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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictCoin flip

Too close to call, with a slight lean to Forest. The Goexch goals model gives Forest 51%, the draw 24% and Sunderland 25%, and expects 2.8 goals in total. Our most likely score is 1-0. Kick-off: Sat, 24 Apr 2027, 19:30 IST IST at City Ground.

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. Nottingham ForestPick

    51%
    Back1.96Lay1.96

  2. Draw

    24%
    Back4.17Lay4.17

  3. Sunderland

    25%
    Back4.00Lay4.00
Start
19:30
IST
Date
Sat, 24 Apr 2027 · 15:00 UK
Venue
City Ground, Nottingham

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Forest vs Sunderland in brief

  • Forest 51%, draw 24%, Sunderland 25%, which makes this a coin flip.
  • Predicted score 1-0, with the goals line finely balanced (2.8 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 55% on our model.
Predicted score
1-0
Goexch pick
Forest
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Forest vs Sunderland on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

  1. Back51% chance

    Nottingham Forest1.96

    Take 1.96 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.96 returns ₹196, stake included.

  2. Lay25% chance

    Sunderland4.00

    Lay only at 4.00 or smaller. At 4.00, a ₹100 lay risks ₹300 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

  1. Home advantage

    Edge: Forest

    Forest are the stronger side and at home, which our model values at just over a fifth of a goal. Both advantages add up.

  2. Expected goals

    Edge: Even

    At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to 50/50 (53% for the over).

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Forest

    Forest rate clearly higher and the draw is only 24%. If they score first, the match should go their way.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Forest vs Sunderland?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.11
Half-time call
0-0

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Nottingham Forest

Expect Forest to sit compact at City Ground and wait for one chance rather than try to control the match.

Away

Sunderland

Expect Sunderland to sit compact on their trip to City Ground and wait for one chance rather than try to control the match.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

  • If Forest name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.

  • If Sunderland score first

    The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Forest vs Sunderland match preview

Nottingham Forest host Sunderland in front of their own fans, and the Goexch numbers lean towards Forest. The expected-goals gap (1.70 for Forest, 1.11 for Sunderland) is the clearest signal, and it is where our 51% for Forest comes from. Sunderland's best chance is to keep it level into the last 30 minutes, when the draw becomes a real possibility.

Calendar

Calendar check: Forest and Sunderland

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Forest play 7 days after their game at home to Liverpool on 17 Apr. After this, they go away at Brighton 7 days after this one. League game 33 of 38.

Sunderland play 7 days after their game away at Fulham on 17 Apr. After this, they go at home to Newcastle 7 days after this one. League game 33 of 38.

These sides already met at Stadium of Light on Sat, 12 Dec 2026, making this the return fixture.

  1. 17 AprForest vs LiverpoolCity Ground
  2. 17 AprFulham vs SunderlandCraven Cottage
  3. 24 AprForest vs SunderlandCity Ground
  4. 01 MayBrighton vs ForestAmerican Express Stadium
  5. 01 MaySunderland vs NewcastleStadium of Light

Keep reading

More Forest and Sunderland predictions

  1. 12 DecSunderland vs Nottingham ForestPremier League · 20:30 IST
  2. 01 MayBrighton & Hove Albion vs Nottingham ForestPremier League · 19:30 IST
  3. 08 MayNottingham Forest vs Crystal PalacePremier League · 19:30 IST
  4. 01 MaySunderland vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League · 19:30 IST
  5. 08 MayBrighton & Hove Albion vs SunderlandPremier League · 19:30 IST
  6. 24 AprAFC Bournemouth vs ArsenalPremier League · 19:30 IST

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FAQ · 9

Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Forest vs Sunderland?

Goexch predicts Nottingham Forest to win. Our goals model gives Forest 51%, the draw 24% and Sunderland 25%, which we class as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland?

Our predicted score is 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 11%.

What are the fair odds for Forest vs Sunderland?

On our numbers: Forest 1.96, draw 4.17, Sunderland 4.00. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland kick off in India?

19:30 IST IST on Sat, 24 Apr 2027 (15:00 in the UK), at City Ground in Nottingham. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Forest vs Sunderland on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Nottingham Forest at 1.96 or bigger, or lay Sunderland at 4.00 or smaller. Laying means you win if Sunderland do not win; at 4.00, a ₹100 lay risks ₹300. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Forest vs Sunderland match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein Nottingham Forest aage hain: Forest 51%, draw 24%, Sunderland 25%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.

How many goals are expected in Forest vs Sunderland?

2.8 expected goals in total. The most likely number of goals is 2, and a 0-0 comes up 6% of the time.

Will both teams score in Forest vs Sunderland?

We put both teams to score at 55%, so we lean yes. Over 2.5 goals is 53%.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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