CricketAustralia tour of India, 2027 · match 5 of 5
India vs Australia 5th Test prediction
Goexch verdictClear lean
Goexch backs India to win the IND vs AUS 5th Test, with a 60% win chance (clear lean) against 40% for Australia. Projected totals: India 277, Australia 272. Conditions at Narendra Modi Stadium should help neither side. First ball: Wed, 03 Mar 2027 (start time not yet confirmed).
Quick read
IND vs AUS 5th Test in brief
- India at 60%, a clear lean. Back only at 1.67 or bigger.
- Even pitch, and India are projected to post the bigger total.
- India are playing in home conditions.
- Goexch pick
- India
- Format
- Test match
- Pitch
- balanced, dry
- Favours
- Balanced
Exchange plan
How should you trade IND vs AUS on Goexch?
Our fair prices for both sides. Back the pick at the price or bigger; lay the outsider at the price or smaller.
Back60% chance
India1.67
Take 1.67 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.67 returns ₹167, stake included.
Lay40% chance
Australia2.50
Lay only at 2.50 or smaller. At 2.50, a ₹100 lay risks ₹150 to win ₹100.
Key factors
What will decide this match?
The pitch comes first, followed by the two factors with the most influence on this match.
Pitch read
Edge: Even
Nothing extreme in the surface. Bowlers who hit a good length will be rewarded, and so will batters who are patient early. Neither attack gets a special advantage.
Toss call
Edge: Even
Neither option at the toss looks decisive on this surface.
Even batting
Edge: Even
The two batting line-ups rate almost the same (5 runs apart), so the bowling and the toss should decide it.
Projection
How many runs will India and Australia score?
Projected session-by-session runs on day one, on a balanced, dry surface at Narendra Modi Stadium.
- Session 1
- IND82-98AUS86-100
- Session 2
- IND91-107AUS89-107
- Session 3
- IND80-96AUS73-89
Match-winners
Who can swing India vs Australia?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to decide the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
India
Virat Kohli79
Built for long innings
Hardik Pandya95
Gives the side a fifth bowler
Australia
Steve Smith84
Built for long innings
Glenn Maxwell91
Gives the side a fifth bowler
Risk radar
What could change the prediction?
The news that would move our numbers before the first ball.
If Virat Kohli is left out
We would cut India by about five points, making this a slight lean.
If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
Extra help for the bowlers would close the gap between the two batting line-ups.
If rain washes out a day or more
The draw becomes the most likely result, and our win call loses most of its value.
Preview
India vs Australia match preview
This is the final match of Australia tour of India, 2027, so neither side will hold anything back. We think India have the better side for a balanced, dry Test pitch, and the model puts them at 60%. India are at home, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. Australia need early wickets or one big innings to win. Without that, the favourites should control the match.
On the toss: Neither option at the toss looks decisive on this surface.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar
Calendar check: 5th Test
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in Australia tour of India, 2027.
Narendra Modi Stadium in Ahmedabad hosts the 5th Test on Wed, 03 Mar 2027: fixture 5 of 5 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 4th Test, was played 10 days before this one at JSCA International Stadium Complex in Ranchi, which means a travel day to Ahmedabad in between. A long break resets both camps, so the last game's momentum carries less weight than usual.
No fixtures follow in this series, so expect both sides to pick their best available XI.
Also at Narendra Modi Stadium on the Goexch schedule: 3rd ODI: India vs Sri Lanka (19 Dec) (1 fixture in all).
Keep reading
More cricket predictions
FAQ · 9
IND vs AUS 5th Test FAQs
Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.
Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp
Who will win India vs Australia?
Goexch predicts India to win, with a 60% chance against 40% for Australia, which we class as a clear lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a balanced, dry pitch at Narendra Modi Stadium is likely to play.
What are the fair odds for India in the IND vs AUS 5th Test?
Our 60% rating works out to fair decimal odds of 1.67 for India and 2.50 for Australia. If the back price on the exchange is shorter than that, the bet has no value on our numbers.
What time does the IND vs AUS 5th Test start in India?
The series window puts it on Wed, 03 Mar 2027 (start time not yet confirmed) at Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad, but the board has not confirmed the date or start time yet. We update this page as soon as it does.
What is the pitch report for Narendra Modi Stadium?
We expect a balanced, dry pitch that should help neither side. Nothing extreme in the surface. Bowlers who hit a good length will be rewarded, and so will batters who are patient early.
Should the captain bat or bowl first in IND vs AUS?
Neither option at the toss looks decisive on this surface. The toss happens about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are confirmed.
Can Australia win this match?
Yes, but they need early wickets or a match-winning innings. We give Australia a 40% chance, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if India change their best XI.
How do I trade India vs Australia on the Goexch exchange?
On our numbers, back India at 1.67 or bigger, or lay Australia at 2.50 or smaller. Laying means you win if Australia do not win; at 2.50, a ₹100 lay risks ₹150. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.
India vs Australia match kaun jeetega?
Goexch model ke hisaab se India ka chance zyada hai: 60%, jabki Australia ka 40%. Match Wed, 03 Mar 2027 (start time not yet confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Ahmedabad ki pitch report kya hai?
Hamare hisaab se pitch balanced, dry rahegi, yaani bat aur ball dono ko barabar madad milegi. Toss match shuru hone se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.
Check it at the source
Sources and official information
- ICCICC tournament fixtures, results, rankings and team news.International Cricket Council
- ICC playing conditionsOfficial match rules for Tests, ODIs and T20Is, including rain-affected matches.International Cricket Council
- ESPNcricinfoScorecards, venue records and player statistics.ESPN
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