FootballPremier League 2026/27
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace prediction
Goexch verdict
Goexch backs Liverpool in Liverpool vs Palace, with a 69% win chance (strong lean). The model's most likely score is 2-0, the draw is 19%, both teams score 49% of the time and over 2.5 goals lands 58% of the time. Kick-off: Sat, 16 Jan 2027, 20:30 IST IST at Anfield.
Quick read
Liverpool vs Palace in brief
- Liverpool 69%, draw 19%, Palace 12%, which makes this a strong lean.
- Predicted score 2-0, with goals expected (3.0 xG).
- Both teams to score: 49% on our model.
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Goexch pick
- Liverpool
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Exchange plan
How should you trade Liverpool vs Palace on Goexch?
Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.
Back69% chance
Liverpool1.45
Take 1.45 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.45 returns ₹145, stake included.
Lay12% chance
Crystal Palace8.33
Lay only at 8.33 or smaller. At 8.33, a ₹100 lay risks ₹733 to win ₹100.
Key factors
What will decide this match?
Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.
Home advantage
Edge: Liverpool
Liverpool are the stronger side and at home, which our model values at just over a fifth of a goal. Both advantages add up.
Expected goals
Edge: Goals
3.0 expected goals is above the league average, and over 2.5 goals lands 58% of the time in our simulations.
Quality gap
Edge: Liverpool
Liverpool rate clearly higher and the draw is only 19%. If they score first, the match should go their way.
Goals model
How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Palace?
Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 49%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58%
- Expected goals
- 2.19 – 0.80
- Half-time call
- 0-0
Team set-up
How will the two teams line up?
Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Liverpool
Liverpool have a squad deep enough to challenge for the title. They squeeze opponents at Anfield, so Palace will need a disciplined low block to stay in the game.
Away
Crystal Palace
Expect Palace to sit compact on their trip to Anfield and wait for one chance rather than try to control the match.
Risk radar
What could change the prediction?
The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.
If Liverpool name a weakened XI
Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.
If Palace score first
The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.
Preview
Liverpool vs Palace match preview
Liverpool host Crystal Palace in front of their own fans, and the Goexch numbers lean towards Liverpool. The expected-goals gap (2.19 for Liverpool, 0.80 for Palace) is the clearest signal, and it is where our 69% for Liverpool comes from. Palace's best chance is to keep it level into the last 30 minutes, when the draw becomes a real possibility.
Calendar
Calendar check: Liverpool and Palace
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Liverpool play 11 days after their game away at Sunderland on 05 Jan. After this, they go away at Man Utd 7 days after this one. League game 21 of 38.
Palace play 10 days after their game at home to Chelsea on 06 Jan. After this, they go at home to Spurs 7 days after this one. League game 21 of 38.
These sides already met at Selhurst Park on Sun, 08 Nov 2026, making this the return fixture.
Keep reading
More Liverpool and Palace predictions
- 08 NovCrystal Palace vs LiverpoolPremier League · 19:30 IST
- 23 JanManchester United vs LiverpoolPremier League · 20:30 IST
- 30 JanLiverpool vs EvertonPremier League · 20:30 IST
- 23 JanCrystal Palace vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League · 20:30 IST
- 30 JanHull City vs Crystal PalacePremier League · 20:30 IST
- 16 JanAFC Bournemouth vs Ipswich TownPremier League · 20:30 IST
FAQ · 9
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace FAQs
Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.
Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp
Who will win Liverpool vs Palace?
Goexch predicts Liverpool to win. Our goals model gives Liverpool 69%, the draw 19% and Palace 12%, which we class as a strong lean.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?
Our predicted score is 2-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 12%.
What are the fair odds for Liverpool vs Palace?
On our numbers: Liverpool 1.45, draw 5.26, Palace 8.33. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.
What time does Liverpool vs Crystal Palace kick off in India?
20:30 IST IST on Sat, 16 Jan 2027 (15:00 in the UK), at Anfield in Liverpool. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.
How do I trade Liverpool vs Palace on the Goexch exchange?
On our numbers, back Liverpool at 1.45 or bigger, or lay Crystal Palace at 8.33 or smaller. Laying means you win if Crystal Palace do not win; at 8.33, a ₹100 lay risks ₹733. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.
Liverpool vs Palace match kaun jeetega?
Goexch goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Liverpool 69%, draw 19%, Palace 12%. Sabse sambhav score 2-0 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Where can I watch Liverpool vs Palace?
Indian TV rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings near the day.
Can Palace cause an upset?
Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined defence and a quiet day for Liverpool's attack. We give Palace a 12% chance.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.
Check it at the source
Sources and official information
- Premier League fixturesOfficial fixture list, kick-off times and results.Premier League
- Laws of the GameThe official laws of football, including stoppage time and match duration.IFAB
- FIFAWorld Cup fixtures, results and tournament regulations.FIFA
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