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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictCoin flip

Too close to call, with a slight lean to Newcastle. The Goexch goals model gives Forest 28%, the draw 25% and Newcastle 47%, and expects 2.8 goals in total. Our most likely score is 0-1. Kick-off: Wed, 03 Mar 2027, 01:30 IST, next day IST at City Ground.

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. Nottingham Forest

    28%
    Back3.57Lay3.57

  2. Draw

    25%
    Back4.00Lay4.00

  3. Newcastle UnitedPick

    47%
    Back2.13Lay2.13
Start
01:30
IST
Date
Wed, 03 Mar 2027 · 20:00 UK
Venue
City Ground, Nottingham

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Forest vs Newcastle in brief

  • Newcastle 47%, draw 25%, Forest 28%, which makes this a coin flip.
  • Predicted score 0-1, with the goals line finely balanced (2.8 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 56% on our model.
Predicted score
0-1
Goexch pick
Newcastle
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Forest vs Newcastle on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

  1. Back47% chance

    Newcastle United2.13

    Take 2.13 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 2.13 returns ₹213, stake included.

  2. Lay28% chance

    Nottingham Forest3.57

    Lay only at 3.57 or smaller. At 3.57, a ₹100 lay risks ₹257 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

  1. Home advantage

    Edge: Even

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Forest. That narrows the gap but does not cancel Newcastle's extra quality.

  2. Expected goals

    Edge: Even

    At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to 50/50 (54% for the over).

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Newcastle

    Newcastle rate clearly higher and the draw is only 25%. If they score first, the match should go their way.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Forest vs Newcastle?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.63
Half-time call
0-0

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Nottingham Forest

Expect Forest to sit compact at City Ground and wait for one chance rather than try to control the match.

Away

Newcastle United

Newcastle are well drilled and have enough quality up front to punish mistakes on their trip to City Ground. Everything they do starts with control of midfield.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

  • If Newcastle name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.

  • If Forest score first

    The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Forest vs Newcastle match preview

Nottingham Forest host Newcastle United in front of their own fans, and the Goexch numbers lean towards Newcastle. The expected-goals gap (1.21 for Forest, 1.63 for Newcastle) is the clearest signal, and it is where our 47% for Newcastle comes from. Forest's best chance is to keep it level into the last 30 minutes, when the draw becomes a real possibility.

Calendar

Calendar check: Forest and Newcastle

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Forest play 4 days after their game away at Everton on 27 Feb. After this, they go away at Spurs 10 days after this one. League game 28 of 38.

Newcastle play 4 days after their game at home to Brentford on 27 Feb. After this, they go away at Bournemouth 10 days after this one. League game 28 of 38.

These sides already met at St James' Park on Wed, 30 Dec 2026, making this the return fixture.

  1. 27 FebEverton vs ForestHill Dickinson Stadium
  2. 27 FebNewcastle vs BrentfordSt James' Park
  3. 03 MarForest vs NewcastleCity Ground
  4. 13 MarSpurs vs ForestTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  5. 13 MarBournemouth vs NewcastleVitality Stadium

Keep reading

More Forest and Newcastle predictions

  1. 30 DecNewcastle United vs Nottingham ForestPremier League · 01:00 IST, next day
  2. 13 MarTottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham ForestPremier League · 20:30 IST
  3. 20 MarNottingham Forest vs Aston VillaPremier League · 20:30 IST
  4. 13 MarAFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League · 20:30 IST
  5. 20 MarNewcastle United vs Leeds UnitedPremier League · 20:30 IST
  6. 03 MarAFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League · 01:30 IST, next day

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FAQ · 9

Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Forest vs Newcastle?

Goexch predicts Newcastle United to win. Our goals model gives Forest 28%, the draw 25% and Newcastle 47%, which we class as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United?

Our predicted score is 0-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.

What are the fair odds for Forest vs Newcastle?

On our numbers: Forest 3.57, draw 4.00, Newcastle 2.13. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United kick off in India?

01:30 IST, next day IST on Wed, 03 Mar 2027 (20:00 in the UK), at City Ground in Nottingham. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Forest vs Newcastle on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Newcastle United at 2.13 or bigger, or lay Nottingham Forest at 3.57 or smaller. Laying means you win if Nottingham Forest do not win; at 3.57, a ₹100 lay risks ₹257. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Forest vs Newcastle match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein Newcastle United aage hain: Forest 28%, draw 25%, Newcastle 47%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

How many goals are expected in Forest vs Newcastle?

2.8 expected goals in total. The most likely number of goals is 2, and a 0-0 comes up 6% of the time.

Will both teams score in Forest vs Newcastle?

We put both teams to score at 56%, so we lean yes. Over 2.5 goals is 54%.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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