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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Fulham vs Newcastle United prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictClear lean

Goexch backs Newcastle United in Fulham vs Newcastle, with a 61% win chance (clear lean). The model's most likely score is 0-1, the draw is 21%, both teams score 53% of the time and over 2.5 goals lands 56% of the time. Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026, 20:30 IST IST at Craven Cottage.

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. Fulham

    18%
    Back5.56Lay5.56

  2. Draw

    21%
    Back4.76Lay4.76

  3. Newcastle UnitedPick

    61%
    Back1.64Lay1.64
Start
20:30
IST
Date
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Venue
Craven Cottage, London

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Fulham vs Newcastle in brief

  • Newcastle 61%, draw 21%, Fulham 18%, which makes this a clear lean.
  • Predicted score 0-1, with goals expected (2.9 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 53% on our model.
Predicted score
0-1
Goexch pick
Newcastle
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Fulham vs Newcastle on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

  1. Back61% chance

    Newcastle United1.64

    Take 1.64 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.64 returns ₹164, stake included.

  2. Lay18% chance

    Fulham5.56

    Lay only at 5.56 or smaller. At 5.56, a ₹100 lay risks ₹456 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

  1. Home advantage

    Edge: Even

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Fulham. That narrows the gap but does not cancel Newcastle's extra quality.

  2. Expected goals

    Edge: Goals

    2.9 expected goals is above the league average, and over 2.5 goals lands 56% of the time in our simulations.

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Newcastle

    Newcastle rate clearly higher and the draw is only 21%. If they score first, the match should go their way.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Fulham vs Newcastle?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
53%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Expected goals
0.96 – 1.98
Half-time call
0-0

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Fulham

Fulham are a practical mid-table side: solid without the ball at Craven Cottage, but lacking the creativity to run a game.

Away

Newcastle United

Newcastle are well drilled and have enough quality up front to punish mistakes on their trip to Craven Cottage. Everything they do starts with control of midfield.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

  • If Newcastle name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.

  • If Fulham score first

    The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Fulham vs Newcastle match preview

Fulham host Newcastle United in front of their own fans, and the Goexch numbers lean towards Newcastle. The expected-goals gap (0.96 for Fulham, 1.98 for Newcastle) is the clearest signal, and it is where our 61% for Newcastle comes from. Fulham's best chance is to keep it level into the last 30 minutes, when the draw becomes a real possibility.

Calendar

Calendar check: Fulham and Newcastle

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Fulham play 7 days after their game away at Villa on 31 Oct. After this, they go away at Man City 14 days after this one. League game 10 of 38.

Newcastle play 5 days after their game at home to Everton on 02 Nov. After this, they go at home to Arsenal 14 days after this one. League game 10 of 38.

They meet again at St James' Park on Sat, 16 Jan 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.

  1. 31 OctVilla vs FulhamVilla Park
  2. 02 NovNewcastle vs EvertonSt James' Park
  3. 07 NovFulham vs NewcastleCraven Cottage
  4. 21 NovMan City vs FulhamEtihad Stadium
  5. 21 NovNewcastle vs ArsenalSt James' Park

Keep reading

More Fulham and Newcastle predictions

  1. 16 JanNewcastle United vs FulhamPremier League · 20:30 IST
  2. 21 NovManchester City vs FulhamPremier League · 18:00 IST
  3. 29 NovFulham vs AFC BournemouthPremier League · 19:35 IST
  4. 21 NovNewcastle United vs ArsenalPremier League · 23:00 IST
  5. 29 NovBrighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League · 19:35 IST
  6. 07 NovLeeds United vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League · 18:00 IST

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FAQ · 9

Fulham vs Newcastle United FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Fulham vs Newcastle?

Goexch predicts Newcastle United to win. Our goals model gives Fulham 18%, the draw 21% and Newcastle 61%, which we class as a clear lean.

What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Newcastle United?

Our predicted score is 0-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 0-1, at 10%.

What are the fair odds for Fulham vs Newcastle?

On our numbers: Fulham 5.56, draw 4.76, Newcastle 1.64. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Fulham vs Newcastle United kick off in India?

20:30 IST IST on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 (15:00 in the UK), at Craven Cottage in London. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Fulham vs Newcastle on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Newcastle United at 1.64 or bigger, or lay Fulham at 5.56 or smaller. Laying means you win if Fulham do not win; at 5.56, a ₹100 lay risks ₹456. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Fulham vs Newcastle match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein Newcastle United aage hain: Fulham 18%, draw 21%, Newcastle 61%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Can Fulham cause an upset?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined defence and a quiet day for Newcastle's attack. We give Fulham a 18% chance.

How many goals are expected in Fulham vs Newcastle?

2.9 expected goals in total. The most likely number of goals is 2, and a 0-0 comes up 5% of the time.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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