CricketBangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026 · match 4 of 8
South Africa vs Bangladesh 2nd ODI prediction
Goexch verdict
Goexch backs South Africa to win the SA vs BAN 2nd ODI, with a 69% win chance (strong lean) against 31% for Bangladesh. Projected totals: South Africa 323, Bangladesh 293. Conditions at St George's Park should help the bowlers. First ball: Fri, 27 Nov 2026 (start time not yet confirmed).
Quick read
SA vs BAN 2nd ODI in brief
- South Africa at 69%, a strong lean. Back only at 1.45 or bigger.
- Pitch suits bowlers, and South Africa are projected to post the bigger total.
- South Africa are playing in home conditions.
- Goexch pick
- South Africa
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs
- Pitch
- two-paced, bowler-friendly
- Favours
- Bowlers
Exchange plan
How should you trade SA vs BAN on Goexch?
Our fair prices for both sides. Back the pick at the price or bigger; lay the outsider at the price or smaller.
Back69% chance
South Africa1.45
Take 1.45 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.45 returns ₹145, stake included.
Lay31% chance
Bangladesh3.23
Lay only at 3.23 or smaller. At 3.23, a ₹100 lay risks ₹223 to win ₹100.
Key factors
What will decide this match?
The pitch comes first, followed by the two factors with the most influence on this match.
Pitch read
Edge: Even
The ball should stop on the batters. A modest total can win the match here, and cutters will be the bowlers' main weapon. Both sides will rely on the bowlers, so the deeper attack matters.
Batting edge
Edge: South Africa
South Africa project about 30 runs higher in the first-innings total. Across a ODI, a gap that size turns close games into comfortable wins.
Series pressure
Edge: South Africa
A win puts South Africa in control with 4 matches left. A loss hands Bangladesh the momentum.
Projection
How many runs will South Africa and Bangladesh score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a two-paced, bowler-friendly surface at St George's Park.
- Powerplay (0-10)
- SA50-62BAN40-52
- Middle Overs (11-40)
- SA166-186BAN155-175
- Death Overs (41-50)
- SA82-100BAN73-91
Match-winners
Who can swing South Africa vs Bangladesh?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to decide the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
South Africa
Marco Jansen81
Balances the XI
Kagiso Rabada93
Trusted at the end of the innings
Bangladesh
Shakib Al Hasan89
Balances the XI
Mehidy Hasan Miraz96
Takes wickets through the middle
Risk radar
What could change the prediction?
The news that would move our numbers before the first ball.
If Marco Jansen is left out
We would cut South Africa by about five points, making this a strong lean.
If Bangladesh win the toss
On a pitch where the toss matters, that alone moves a couple of points to Bangladesh.
If rain shortens the match
Fewer overs add randomness, which helps the underdog.
Preview
South Africa vs Bangladesh match preview
Match 4 of 8 is where Bangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026 starts to take shape. We think South Africa have the better side for a two-paced, bowler-friendly ODI pitch, and the model puts them at 69%. South Africa are at home, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. Bangladesh are still in this at 31%, but they need their best players to fire on the same day.
On the toss: The toss winner should bowl first and keep the chase on the fresher version of this pitch.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar
Calendar check: 2nd ODI
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in Bangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026.
St George's Park in Gqeberha hosts the 2nd ODI on Fri, 27 Nov 2026: fixture 4 of 8 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 1st ODI, was played 4 days before this one at Buffalo Park in East London, which means a travel day to Gqeberha in between. That is enough rest for both teams to pick their strongest XIs.
Up next: the 3rd ODI, 4 days after this match at Newlands in Cape Town.
Also at St George's Park on the Goexch schedule: 2nd Test: South Africa vs Australia (24 Oct) (1 fixture in all).
Keep reading
More cricket predictions
- 01 Dec3rd ODI: South Africa vs BangladeshBangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026
- 05 Dec1st T20I: South Africa vs BangladeshBangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026
- 09 Dec2nd T20I: South Africa vs BangladeshBangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026
- 13 Dec3rd T20I: South Africa vs BangladeshBangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026
FAQ · 9
SA vs BAN 2nd ODI FAQs
Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.
Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp
Who will win South Africa vs Bangladesh?
Goexch predicts South Africa to win, with a 69% chance against 31% for Bangladesh, which we class as a strong lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a two-paced, bowler-friendly pitch at St George's Park is likely to play.
What are the fair odds for South Africa in the SA vs BAN 2nd ODI?
Our 69% rating works out to fair decimal odds of 1.45 for South Africa and 3.23 for Bangladesh. If the back price on the exchange is shorter than that, the bet has no value on our numbers.
What time does the SA vs BAN 2nd ODI start in India?
The series window puts it on Fri, 27 Nov 2026 (start time not yet confirmed) at St George's Park, Gqeberha, but the board has not confirmed the date or start time yet. We update this page as soon as it does.
What is the pitch report for St George's Park?
We expect a two-paced, bowler-friendly pitch that should help the bowlers. The ball should stop on the batters. A modest total can win the match here, and cutters will be the bowlers' main weapon.
Should the captain bat or bowl first in SA vs BAN?
The toss winner should bowl first and keep the chase on the fresher version of this pitch. The toss happens about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are confirmed.
Can Bangladesh win this match?
Yes, but they need early wickets or a match-winning innings. We give Bangladesh a 31% chance, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if South Africa change their best XI.
How do I trade South Africa vs Bangladesh on the Goexch exchange?
On our numbers, back South Africa at 1.45 or bigger, or lay Bangladesh at 3.23 or smaller. Laying means you win if Bangladesh do not win; at 3.23, a ₹100 lay risks ₹223. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.
South Africa vs Bangladesh match kaun jeetega?
Goexch model ke hisaab se South Africa ka chance zyada hai: 69%, jabki Bangladesh ka 31%. Match Fri, 27 Nov 2026 (start time not yet confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Gqeberha ki pitch report kya hai?
Hamare hisaab se pitch two-paced, bowler-friendly rahegi, yaani bowlers ka daur rahega aur score kam banega. Toss match shuru hone se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.
Check it at the source
Sources and official information
- ICCICC tournament fixtures, results, rankings and team news.International Cricket Council
- ICC playing conditionsOfficial match rules for Tests, ODIs and T20Is, including rain-affected matches.International Cricket Council
- ESPNcricinfoScorecards, venue records and player statistics.ESPN
External sites open in a new tab. We aren't affiliated with them.