CricketIndia tour of New Zealand, 2026 · match 12 of 12
New Zealand vs India 2nd Test prediction
Goexch verdictSlight lean
On our numbers, New Zealand win 52% of the time against India, which makes this a slight lean. We expect 279 from New Zealand and 289 from India at Hagley Oval, where the quicks should have the edge. The match starts Mon, 30 Nov 2026 (start time not yet confirmed).
Quick read
NZ vs IND 2nd Test in brief
- New Zealand at 52%, a slight lean. Back only at 1.92 or bigger.
- Pitch suits seamers, and India are projected to post the bigger total.
- New Zealand are playing in home conditions.
- Goexch pick
- New Zealand
- Format
- Test match
- Pitch
- green, seam-friendly
- Favours
- Seamers
Exchange plan
How should you trade NZ vs IND on Goexch?
Our fair prices for both sides. Back the pick at the price or bigger; lay the outsider at the price or smaller.
Back52% chance
New Zealand1.92
Take 1.92 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.92 returns ₹192, stake included.
Lay48% chance
India2.08
Lay only at 2.08 or smaller. At 2.08, a ₹100 lay risks ₹108 to win ₹100.
Key factors
What will decide this match?
The pitch comes first, followed by the two factors with the most influence on this match.
Pitch read
Edge: New Zealand
Live grass and early moisture mean the new ball will move. The first 15 overs are the danger period, and batting gets noticeably easier after that. New Zealand play on this kind of pitch all the time.
Toss call
Edge: Toss winner
Bowl first. The percentage play is to attack the top order while the pitch is fresh.
Even batting
Edge: Even
Only 10 runs separate the projected totals, so the batting is close to level. One big individual innings is the likeliest tiebreaker.
Projection
How many runs will New Zealand and India score?
Projected session-by-session runs on day one, on a green, seam-friendly surface at Hagley Oval.
- Session 1
- NZ83-99IND91-107
- Session 2
- NZ90-108IND94-110
- Session 3
- NZ81-97IND81-95
Match-winners
Who can swing New Zealand vs India?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to decide the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
New Zealand
Glenn Phillips84
Built for long innings
Tim Southee83
Dangerous with the new ball
India
Mohammed Siraj92
Dangerous with the new ball
Shubman Gill96
Turns fifties into hundreds
Risk radar
What could change the prediction?
The news that would move our numbers before the first ball.
If Glenn Phillips is left out
We would cut New Zealand by about five points, making this a coin flip.
If India win the toss
On a pitch where the toss matters, that alone moves a couple of points to India.
If rain washes out a day or more
The draw becomes the most likely result, and our win call loses most of its value.
Preview
New Zealand vs India match preview
India tour of New Zealand, 2026 finishes here, which means full-strength XIs and no players rested for later. The Goexch model leans to New Zealand at 52%, mainly on squad strength and how Hagley Oval has played in recent seasons. New Zealand are at home, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. India's best chance of an upset is the first hour. If they get on top early, our 48% for them starts to look low.
On the toss: Bowl first. The percentage play is to attack the top order while the pitch is fresh.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar
Calendar check: 2nd Test
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in India tour of New Zealand, 2026.
Hagley Oval in Christchurch hosts the 2nd Test on Mon, 30 Nov 2026: fixture 12 of 12 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 1st Test, was played 4 days before this one at Basin Reserve in Wellington, which means a travel day to Christchurch in between. That is enough rest for both teams to pick their strongest XIs.
No fixtures follow in this series, so expect both sides to pick their best available XI.
Also at Hagley Oval on the Goexch schedule: 1st T20I: New Zealand vs India (22 Oct), 2nd T20I: New Zealand vs India (26 Oct), 1st T20I: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka (29 Jan) (3 fixtures in all).
Keep reading
More cricket predictions
FAQ · 9
NZ vs IND 2nd Test FAQs
Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.
Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp
Who will win New Zealand vs India?
Goexch predicts New Zealand to win, with a 52% chance against 48% for India, which we class as a slight lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a green, seam-friendly pitch at Hagley Oval is likely to play.
What are the fair odds for New Zealand in the NZ vs IND 2nd Test?
Our 52% rating works out to fair decimal odds of 1.92 for New Zealand and 2.08 for India. If the back price on the exchange is shorter than that, the bet has no value on our numbers.
What time does the NZ vs IND 2nd Test start in India?
The series window puts it on Mon, 30 Nov 2026 (start time not yet confirmed) at Hagley Oval, Christchurch, but the board has not confirmed the date or start time yet. We update this page as soon as it does.
What is the pitch report for Hagley Oval?
We expect a green, seam-friendly pitch that should help the quicks. Live grass and early moisture mean the new ball will move. The first 15 overs are the danger period, and batting gets noticeably easier after that.
Should the captain bat or bowl first in NZ vs IND?
Bowl first. The percentage play is to attack the top order while the pitch is fresh. The toss happens about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are confirmed.
Can India win this match?
Yes, but they need early wickets or a match-winning innings. We give India a 48% chance, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if New Zealand change their best XI.
How do I trade New Zealand vs India on the Goexch exchange?
On our numbers, back New Zealand at 1.92 or bigger, or lay India at 2.08 or smaller. Laying means you win if India do not win; at 2.08, a ₹100 lay risks ₹108. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.
New Zealand vs India match kaun jeetega?
Goexch model ke hisaab se New Zealand ka chance zyada hai: 52%, jabki India ka 48%. Match Mon, 30 Nov 2026 (start time not yet confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Christchurch ki pitch report kya hai?
Hamare hisaab se pitch green, seam-friendly rahegi, yaani fast bowlers ko shuru mein swing aur seam milega. Toss match shuru hone se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.
Check it at the source
Sources and official information
- ICCICC tournament fixtures, results, rankings and team news.International Cricket Council
- ICC playing conditionsOfficial match rules for Tests, ODIs and T20Is, including rain-affected matches.International Cricket Council
- ESPNcricinfoScorecards, venue records and player statistics.ESPN
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