CricketSri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027 · match 3 of 8
New Zealand vs Sri Lanka 3rd ODI prediction
Goexch verdict
On our numbers, New Zealand win 62% of the time against Sri Lanka, which makes this a strong lean. We expect 347 from New Zealand and 326 from Sri Lanka at University Oval, where the batters should have the edge. The match starts Mon, 25 Jan 2027 (start time not yet confirmed).
Quick read
NZ vs SL 3rd ODI in brief
- New Zealand at 62%, a strong lean. Back only at 1.61 or bigger.
- Pitch suits batters, and New Zealand are projected to post the bigger total.
- New Zealand are playing in home conditions.
- Goexch pick
- New Zealand
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs
- Pitch
- flat, high-scoring
- Favours
- Batters
Exchange plan
How should you trade NZ vs SL on Goexch?
Our fair prices for both sides. Back the pick at the price or bigger; lay the outsider at the price or smaller.
Back62% chance
New Zealand1.61
Take 1.61 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.61 returns ₹161, stake included.
Lay38% chance
Sri Lanka2.63
Lay only at 2.63 or smaller. At 2.63, a ₹100 lay risks ₹163 to win ₹100.
Key factors
What will decide this match?
The pitch comes first, followed by the two factors with the most influence on this match.
Pitch read
Edge: Even
Batters can trust the bounce from the first ball. Bowlers need clear plans, because anything full or wide goes to the rope. Both sides will rely on the batters, so the deeper attack matters.
Toss call
Edge: Even
Batting or bowling first gives no real edge while the pitch stays this good.
Batting edge
Edge: New Zealand
New Zealand project about 21 runs higher in the first-innings total. Across a ODI, a gap that size turns close games into comfortable wins.
Projection
How many runs will New Zealand and Sri Lanka score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a flat, high-scoring surface at University Oval.
- Powerplay (0-10)
- NZ54-64SL48-58
- Middle Overs (11-40)
- NZ175-197SL170-190
- Death Overs (41-50)
- NZ94-110SL85-101
Match-winners
Who can swing New Zealand vs Sri Lanka?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to decide the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
New Zealand
Rachin Ravindra94
Balances the XI
Kane Williamson84
Fast starter at the top
Sri Lanka
Dushmantha Chameera85
Trusted at the end of the innings
Angelo Mathews97
Balances the XI
Risk radar
What could change the prediction?
The news that would move our numbers before the first ball.
If Rachin Ravindra is left out
We would cut New Zealand by about five points, making this a clear lean.
If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
Extra help for the bowlers would close the gap between the two batting line-ups.
If rain shortens the match
Fewer overs add randomness, which helps the underdog.
Preview
New Zealand vs Sri Lanka match preview
Match 3 of 8 is where Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027 starts to take shape. New Zealand come in at 62% because their batting and bowling both suit these flat, high-scoring conditions slightly better. New Zealand are at home, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. Sri Lanka are still in this at 38%, but they need their best players to fire on the same day.
On the toss: Batting or bowling first gives no real edge while the pitch stays this good.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar
Calendar check: 3rd ODI
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027.
University Oval in Dunedin hosts the 3rd ODI on Mon, 25 Jan 2027: fixture 3 of 8 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 2nd ODI, was played 5 days before this one at Sky Stadium in Wellington, which means a travel day to Dunedin in between. A long break resets both camps, so the last game's momentum carries less weight than usual.
Up next: the 1st T20I, 4 days after this match at Hagley Oval in Christchurch.
Keep reading
More cricket predictions
- 29 Jan1st T20I: New Zealand vs Sri LankaSri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027
- 03 Feb2nd T20I: New Zealand vs Sri LankaSri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027
- 07 Feb3rd T20I: New Zealand vs Sri LankaSri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027
- 12 Feb1st Test: New Zealand vs Sri LankaSri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027
FAQ · 9
NZ vs SL 3rd ODI FAQs
Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.
Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp
Who will win New Zealand vs Sri Lanka?
Goexch predicts New Zealand to win, with a 62% chance against 38% for Sri Lanka, which we class as a strong lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a flat, high-scoring pitch at University Oval is likely to play.
What are the fair odds for New Zealand in the NZ vs SL 3rd ODI?
Our 62% rating works out to fair decimal odds of 1.61 for New Zealand and 2.63 for Sri Lanka. If the back price on the exchange is shorter than that, the bet has no value on our numbers.
What time does the NZ vs SL 3rd ODI start in India?
The series window puts it on Mon, 25 Jan 2027 (start time not yet confirmed) at University Oval, Dunedin, but the board has not confirmed the date or start time yet. We update this page as soon as it does.
What is the pitch report for University Oval?
We expect a flat, high-scoring pitch that should help the batters. Batters can trust the bounce from the first ball. Bowlers need clear plans, because anything full or wide goes to the rope.
Should the captain bat or bowl first in NZ vs SL?
Batting or bowling first gives no real edge while the pitch stays this good. The toss happens about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are confirmed.
Can Sri Lanka win this match?
Yes, but they need early wickets or a match-winning innings. We give Sri Lanka a 38% chance, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if New Zealand change their best XI.
How do I trade New Zealand vs Sri Lanka on the Goexch exchange?
On our numbers, back New Zealand at 1.61 or bigger, or lay Sri Lanka at 2.63 or smaller. Laying means you win if Sri Lanka do not win; at 2.63, a ₹100 lay risks ₹163. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.
New Zealand vs Sri Lanka match kaun jeetega?
Goexch model ke hisaab se New Zealand ka chance zyada hai: 62%, jabki Sri Lanka ka 38%. Match Mon, 25 Jan 2027 (start time not yet confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Dunedin ki pitch report kya hai?
Hamare hisaab se pitch flat, high-scoring rahegi, yaani batting ke liye achhi pitch hai, bada score ban sakta hai. Toss match shuru hone se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.
Check it at the source
Sources and official information
- ICCICC tournament fixtures, results, rankings and team news.International Cricket Council
- ICC playing conditionsOfficial match rules for Tests, ODIs and T20Is, including rain-affected matches.International Cricket Council
- ESPNcricinfoScorecards, venue records and player statistics.ESPN
External sites open in a new tab. We aren't affiliated with them.