CricketBangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026 · match 5 of 8
South Africa vs Bangladesh 3rd ODI prediction
Goexch verdict
South Africa are our pick (strong lean). The Goexch model gives them a 67% chance against Bangladesh in the 3rd ODI at Newlands, which is a fair back price of 1.49. We project South Africa to make 324 and Bangladesh 295 on a pitch that suits the bowlers. Start: Tue, 01 Dec 2026 (start time not yet confirmed).
Quick read
SA vs BAN 3rd ODI in brief
- South Africa at 67%, a strong lean. Back only at 1.49 or bigger.
- Pitch suits bowlers, and South Africa are projected to post the bigger total.
- South Africa are playing in home conditions.
- Goexch pick
- South Africa
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs
- Pitch
- two-paced, bowler-friendly
- Favours
- Bowlers
Exchange plan
How should you trade SA vs BAN on Goexch?
Our fair prices for both sides. Back the pick at the price or bigger; lay the outsider at the price or smaller.
Back67% chance
South Africa1.49
Take 1.49 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.49 returns ₹149, stake included.
Lay33% chance
Bangladesh3.03
Lay only at 3.03 or smaller. At 3.03, a ₹100 lay risks ₹203 to win ₹100.
Key factors
What will decide this match?
The pitch comes first, followed by the two factors with the most influence on this match.
Pitch read
Edge: Even
A slow, grinding pitch. Most wickets will come from mistimed drives and pulls rather than unplayable balls. Both sides will rely on the bowlers, so the deeper attack matters.
Batting edge
Edge: South Africa
Our projection gives South Africa a 29-run cushion, and that is the biggest single reason the model leans their way.
Toss call
Edge: Toss winner
Chase. The surface only gets slower, so the side batting second gets the better of it.
Projection
How many runs will South Africa and Bangladesh score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a two-paced, bowler-friendly surface at Newlands.
- Powerplay (0-10)
- SA50-62BAN39-51
- Middle Overs (11-40)
- SA165-185BAN159-179
- Death Overs (41-50)
- SA85-101BAN72-90
Match-winners
Who can swing South Africa vs Bangladesh?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to decide the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
South Africa
David Miller92
Steady hand in a chase
Quinton de Kock95
Fast starter at the top
Bangladesh
Mahmudullah81
Balances the XI
Shoriful Islam84
Trusted at the end of the innings
Risk radar
What could change the prediction?
The news that would move our numbers before the first ball.
If David Miller is left out
We would cut South Africa by about five points, making this a strong lean.
If Bangladesh win the toss
On a pitch where the toss matters, that alone moves a couple of points to Bangladesh.
If rain shortens the match
Fewer overs add randomness, which helps the underdog.
Preview
South Africa vs Bangladesh match preview
With 3 matches of Bangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026 still to come, game 5 can swing the series. We think South Africa have the better side for a two-paced, bowler-friendly ODI pitch, and the model puts them at 67%. South Africa are at home, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. Bangladesh need early wickets or one big innings to win. Without that, the favourites should control the match.
On the toss: Chase. The surface only gets slower, so the side batting second gets the better of it.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar
Calendar check: 3rd ODI
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in Bangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026.
Newlands in Cape Town hosts the 3rd ODI on Tue, 01 Dec 2026: fixture 5 of 8 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 2nd ODI, was played 4 days before this one at St George's Park in Gqeberha, which means a travel day to Cape Town in between. That is enough rest for both teams to pick their strongest XIs.
Up next: the 1st T20I, 4 days after this match at Diamond Oval in Kimberley.
Also at Newlands on the Goexch schedule: 3rd Test: South Africa vs Australia (31 Oct), 3rd Test: South Africa vs England (29 Dec) (2 fixtures in all).
Keep reading
More cricket predictions
- 05 Dec1st T20I: South Africa vs BangladeshBangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026
- 09 Dec2nd T20I: South Africa vs BangladeshBangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026
- 13 Dec3rd T20I: South Africa vs BangladeshBangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026
- 23 Nov1st ODI: South Africa vs BangladeshBangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026
FAQ · 9
SA vs BAN 3rd ODI FAQs
Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.
Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp
Who will win South Africa vs Bangladesh?
Goexch predicts South Africa to win, with a 67% chance against 33% for Bangladesh, which we class as a strong lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a two-paced, bowler-friendly pitch at Newlands is likely to play.
What are the fair odds for South Africa in the SA vs BAN 3rd ODI?
Our 67% rating works out to fair decimal odds of 1.49 for South Africa and 3.03 for Bangladesh. If the back price on the exchange is shorter than that, the bet has no value on our numbers.
What time does the SA vs BAN 3rd ODI start in India?
The series window puts it on Tue, 01 Dec 2026 (start time not yet confirmed) at Newlands, Cape Town, but the board has not confirmed the date or start time yet. We update this page as soon as it does.
What is the pitch report for Newlands?
We expect a two-paced, bowler-friendly pitch that should help the bowlers. A slow, grinding pitch. Most wickets will come from mistimed drives and pulls rather than unplayable balls.
Should the captain bat or bowl first in SA vs BAN?
Chase. The surface only gets slower, so the side batting second gets the better of it. The toss happens about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are confirmed.
Can Bangladesh win this match?
Yes, but they need early wickets or a match-winning innings. We give Bangladesh a 33% chance, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if South Africa change their best XI.
How do I trade South Africa vs Bangladesh on the Goexch exchange?
On our numbers, back South Africa at 1.49 or bigger, or lay Bangladesh at 3.03 or smaller. Laying means you win if Bangladesh do not win; at 3.03, a ₹100 lay risks ₹203. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.
South Africa vs Bangladesh match kaun jeetega?
Goexch model ke hisaab se South Africa ka chance zyada hai: 67%, jabki Bangladesh ka 33%. Match Tue, 01 Dec 2026 (start time not yet confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Cape Town ki pitch report kya hai?
Hamare hisaab se pitch two-paced, bowler-friendly rahegi, yaani bowlers ka daur rahega aur score kam banega. Toss match shuru hone se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.
Check it at the source
Sources and official information
- ICCICC tournament fixtures, results, rankings and team news.International Cricket Council
- ICC playing conditionsOfficial match rules for Tests, ODIs and T20Is, including rain-affected matches.International Cricket Council
- ESPNcricinfoScorecards, venue records and player statistics.ESPN
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