FootballPremier League 2026/27
Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction
Goexch verdictCoin flip
Too close to call, with a slight lean to Liverpool. The Goexch goals model gives Liverpool 47%, the draw 25% and Arsenal 28%, and expects 2.8 goals in total. Our most likely score is 1-0. Kick-off: Sun, 01 Nov 2026, 22:00 IST IST at Anfield.
Quick read
Liverpool vs Arsenal in brief
- Liverpool 47%, draw 25%, Arsenal 28%, which makes this a coin flip.
- Predicted score 1-0, with the goals line finely balanced (2.8 xG).
- Both teams to score: 56% on our model.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Goexch pick
- Liverpool
- UK broadcast
- Sky Sports
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Exchange plan
How should you trade Liverpool vs Arsenal on Goexch?
Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.
Back47% chance
Liverpool2.13
Take 2.13 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 2.13 returns ₹213, stake included.
Lay28% chance
Arsenal3.57
Lay only at 3.57 or smaller. At 3.57, a ₹100 lay risks ₹257 to win ₹100.
Key factors
What will decide this match?
Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.
Home advantage
Edge: Liverpool
Liverpool are the stronger side and at home, which our model values at just over a fifth of a goal. Both advantages add up.
Expected goals
Edge: Even
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to 50/50 (53% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Liverpool
Liverpool rate clearly higher and the draw is only 25%. If they score first, the match should go their way.
Goals model
How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Arsenal?
Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 56%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53%
- Expected goals
- 1.61 – 1.20
- Half-time call
- 0-0
Team set-up
How will the two teams line up?
Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Liverpool
Liverpool are built to dominate the ball. They should have most of the possession at Anfield and keep Arsenal pinned in their own half for long spells.
Away
Arsenal
Arsenal are built to dominate the ball. They should have most of the possession on their trip to Anfield and keep Liverpool pinned in their own half for long spells.
Risk radar
What could change the prediction?
The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.
If Liverpool name a weakened XI
Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.
If Arsenal score first
The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.
Preview
Liverpool vs Arsenal match preview
Arsenal visit Anfield in a 2026/27 Premier League match that the Goexch model rates as a coin flip. We project 1.61 expected goals for Liverpool and 1.20 for Arsenal. Across thousands of simulated matches, Liverpool win 47% of them. An early goal would change everything for Arsenal. Teams chasing a game leave gaps, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar
Calendar check: Liverpool and Arsenal
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Liverpool play 7 days after their game at home to Brighton on 25 Oct. After this, they go away at Palace 7 days after this one. League game 9 of 38.
Arsenal play 8 days after their game at home to Everton on 24 Oct. After this, they go at home to Hull 6 days after this one. League game 9 of 38.
They meet again at Emirates Stadium on Sat, 06 Feb 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.
Keep reading
More Liverpool and Arsenal predictions
FAQ · 9
Liverpool vs Arsenal FAQs
Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.
Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp
Who will win Liverpool vs Arsenal?
Goexch predicts Liverpool to win. Our goals model gives Liverpool 47%, the draw 25% and Arsenal 28%, which we class as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Arsenal?
Our predicted score is 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.
What are the fair odds for Liverpool vs Arsenal?
On our numbers: Liverpool 2.13, draw 4.00, Arsenal 3.57. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.
What time does Liverpool vs Arsenal kick off in India?
22:00 IST IST on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 (16:30 in the UK), at Anfield in Liverpool. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.
How do I trade Liverpool vs Arsenal on the Goexch exchange?
On our numbers, back Liverpool at 2.13 or bigger, or lay Arsenal at 3.57 or smaller. Laying means you win if Arsenal do not win; at 3.57, a ₹100 lay risks ₹257. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.
Liverpool vs Arsenal match kaun jeetega?
Goexch goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Liverpool 47%, draw 25%, Arsenal 28%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Arsenal?
We put both teams to score at 56%, so we lean yes. Over 2.5 goals is 53%.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
How many goals are expected in Liverpool vs Arsenal?
2.8 expected goals in total. The most likely number of goals is 2, and a 0-0 comes up 6% of the time.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.
Check it at the source
Sources and official information
- Premier League fixturesOfficial fixture list, kick-off times and results.Premier League
- Laws of the GameThe official laws of football, including stoppage time and match duration.IFAB
- FIFAWorld Cup fixtures, results and tournament regulations.FIFA
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