CricketSri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027 · match 2 of 8
New Zealand vs Sri Lanka 2nd ODI prediction
Goexch verdict
Goexch backs New Zealand to win the NZ vs SL 2nd ODI, with a 66% win chance (strong lean) against 34% for Sri Lanka. Projected totals: New Zealand 315, Sri Lanka 305. Conditions at Sky Stadium should help the quicks. First ball: Wed, 20 Jan 2027 (start time not yet confirmed).
Quick read
NZ vs SL 2nd ODI in brief
- New Zealand at 66%, a strong lean. Back only at 1.52 or bigger.
- Pitch suits seamers, and New Zealand are projected to post the bigger total.
- New Zealand are playing in home conditions.
- Goexch pick
- New Zealand
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs
- Pitch
- green, seam-friendly
- Favours
- Seamers
Exchange plan
How should you trade NZ vs SL on Goexch?
Our fair prices for both sides. Back the pick at the price or bigger; lay the outsider at the price or smaller.
Back66% chance
New Zealand1.52
Take 1.52 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.52 returns ₹152, stake included.
Lay34% chance
Sri Lanka2.94
Lay only at 2.94 or smaller. At 2.94, a ₹100 lay risks ₹194 to win ₹100.
Key factors
What will decide this match?
The pitch comes first, followed by the two factors with the most influence on this match.
Pitch read
Edge: New Zealand
Live grass and early moisture mean the new ball will move. The first 15 overs are the danger period, and batting gets noticeably easier after that. New Zealand play on this kind of pitch all the time.
Even batting
Edge: Even
The two batting line-ups rate almost the same (10 runs apart), so the bowling and the toss should decide it.
Toss call
Edge: Toss winner
Bowl first. The percentage play is to attack the top order while the pitch is fresh.
Projection
How many runs will New Zealand and Sri Lanka score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a green, seam-friendly surface at Sky Stadium.
- Powerplay (0-10)
- NZ46-56SL43-53
- Middle Overs (11-40)
- NZ165-185SL161-179
- Death Overs (41-50)
- NZ80-98SL78-96
Match-winners
Who can swing New Zealand vs Sri Lanka?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to decide the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
New Zealand
Lockie Ferguson80
Trusted at the end of the innings
Daryl Mitchell95
Balances the XI
Sri Lanka
Sadeera Samarawickrama94
Steady hand in a chase
Dilshan Madushanka89
Trusted at the end of the innings
Risk radar
What could change the prediction?
The news that would move our numbers before the first ball.
If Lockie Ferguson is left out
We would cut New Zealand by about five points, making this a clear lean.
If Sri Lanka win the toss
On a pitch where the toss matters, that alone moves a couple of points to Sri Lanka.
If rain shortens the match
Fewer overs add randomness, which helps the underdog.
Preview
New Zealand vs Sri Lanka match preview
With 6 matches of Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027 still to come, game 2 can swing the series. The Goexch model leans to New Zealand at 66%, mainly on squad strength and how Sky Stadium has played in recent seasons. New Zealand are at home, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. Sri Lanka's best chance of an upset is the first hour. If they get on top early, our 34% for them starts to look low.
On the toss: Bowl first. The percentage play is to attack the top order while the pitch is fresh.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar
Calendar check: 2nd ODI
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027.
Sky Stadium in Wellington hosts the 2nd ODI on Wed, 20 Jan 2027: fixture 2 of 8 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 1st ODI, was played 4 days before this one at McLean Park in Napier, which means a travel day to Wellington in between. That is enough rest for both teams to pick their strongest XIs.
Up next: the 3rd ODI, 5 days after this match at University Oval in Dunedin.
Also at Sky Stadium on the Goexch schedule: 3rd T20I: New Zealand vs India (29 Oct), 2nd ODI: New Zealand vs India (12 Nov) (2 fixtures in all).
Keep reading
More cricket predictions
FAQ · 9
NZ vs SL 2nd ODI FAQs
Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.
Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp
Who will win New Zealand vs Sri Lanka?
Goexch predicts New Zealand to win, with a 66% chance against 34% for Sri Lanka, which we class as a strong lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a green, seam-friendly pitch at Sky Stadium is likely to play.
What are the fair odds for New Zealand in the NZ vs SL 2nd ODI?
Our 66% rating works out to fair decimal odds of 1.52 for New Zealand and 2.94 for Sri Lanka. If the back price on the exchange is shorter than that, the bet has no value on our numbers.
What time does the NZ vs SL 2nd ODI start in India?
The series window puts it on Wed, 20 Jan 2027 (start time not yet confirmed) at Sky Stadium, Wellington, but the board has not confirmed the date or start time yet. We update this page as soon as it does.
What is the pitch report for Sky Stadium?
We expect a green, seam-friendly pitch that should help the quicks. Live grass and early moisture mean the new ball will move. The first 15 overs are the danger period, and batting gets noticeably easier after that.
Should the captain bat or bowl first in NZ vs SL?
Bowl first. The percentage play is to attack the top order while the pitch is fresh. The toss happens about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are confirmed.
Can Sri Lanka win this match?
Yes, but they need early wickets or a match-winning innings. We give Sri Lanka a 34% chance, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if New Zealand change their best XI.
How do I trade New Zealand vs Sri Lanka on the Goexch exchange?
On our numbers, back New Zealand at 1.52 or bigger, or lay Sri Lanka at 2.94 or smaller. Laying means you win if Sri Lanka do not win; at 2.94, a ₹100 lay risks ₹194. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.
New Zealand vs Sri Lanka match kaun jeetega?
Goexch model ke hisaab se New Zealand ka chance zyada hai: 66%, jabki Sri Lanka ka 34%. Match Wed, 20 Jan 2027 (start time not yet confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Wellington ki pitch report kya hai?
Hamare hisaab se pitch green, seam-friendly rahegi, yaani fast bowlers ko shuru mein swing aur seam milega. Toss match shuru hone se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.
Check it at the source
Sources and official information
- ICCICC tournament fixtures, results, rankings and team news.International Cricket Council
- ICC playing conditionsOfficial match rules for Tests, ODIs and T20Is, including rain-affected matches.International Cricket Council
- ESPNcricinfoScorecards, venue records and player statistics.ESPN
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