. A quick start from Australia would move the odds sharply.
Toss call
Edge: Even
The coin matters little here. Planning and execution matter more.
Projection
How many runs will India and Australia score?
Projected session-by-session runs on day one, on a balanced, dry surface at Vidarbha Cricket Association Stadium.
- Session 1
- IND82-96AUS83-99
- Session 2
- IND88-106AUS88-106
- Session 3
- IND81-97AUS72-86
Match-winners
Who can swing India vs Australia?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to decide the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
India
Yashasvi Jaiswal84
Built for long innings
Ravindra Jadeja82
Gives the side a fifth bowler
Australia
David Warner96
Built for long innings
Pat Cummins82
Hits the deck hard
Risk radar
What could change the prediction?
The news that would move our numbers before the first ball.
If Yashasvi Jaiswal is left out
We would cut India by about five points, making this a coin flip.
If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
Extra help for the bowlers would close the gap between the two batting line-ups.
If rain washes out a day or more
The draw becomes the most likely result, and our win call loses most of its value.
Preview
India vs Australia match preview
Australia tour of India, 2027 starts here, so this is the first real look at each side's form on the tour. The Goexch model leans to India at 54%, mainly on squad strength and how Vidarbha Cricket Association Stadium has played in recent seasons. India are at home, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. Australia are still in this at 46%, but they need their best players to fire on the same day.
On the toss: The coin matters little here. Planning and execution matter more.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar
Calendar check: 1st Test
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in Australia tour of India, 2027.
Vidarbha Cricket Association Stadium in Nagpur hosts the 1st Test on Thu, 21 Jan 2027: fixture 1 of 5 in the series.
As the series opener, there is no head-to-head evidence from this tour yet, so the market leans on reputation.
Up next: the 2nd Test, 10 days after this match at MA Chidambaram Stadium in Chennai.
Keep reading
More cricket predictions
FAQ · 9
IND vs AUS 1st Test FAQs
Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.
Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp
Who will win India vs Australia?
Goexch predicts India to win, with a 54% chance against 46% for Australia, which we class as a slight lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a balanced, dry pitch at Vidarbha Cricket Association Stadium is likely to play.
What are the fair odds for India in the IND vs AUS 1st Test?
Our 54% rating works out to fair decimal odds of 1.85 for India and 2.17 for Australia. If the back price on the exchange is shorter than that, the bet has no value on our numbers.
What time does the IND vs AUS 1st Test start in India?
The series window puts it on Thu, 21 Jan 2027 (start time not yet confirmed) at Vidarbha Cricket Association Stadium, Nagpur, but the board has not confirmed the date or start time yet. We update this page as soon as it does.
What is the pitch report for Vidarbha Cricket Association Stadium?
We expect a balanced, dry pitch that should help neither side. A fair pitch with something for both sides, so session totals should land close to normal for the format.
Should the captain bat or bowl first in IND vs AUS?
The coin matters little here. Planning and execution matter more. The toss happens about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are confirmed.
Can Australia win this match?
Yes, but they need early wickets or a match-winning innings. We give Australia a 46% chance, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if India change their best XI.
How do I trade India vs Australia on the Goexch exchange?
On our numbers, back India at 1.85 or bigger, or lay Australia at 2.17 or smaller. Laying means you win if Australia do not win; at 2.17, a ₹100 lay risks ₹117. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.
India vs Australia match kaun jeetega?
Goexch model ke hisaab se India ka chance zyada hai: 54%, jabki Australia ka 46%. Match Thu, 21 Jan 2027 (start time not yet confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Nagpur ki pitch report kya hai?
Hamare hisaab se pitch balanced, dry rahegi, yaani bat aur ball dono ko barabar madad milegi. Toss match shuru hone se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.
Check it at the source
Sources and official information
- ICCICC tournament fixtures, results, rankings and team news.International Cricket Council
- ICC playing conditionsOfficial match rules for Tests, ODIs and T20Is, including rain-affected matches.International Cricket Council
- ESPNcricinfoScorecards, venue records and player statistics.ESPN
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