CricketEngland tour of South Africa, 2026-27 · match 5 of 6
South Africa vs England 2nd ODI prediction
Goexch verdict
South Africa are our pick (strong lean). The Goexch model gives them a 63% chance against England in the 2nd ODI at Mangaung Oval, which is a fair back price of 1.59. We project South Africa to make 349 and England 342 on a pitch that suits the batters. Start: Sat, 09 Jan 2027 (start time not yet confirmed).
Quick read
SA vs ENG 2nd ODI in brief
- South Africa at 63%, a strong lean. Back only at 1.59 or bigger.
- Pitch suits batters, and South Africa are projected to post the bigger total.
- South Africa are playing in home conditions.
- Goexch pick
- South Africa
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs
- Pitch
- flat, high-scoring
- Favours
- Batters
Exchange plan
How should you trade SA vs ENG on Goexch?
Our fair prices for both sides. Back the pick at the price or bigger; lay the outsider at the price or smaller.
Back63% chance
South Africa1.59
Take 1.59 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.59 returns ₹159, stake included.
Lay37% chance
England2.70
Lay only at 2.70 or smaller. At 2.70, a ₹100 lay risks ₹170 to win ₹100.
Key factors
What will decide this match?
The pitch comes first, followed by the two factors with the most influence on this match.
Pitch read
Edge: Even
Batters can trust the bounce from the first ball. Bowlers need clear plans, because anything full or wide goes to the rope. Both sides will rely on the batters, so the deeper attack matters.
Even batting
Edge: Even
Only 7 runs separate the projected totals, so the batting is close to level. One big individual innings is the likeliest tiebreaker.
Series pressure
Edge: South Africa
A win puts South Africa in control with 1 match left. A loss hands England the momentum.
Projection
How many runs will South Africa and England score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a flat, high-scoring surface at Mangaung Oval.
- Powerplay (0-10)
- SA59-71ENG54-64
- Middle Overs (11-40)
- SA175-195ENG172-192
- Death Overs (41-50)
- SA90-108ENG93-109
Match-winners
Who can swing South Africa vs England?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to decide the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
South Africa
Marco Jansen94
Balances the XI
Kagiso Rabada86
Trusted at the end of the innings
England
Sam Curran93
Balances the XI
Jofra Archer91
Trusted at the end of the innings
Risk radar
What could change the prediction?
The news that would move our numbers before the first ball.
If Marco Jansen is left out
We would cut South Africa by about five points, making this a clear lean.
If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
Extra help for the bowlers would close the gap between the two batting line-ups.
If rain shortens the match
Fewer overs add randomness, which helps the underdog.
Preview
South Africa vs England match preview
Match 5 of 6 is where England tour of South Africa, 2026-27 starts to take shape. The Goexch model leans to South Africa at 63%, mainly on squad strength and how Mangaung Oval has played in recent seasons. South Africa are at home, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. England need early wickets or one big innings to win. Without that, the favourites should control the match.
On the toss: Batting or bowling first gives no real edge while the pitch stays this good.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar
Calendar check: 2nd ODI
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in England tour of South Africa, 2026-27.
Mangaung Oval in Bloemfontein hosts the 2nd ODI on Sat, 09 Jan 2027: fixture 5 of 6 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 1st ODI, was played 6 days before this one at Boland Park in Paarl, which means a travel day to Bloemfontein in between. A long break resets both camps, so the last game's momentum carries less weight than usual.
Up next: the 3rd ODI, 6 days after this match, at the same ground.
Also at Mangaung Oval on the Goexch schedule: 3rd ODI: South Africa vs England (15 Jan) (1 fixture in all).
Keep reading
More cricket predictions
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FAQ · 9
SA vs ENG 2nd ODI FAQs
Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.
Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp
Who will win South Africa vs England?
Goexch predicts South Africa to win, with a 63% chance against 37% for England, which we class as a strong lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a flat, high-scoring pitch at Mangaung Oval is likely to play.
What are the fair odds for South Africa in the SA vs ENG 2nd ODI?
Our 63% rating works out to fair decimal odds of 1.59 for South Africa and 2.70 for England. If the back price on the exchange is shorter than that, the bet has no value on our numbers.
What time does the SA vs ENG 2nd ODI start in India?
The series window puts it on Sat, 09 Jan 2027 (start time not yet confirmed) at Mangaung Oval, Bloemfontein, but the board has not confirmed the date or start time yet. We update this page as soon as it does.
What is the pitch report for Mangaung Oval?
We expect a flat, high-scoring pitch that should help the batters. Batters can trust the bounce from the first ball. Bowlers need clear plans, because anything full or wide goes to the rope.
Should the captain bat or bowl first in SA vs ENG?
Batting or bowling first gives no real edge while the pitch stays this good. The toss happens about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are confirmed.
Can England win this match?
Yes, but they need early wickets or a match-winning innings. We give England a 37% chance, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if South Africa change their best XI.
How do I trade South Africa vs England on the Goexch exchange?
On our numbers, back South Africa at 1.59 or bigger, or lay England at 2.70 or smaller. Laying means you win if England do not win; at 2.70, a ₹100 lay risks ₹170. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.
South Africa vs England match kaun jeetega?
Goexch model ke hisaab se South Africa ka chance zyada hai: 63%, jabki England ka 37%. Match Sat, 09 Jan 2027 (start time not yet confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Bloemfontein ki pitch report kya hai?
Hamare hisaab se pitch flat, high-scoring rahegi, yaani batting ke liye achhi pitch hai, bada score ban sakta hai. Toss match shuru hone se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.
Check it at the source
Sources and official information
- ICCICC tournament fixtures, results, rankings and team news.International Cricket Council
- ICC playing conditionsOfficial match rules for Tests, ODIs and T20Is, including rain-affected matches.International Cricket Council
- ESPNcricinfoScorecards, venue records and player statistics.ESPN
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