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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictSlight lean

Liverpool are our pick (slight lean). The Goexch goals model gives them a 54% chance to win, a fair back price of 1.85, with the draw at 23%. We expect 3.0 goals and a 1-2 score, and both teams score in 57% of simulations. Kick-off: Sat, 17 Apr 2027, 19:30 IST IST at City Ground.

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. Nottingham Forest

    23%
    Back4.35Lay4.35

  2. Draw

    23%
    Back4.35Lay4.35

  3. LiverpoolPick

    54%
    Back1.85Lay1.85
Start
19:30
IST
Date
Sat, 17 Apr 2027 · 15:00 UK
Venue
City Ground, Nottingham

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Forest vs Liverpool in brief

  • Liverpool 54%, draw 23%, Forest 23%, which makes this a slight lean.
  • Predicted score 1-2, with goals expected (3.0 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 57% on our model.
Predicted score
1-2
Goexch pick
Liverpool
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Forest vs Liverpool on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

  1. Back54% chance

    Liverpool1.85

    Take 1.85 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.85 returns ₹185, stake included.

  2. Lay23% chance

    Nottingham Forest4.35

    Lay only at 4.35 or smaller. At 4.35, a ₹100 lay risks ₹335 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

  1. Home advantage

    Edge: Even

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Forest. That narrows the gap but does not cancel Liverpool's extra quality.

  2. Expected goals

    Edge: Goals

    3.0 expected goals is above the league average, and over 2.5 goals lands 57% of the time in our simulations.

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Liverpool

    Liverpool rate clearly higher and the draw is only 23%. If they score first, the match should go their way.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Forest vs Liverpool?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.82
Half-time call
0-0

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Nottingham Forest

Expect Forest to sit compact at City Ground and wait for one chance rather than try to control the match.

Away

Liverpool

Liverpool have a squad deep enough to challenge for the title. They squeeze opponents on their trip to City Ground, so Forest will need a disciplined low block to stay in the game.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

  • If Liverpool name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.

  • If Forest score first

    The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Forest vs Liverpool match preview

Nottingham Forest host Liverpool in front of their own fans, and the Goexch numbers lean towards Liverpool. The expected-goals gap (1.13 for Forest, 1.82 for Liverpool) is the clearest signal, and it is where our 54% for Liverpool comes from. Forest's best chance is to keep it level into the last 30 minutes, when the draw becomes a real possibility.

Calendar

Calendar check: Forest and Liverpool

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Forest play 7 days after their game away at Leeds on 10 Apr. After this, they go at home to Sunderland 7 days after this one. League game 32 of 38.

Liverpool play 7 days after their game at home to Newcastle on 10 Apr. After this, they go away at Leeds 7 days after this one. League game 32 of 38.

These sides already met at Anfield on Sat, 29 Aug 2026, making this the return fixture.

  1. 10 AprLeeds vs ForestElland Road
  2. 10 AprLiverpool vs NewcastleAnfield
  3. 17 AprForest vs LiverpoolCity Ground
  4. 24 AprForest vs SunderlandCity Ground
  5. 24 AprLeeds vs LiverpoolElland Road

Keep reading

More Forest and Liverpool predictions

  1. 24 AprNottingham Forest vs SunderlandPremier League · 19:30 IST
  2. 01 MayBrighton & Hove Albion vs Nottingham ForestPremier League · 19:30 IST
  3. 24 AprLeeds United vs LiverpoolPremier League · 19:30 IST
  4. 01 MayLiverpool vs ChelseaPremier League · 19:30 IST
  5. 17 AprArsenal vs Aston VillaPremier League · 19:30 IST
  6. 17 AprBrentford vs Leeds UnitedPremier League · 19:30 IST

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FAQ · 9

Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Forest vs Liverpool?

Goexch predicts Liverpool to win. Our goals model gives Forest 23%, the draw 23% and Liverpool 54%, which we class as a slight lean.

What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool?

Our predicted score is 1-2, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 11%.

What are the fair odds for Forest vs Liverpool?

On our numbers: Forest 4.35, draw 4.35, Liverpool 1.85. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool kick off in India?

19:30 IST IST on Sat, 17 Apr 2027 (15:00 in the UK), at City Ground in Nottingham. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Forest vs Liverpool on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Liverpool at 1.85 or bigger, or lay Nottingham Forest at 4.35 or smaller. Laying means you win if Nottingham Forest do not win; at 4.35, a ₹100 lay risks ₹335. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Forest vs Liverpool match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Forest 23%, draw 23%, Liverpool 54%. Sabse sambhav score 1-2 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Can Forest cause an upset?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined defence and a quiet day for Liverpool's attack. We give Forest a 23% chance.

How many goals are expected in Forest vs Liverpool?

3.0 expected goals in total. The most likely number of goals is 2, and a 0-0 comes up 5% of the time.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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