CricketEngland tour of South Africa, 2026-27 · match 6 of 6
South Africa vs England 3rd ODI prediction
Goexch verdictCoin flip
Too close to call, with a slight lean to South Africa. The Goexch model splits the SA vs ENG 3rd ODI 51-49, so neither side is a confident back. On a flat, high-scoring pitch at Mangaung Oval, we project South Africa near 351 and England near 341. Start: Fri, 15 Jan 2027 (start time not yet confirmed).
Quick read
SA vs ENG 3rd ODI in brief
- South Africa at 51%, a coin flip. Back only at 1.96 or bigger.
- Pitch suits batters, and South Africa are projected to post the bigger total.
- South Africa are playing in home conditions.
- Goexch pick
- South Africa
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs
- Pitch
- flat, high-scoring
- Favours
- Batters
Exchange plan
How should you trade SA vs ENG on Goexch?
Our fair prices for both sides. Back the pick at the price or bigger; lay the outsider at the price or smaller.
Back51% chance
South Africa1.96
Take 1.96 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.96 returns ₹196, stake included.
Lay49% chance
England2.04
Lay only at 2.04 or smaller. At 2.04, a ₹100 lay risks ₹104 to win ₹100.
Key factors
What will decide this match?
The pitch comes first, followed by the two factors with the most influence on this match.
Pitch read
Edge: Even
A batting pitch: even bounce, good carry and little movement. Death bowling and slower balls will decide how high the totals climb. Both sides will rely on the batters, so the deeper attack matters.
Series pressure
Edge: South Africa
It is the last match, so South Africa cannot ease off and England have nothing to save.
Toss call
Edge: Even
Batting or bowling first gives no real edge while the pitch stays this good.
Projection
How many runs will South Africa and England score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a flat, high-scoring surface at Mangaung Oval.
- Powerplay (0-10)
- SA57-69ENG54-66
- Middle Overs (11-40)
- SA173-193ENG172-194
- Death Overs (41-50)
- SA97-113ENG90-106
Match-winners
Who can swing South Africa vs England?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to decide the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
South Africa
Marco Jansen83
Balances the XI
Tristan Stubbs85
Fast starter at the top
England
Phil Salt88
Steady hand in a chase
Chris Woakes90
Trusted at the end of the innings
Risk radar
What could change the prediction?
The news that would move our numbers before the first ball.
If Marco Jansen is left out
We would cut South Africa by about five points, making this a coin flip.
If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
Extra help for the bowlers would close the gap between the two batting line-ups.
If rain shortens the match
Fewer overs add randomness, which helps the underdog.
Preview
South Africa vs England match preview
This is the final match of England tour of South Africa, 2026-27, so neither side will hold anything back. We think South Africa have the better side for a flat, high-scoring ODI pitch, and the model puts them at 51%. South Africa are at home, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. England are still in this at 49%, but they need their best players to fire on the same day.
On the toss: Batting or bowling first gives no real edge while the pitch stays this good.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar
Calendar check: 3rd ODI
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in England tour of South Africa, 2026-27.
Mangaung Oval in Bloemfontein hosts the 3rd ODI on Fri, 15 Jan 2027: fixture 6 of 6 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 2nd ODI, was played 6 days before this one at this same venue, so both teams already have a read on the surface. A long break resets both camps, so the last game's momentum carries less weight than usual.
No fixtures follow in this series, so expect both sides to pick their best available XI.
Also at Mangaung Oval on the Goexch schedule: 2nd ODI: South Africa vs England (09 Jan) (1 fixture in all).
Keep reading
More cricket predictions
- 09 Jan2nd ODI: South Africa vs EnglandEngland tour of South Africa, 2026-27
- 03 Jan1st ODI: South Africa vs EnglandEngland tour of South Africa, 2026-27
- 17 Dec1st Test: South Africa vs EnglandEngland tour of South Africa, 2026-27
- 23 Dec2nd Test: South Africa vs EnglandEngland tour of South Africa, 2026-27
FAQ · 9
SA vs ENG 3rd ODI FAQs
Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.
Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp
Who will win South Africa vs England?
Goexch predicts South Africa to win, with a 51% chance against 49% for England, which we class as a coin flip. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a flat, high-scoring pitch at Mangaung Oval is likely to play.
What are the fair odds for South Africa in the SA vs ENG 3rd ODI?
Our 51% rating works out to fair decimal odds of 1.96 for South Africa and 2.04 for England. If the back price on the exchange is shorter than that, the bet has no value on our numbers.
What time does the SA vs ENG 3rd ODI start in India?
The series window puts it on Fri, 15 Jan 2027 (start time not yet confirmed) at Mangaung Oval, Bloemfontein, but the board has not confirmed the date or start time yet. We update this page as soon as it does.
What is the pitch report for Mangaung Oval?
We expect a flat, high-scoring pitch that should help the batters. A batting pitch: even bounce, good carry and little movement. Death bowling and slower balls will decide how high the totals climb.
Should the captain bat or bowl first in SA vs ENG?
Batting or bowling first gives no real edge while the pitch stays this good. The toss happens about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are confirmed.
Can England win this match?
Yes, but they need early wickets or a match-winning innings. We give England a 49% chance, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if South Africa change their best XI.
How do I trade South Africa vs England on the Goexch exchange?
On our numbers, back South Africa at 1.96 or bigger, or lay England at 2.04 or smaller. Laying means you win if England do not win; at 2.04, a ₹100 lay risks ₹104. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.
South Africa vs England match kaun jeetega?
Goexch model ke hisaab se South Africa ka chance zyada hai: 51%, jabki England ka 49%. Match Fri, 15 Jan 2027 (start time not yet confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Bloemfontein ki pitch report kya hai?
Hamare hisaab se pitch flat, high-scoring rahegi, yaani batting ke liye achhi pitch hai, bada score ban sakta hai. Toss match shuru hone se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.
Check it at the source
Sources and official information
- ICCICC tournament fixtures, results, rankings and team news.International Cricket Council
- ICC playing conditionsOfficial match rules for Tests, ODIs and T20Is, including rain-affected matches.International Cricket Council
- ESPNcricinfoScorecards, venue records and player statistics.ESPN
External sites open in a new tab. We aren't affiliated with them.