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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictCoin flip

Too close to call, with a slight lean to Newcastle. The Goexch goals model gives Palace 36%, the draw 25% and Newcastle 39%, and expects 2.7 goals in total. Our most likely score is 0-1. Kick-off: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 19:30 IST IST at Selhurst Park.

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. Crystal Palace

    36%
    Back2.78Lay2.78

  2. Draw

    25%
    Back4.00Lay4.00

  3. Newcastle UnitedPick

    39%
    Back2.56Lay2.56
Start
19:30
IST
Date
Sun, 25 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Venue
Selhurst Park, London

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Palace vs Newcastle in brief

  • Newcastle 39%, draw 25%, Palace 36%, which makes this a coin flip.
  • Predicted score 0-1, with the goals line finely balanced (2.7 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 56% on our model.
Predicted score
0-1
Goexch pick
Newcastle
UK broadcast
Sky Sports
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Palace vs Newcastle on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

  1. Back39% chance

    Newcastle United2.56

    Take 2.56 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 2.56 returns ₹256, stake included.

  2. Lay36% chance

    Crystal Palace2.78

    Lay only at 2.78 or smaller. At 2.78, a ₹100 lay risks ₹178 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

  1. Home advantage

    Edge: Even

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Palace. That narrows the gap but does not cancel Newcastle's extra quality.

  2. Expected goals

    Edge: Even

    At 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to 50/50 (52% for the over).

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Newcastle

    Newcastle rate clearly higher and the draw is only 25%. If they score first, the match should go their way.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Palace vs Newcastle?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.40
Half-time call
0-0

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Crystal Palace

Expect Palace to sit compact at Selhurst Park and wait for one chance rather than try to control the match.

Away

Newcastle United

Newcastle are well drilled and have enough quality up front to punish mistakes on their trip to Selhurst Park. Everything they do starts with control of midfield.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

  • If Newcastle name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.

  • If Palace score first

    The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Palace vs Newcastle match preview

Crystal Palace host Newcastle United in front of their own fans, and the Goexch numbers lean towards Newcastle. The expected-goals gap (1.34 for Palace, 1.40 for Newcastle) is the clearest signal, and it is where our 39% for Newcastle comes from. Palace's best chance is to keep it level into the last 30 minutes, when the draw becomes a real possibility.

Calendar

Calendar check: Palace and Newcastle

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Palace play 7 days after their game away at Brighton on 18 Oct. After this, they go away at Spurs 6 days after this one. League game 8 of 38.

Newcastle play 8 days after their game at home to Villa on 17 Oct. After this, they go at home to Everton 8 days after this one. League game 8 of 38.

They meet again at St James' Park on Sun, 23 May 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.

  1. 17 OctNewcastle vs VillaSt James' Park
  2. 18 OctBrighton vs PalaceAmerican Express Stadium
  3. 25 OctPalace vs NewcastleSelhurst Park
  4. 31 OctSpurs vs PalaceTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  5. 02 NovNewcastle vs EvertonSt James' Park

Keep reading

More Palace and Newcastle predictions

  1. 23 MayNewcastle United vs Crystal PalacePremier League · 19:30 IST
  2. 31 OctTottenham Hotspur vs Crystal PalacePremier League · 23:00 IST
  3. 08 NovCrystal Palace vs LiverpoolPremier League · 19:30 IST
  4. 02 NovNewcastle United vs EvertonPremier League · 01:30 IST, next day
  5. 07 NovFulham vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League · 20:30 IST
  6. 25 OctLiverpool vs Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League · 19:30 IST

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FAQ · 9

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Palace vs Newcastle?

Goexch predicts Newcastle United to win. Our goals model gives Palace 36%, the draw 25% and Newcastle 39%, which we class as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United?

Our predicted score is 0-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.

What are the fair odds for Palace vs Newcastle?

On our numbers: Palace 2.78, draw 4.00, Newcastle 2.56. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United kick off in India?

19:30 IST IST on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 (14:00 in the UK), at Selhurst Park in London. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Palace vs Newcastle on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Newcastle United at 2.56 or bigger, or lay Crystal Palace at 2.78 or smaller. Laying means you win if Crystal Palace do not win; at 2.78, a ₹100 lay risks ₹178. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Palace vs Newcastle match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein Newcastle United aage hain: Palace 36%, draw 25%, Newcastle 39%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

How many goals are expected in Palace vs Newcastle?

2.7 expected goals in total. The most likely number of goals is 2, and a 0-0 comes up 7% of the time.

Where can I watch Palace vs Newcastle?

In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Indian TV rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings near the day.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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Sources and official information

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