Goexch

FootballPremier League 2026/27

Ipswich Town vs Hull City prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictStrong lean

On our numbers, Ipswich beat Hull 68% of the time, with the draw at 19%. We project 2.15 expected goals to 0.82 and a 2-0 score, with over 2.5 goals at 57%. Kick-off: Sat, 23 Jan 2027, 20:30 IST IST at Portman Road.

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. Ipswich TownPick

    68%
    Back1.47Lay1.47
  2. Draw

    19%
    Back5.26Lay5.26
  3. Hull City

    13%
    Back7.69Lay7.69
Start
20:30
IST
Date
Sat, 23 Jan 2027 · 15:00 UK
Venue
Portman Road, Ipswich

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Ipswich vs Hull in brief

  • Ipswich 68%, draw 19%, Hull 13%, which makes this a strong lean.
  • Predicted score 2-0, with goals expected (3.0 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 49% on our model.
Predicted score
2-0
Goexch pick
Ipswich
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Ipswich vs Hull on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

  1. Back68% chance

    Ipswich Town1.47

    Take 1.47 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.47 returns ₹147, stake included.

  2. Lay13% chance

    Hull City7.69

    Lay only at 7.69 or smaller. At 7.69, a ₹100 lay risks ₹669 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

  1. Home advantage

    Edge: Ipswich

    Ipswich are the stronger side and at home, which our model values at just over a fifth of a goal. Both advantages add up.

  2. Expected goals

    Edge: Goals

    3.0 expected goals is above the league average, and over 2.5 goals lands 57% of the time in our simulations.

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Ipswich

    Ipswich rate clearly higher and the draw is only 19%. If they score first, the match should go their way.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Ipswich vs Hull?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Expected goals
2.15 – 0.82
Half-time call
0-0

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home · promoted

Ipswich Town

Ipswich are back in the top flight and still adjusting to its pace. Expect a deep, compact shape at Portman Road, long spells without the ball and most of their threat from set pieces.

Away · promoted

Hull City

As a promoted club, Hull will focus on keeping it tight on their trip to Portman Road. Their best chances tend to come from corners, free kicks and quick breaks.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

  • If Ipswich name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.

  • If Hull score first

    The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Ipswich vs Hull match preview

Ipswich Town host Hull City in front of their own fans, and the Goexch numbers lean towards Ipswich. The expected-goals gap (2.15 for Ipswich, 0.82 for Hull) is the clearest signal, and it is where our 68% for Ipswich comes from. Hull's best chance is to keep it level into the last 30 minutes, when the draw becomes a real possibility.

Calendar

Calendar check: Ipswich and Hull

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Ipswich play 7 days after their game away at Bournemouth on 16 Jan. After this, they go away at Villa 7 days after this one. League game 22 of 38.

Hull play 7 days after their game at home to Arsenal on 16 Jan. After this, they go at home to Palace 7 days after this one. League game 22 of 38.

These sides already met at MKM Stadium on Sat, 31 Oct 2026, making this the return fixture.

  1. 16 JanBournemouth vs IpswichVitality Stadium
  2. 16 JanHull vs ArsenalMKM Stadium
  3. 23 JanIpswich vs HullPortman Road
  4. 30 JanVilla vs IpswichVilla Park
  5. 30 JanHull vs PalaceMKM Stadium

Keep reading

  1. 31 OctHull City vs Ipswich TownPremier League · 20:30 IST
  2. 30 JanAston Villa vs Ipswich TownPremier League · 20:30 IST
  3. 06 FebIpswich Town vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League · 20:30 IST
  4. 30 JanHull City vs Crystal PalacePremier League · 20:30 IST
  5. 06 FebBrighton & Hove Albion vs Hull CityPremier League · 20:30 IST
  6. 23 JanArsenal vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League · 20:30 IST

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FAQ · 9

Ipswich Town vs Hull City FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Ipswich vs Hull?

Goexch predicts Ipswich Town to win. Our goals model gives Ipswich 68%, the draw 19% and Hull 13%, which we class as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Hull City?

Our predicted score is 2-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 12%.

What are the fair odds for Ipswich vs Hull?

On our numbers: Ipswich 1.47, draw 5.26, Hull 7.69. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Ipswich Town vs Hull City kick off in India?

20:30 IST IST on Sat, 23 Jan 2027 (15:00 in the UK), at Portman Road in Ipswich. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Ipswich vs Hull on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Ipswich Town at 1.47 or bigger, or lay Hull City at 7.69 or smaller. Laying means you win if Hull City do not win; at 7.69, a ₹100 lay risks ₹669. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Ipswich vs Hull match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein Ipswich Town aage hain: Ipswich 68%, draw 19%, Hull 13%. Sabse sambhav score 2-0 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Will both teams score in Ipswich vs Hull?

We put both teams to score at 49%, so we lean no. Over 2.5 goals is 57%.

Where can I watch Ipswich vs Hull?

Indian TV rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings near the day.

Can Hull cause an upset?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined defence and a quiet day for Ipswich's attack. We give Hull a 13% chance.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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