FootballPremier League · London derby

Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated 14 Oct 2026

Goexch verdictSlight lean

Goexch backs Tottenham Hotspur in Spurs vs Palace, with a 52% win chance (slight lean). The model's most likely score is 1-0, the draw is 26%, both teams score 47% of the time and over 2.5 goals lands 44% of the time. Kick-off: Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 23:00 IST IST at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Exchange view

Fair prices

Tottenham HotspurPick
52%
Back1.92Lay1.92
Draw
26%
Back3.85Lay3.85
Crystal Palace
22%
Back4.55Lay4.55

Start: 23:00; IST
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Spurs vs Palace in brief

Spurs 52%, draw 26%, Palace 22%, which makes this a slight lean.
Predicted score 1-0, with a low-scoring game likely (2.5 xG).
This is the London derby, so expect more cards and fewer clear chances.

Predicted score: 1-0
Goexch pick: Spurs
UK broadcast: Sky Sports
Projected cards: 4.5-5.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Spurs vs Palace on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

Back52% chance
Tottenham Hotspur1.92
Take 1.92 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.92 returns ₹192, stake included.
Lay22% chance
Crystal Palace4.55
Lay only at 4.55 or smaller. At 4.55, a ₹100 lay risks ₹355 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

Home advantage
Edge: Spurs
Spurs are the stronger side and at home, which our model values at just over a fifth of a goal. Both advantages add up.
Expected goals
Edge: Few goals
With only 2.5 expected goals, the under is the natural lean. Over 2.5 lands just 44% of the time.
Derby intensity
Edge: Draw
The London derby brings extra intensity, more fouls and a projected 4.5-5.5 cards. Derbies often finish closer than the league table suggests.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Spurs vs Palace?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

21%

26%

21%

13%

10%

012345+

total goals

Both teams score: 47%
Over 2.5 goals: 44%
Expected goals: 1.54 – 0.91
Half-time call: 0-0

Market menu

Three tickets from safest to riskiest, each with our chance and the fair odds it needs.

Anchor
Draw no bet
Back Spurs
Chance70%Fair odds1.43
You get your stake back if it ends level, so only a Palace win loses.
Value
Total goals
Under 3.5
Chance77%Fair odds1.30
A tight game is the most likely outcome, and four or more goals would be unusual.
Long shot
Correct score
Spurs 1-0 Palace
Chance13%Fair odds7.69
The model's most likely score. Correct-score markets pay well but rarely land, so keep the stake small.

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Tottenham Hotspur

Spurs are well drilled and have enough quality up front to punish mistakes at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Everything they do starts with control of midfield.

Away

Crystal Palace

Expect Palace to sit compact on their trip to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium and wait for one chance rather than try to control the match.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

If Spurs name a weakened XI
Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.
If Palace score first
The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Spurs vs Palace match preview

Tottenham Hotspur host Crystal Palace in front of their own fans, and the Goexch numbers lean towards Spurs. Because this is the London derby, form counts for less than usual, and we have pulled the numbers closer together to reflect that. The expected-goals gap (1.54 for Spurs, 0.91 for Palace) is the clearest signal, and it is where our 52% for Spurs comes from. Palace's best chance is to keep it level into the last 30 minutes, when the draw becomes a real possibility.

Calendar

Calendar check: Spurs and Palace

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Spurs play 7 days after their game away at Chelsea on 24 Oct. After this, they go away at Leeds 7 days after this one. League game 9 of 38.

Palace play 6 days after their game at home to Newcastle on 25 Oct. After this, they go at home to Liverpool 8 days after this one. League game 9 of 38.

They meet again at Selhurst Park on Sat, 23 Jan 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.

24 OctChelsea vs SpursStamford Bridge
25 OctPalace vs NewcastleSelhurst Park
31 OctSpurs vs PalaceTottenham Hotspur Stadium
07 NovLeeds vs SpursElland Road
08 NovPalace vs LiverpoolSelhurst Park

Keep reading

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FAQ · 9

Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Spurs vs Palace?

Goexch predicts Tottenham Hotspur to win. Our goals model gives Spurs 52%, the draw 26% and Palace 22%, which we class as a slight lean.

What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace?

Our predicted score is 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 1-0, at 13%.

What are the fair odds for Spurs vs Palace?

On our numbers: Spurs 1.92, draw 3.85, Palace 4.55. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace kick off in India?

23:00 IST IST on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 (17:30 in the UK), at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Spurs vs Palace on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Tottenham Hotspur at 1.92 or bigger, or lay Crystal Palace at 4.55 or smaller. Laying means you win if Crystal Palace do not win; at 4.55, a ₹100 lay risks ₹355. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Spurs vs Palace match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein Tottenham Hotspur aage hain: Spurs 52%, draw 26%, Palace 22%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.

Can Palace cause an upset?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined defence and a quiet day for Spurs's attack. We give Palace a 22% chance.

Where can I watch Spurs vs Palace?

In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Indian TV rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings near the day.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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Sources and official information

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