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FootballPremier League · London derby

Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictCoin flip

Too close to call, with a slight lean to Palace. The Goexch goals model gives Palace 38%, the draw 28% and Spurs 34%, and expects 2.3 goals in total. Our most likely score is 1-0. Kick-off: Sat, 23 Jan 2027, 20:30 IST IST at Selhurst Park.

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. Crystal PalacePick

    38%
    Back2.63Lay2.63

  2. Draw

    28%
    Back3.57Lay3.57

  3. Tottenham Hotspur

    34%
    Back2.94Lay2.94
Start
20:30
IST
Date
Sat, 23 Jan 2027 · 15:00 UK
Venue
Selhurst Park, London

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Palace vs Spurs in brief

  • Palace 38%, draw 28%, Spurs 34%, which makes this a coin flip.
  • Predicted score 1-0, with a low-scoring game likely (2.3 xG).
  • This is the London derby, so expect more cards and fewer clear chances.
Predicted score
1-0
Goexch pick
Palace
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
4.5-5.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Palace vs Spurs on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

  1. Back38% chance

    Crystal Palace2.63

    Take 2.63 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 2.63 returns ₹263, stake included.

  2. Lay34% chance

    Tottenham Hotspur2.94

    Lay only at 2.94 or smaller. At 2.94, a ₹100 lay risks ₹194 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

  1. Home advantage

    Edge: Palace

    Palace are the stronger side and at home, which our model values at just over a fifth of a goal. Both advantages add up.

  2. Expected goals

    Edge: Few goals

    With only 2.3 expected goals, the under is the natural lean. Over 2.5 lands just 41% of the time.

  3. Derby intensity

    Edge: Draw

    The London derby brings extra intensity, more fouls and a projected 4.5-5.5 cards. Derbies often finish closer than the league table suggests.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Palace vs Spurs?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
47%
Over 2.5 goals
41%
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.13
Half-time call
0-0

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Crystal Palace

Expect Palace to sit compact at Selhurst Park and wait for one chance rather than try to control the match.

Away

Tottenham Hotspur

Spurs are well drilled and have enough quality up front to punish mistakes on their trip to Selhurst Park. Everything they do starts with control of midfield.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

  • If Palace name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.

  • If Spurs score first

    The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Palace vs Spurs match preview

Crystal Palace host Tottenham Hotspur in front of their own fans, and the Goexch numbers lean towards Palace. Because this is the London derby, form counts for less than usual, and we have pulled the numbers closer together to reflect that. The expected-goals gap (1.20 for Palace, 1.13 for Spurs) is the clearest signal, and it is where our 38% for Palace comes from. Spurs's best chance is to keep it level into the last 30 minutes, when the draw becomes a real possibility.

Calendar

Calendar check: Palace and Spurs

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Palace play 7 days after their game away at Liverpool on 16 Jan. After this, they go away at Hull 7 days after this one. League game 22 of 38.

Spurs play 7 days after their game at home to Leeds on 16 Jan. After this, they go at home to Sunderland 7 days after this one. League game 22 of 38.

These sides already met at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sat, 31 Oct 2026, making this the return fixture.

  1. 16 JanLiverpool vs PalaceAnfield
  2. 16 JanSpurs vs LeedsTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  3. 23 JanPalace vs SpursSelhurst Park
  4. 30 JanHull vs PalaceMKM Stadium
  5. 30 JanSpurs vs SunderlandTottenham Hotspur Stadium

Keep reading

More Palace and Spurs predictions

  1. 31 OctTottenham Hotspur vs Crystal PalacePremier League · 23:00 IST
  2. 30 JanHull City vs Crystal PalacePremier League · 20:30 IST
  3. 06 FebCrystal Palace vs Coventry CityPremier League · 20:30 IST
  4. 30 JanTottenham Hotspur vs SunderlandPremier League · 20:30 IST
  5. 06 FebIpswich Town vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League · 20:30 IST
  6. 23 JanArsenal vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League · 20:30 IST

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FAQ · 9

Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Palace vs Spurs?

Goexch predicts Crystal Palace to win. Our goals model gives Palace 38%, the draw 28% and Spurs 34%, which we class as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Our predicted score is 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 13%.

What are the fair odds for Palace vs Spurs?

On our numbers: Palace 2.63, draw 3.57, Spurs 2.94. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur kick off in India?

20:30 IST IST on Sat, 23 Jan 2027 (15:00 in the UK), at Selhurst Park in London. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Palace vs Spurs on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Crystal Palace at 2.63 or bigger, or lay Tottenham Hotspur at 2.94 or smaller. Laying means you win if Tottenham Hotspur do not win; at 2.94, a ₹100 lay risks ₹194. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Palace vs Spurs match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein Crystal Palace aage hain: Palace 38%, draw 28%, Spurs 34%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Can Spurs cause an upset?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined defence and a quiet day for Palace's attack. We give Spurs a 34% chance.

How many goals are expected in Palace vs Spurs?

2.3 expected goals in total. The most likely number of goals is 2, and a 0-0 comes up 10% of the time.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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