CricketNew Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27 · match 2 of 4
Australia vs New Zealand 2nd Test prediction
Goexch verdict
Australia are our pick (strong lean). The Goexch model gives them a 62% chance against New Zealand in the 2nd Test at Adelaide Oval, which is a fair back price of 1.61. We project Australia to make 289 and New Zealand 272 on a pitch that suits the batters. Start: Sat, 19 Dec 2026 (start time not yet confirmed).
Quick read
AUS vs NZ 2nd Test in brief
- Australia at 62%, a strong lean. Back only at 1.61 or bigger.
- Pitch suits batters, and Australia are projected to post the bigger total.
- Australia are playing in home conditions.
- Goexch pick
- Australia
- Format
- Test match
- Pitch
- flat, batter-friendly
- Favours
- Batters
Exchange plan
How should you trade AUS vs NZ on Goexch?
Our fair prices for both sides. Back the pick at the price or bigger; lay the outsider at the price or smaller.
Back62% chance
Australia1.61
Take 1.61 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.61 returns ₹161, stake included.
Lay38% chance
New Zealand2.63
Lay only at 2.63 or smaller. At 2.63, a ₹100 lay risks ₹163 to win ₹100.
Key factors
What will decide this match?
The pitch comes first, followed by the two factors with the most influence on this match.
Pitch read
Edge: Even
Hard, true and quick, with short boundaries and a fast outfield. A below-par total will not be defended on this pitch. Both sides will rely on the batters, so the deeper attack matters.
Batting edge
Edge: Australia
Australia project about 17 runs higher in the day-one total. Across a Test, a gap that size turns close games into comfortable wins.
Toss call
Edge: Even
Whatever the captain chooses, both teams should get the runs on offer.
Projection
How many runs will Australia and New Zealand score?
Projected session-by-session runs on day one, on a flat, batter-friendly surface at Adelaide Oval.
- Session 1
- AUS90-104NZ82-96
- Session 2
- AUS94-110NZ91-107
- Session 3
- AUS83-97NZ76-92
Match-winners
Who can swing Australia vs New Zealand?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to decide the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
Australia
Josh Hazlewood93
Hits the deck hard
Josh Inglis86
Valuable runs at number seven
New Zealand
Kane Williamson82
Built for long innings
Trent Boult94
Hits the deck hard
Risk radar
What could change the prediction?
The news that would move our numbers before the first ball.
If Josh Hazlewood is left out
We would cut Australia by about five points, making this a clear lean.
If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
Extra help for the bowlers would close the gap between the two batting line-ups.
If rain washes out a day or more
The draw becomes the most likely result, and our win call loses most of its value.
Preview
Australia vs New Zealand match preview
Match 2 of 4 is where New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27 starts to take shape. Australia come in at 62% because their batting and bowling both suit these flat, batter-friendly conditions slightly better. Australia are at home, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. New Zealand are still in this at 38%, but they need their best players to fire on the same day.
On the toss: Whatever the captain chooses, both teams should get the runs on offer.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar
Calendar check: 2nd Test
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27.
Adelaide Oval in Adelaide hosts the 2nd Test on Sat, 19 Dec 2026: fixture 2 of 4 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 1st Test, was played 10 days before this one at Perth Stadium in Perth, which means a travel day to Adelaide in between. A long break resets both camps, so the last game's momentum carries less weight than usual.
Up next: the 3rd Test, 10 days after this match at Melbourne Cricket Ground in Melbourne.
Also at Adelaide Oval on the Goexch schedule: 2nd ODI: Australia vs England (15 Nov) (1 fixture in all).
Keep reading
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FAQ · 9
AUS vs NZ 2nd Test FAQs
Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.
Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp
Who will win Australia vs New Zealand?
Goexch predicts Australia to win, with a 62% chance against 38% for New Zealand, which we class as a strong lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a flat, batter-friendly pitch at Adelaide Oval is likely to play.
What are the fair odds for Australia in the AUS vs NZ 2nd Test?
Our 62% rating works out to fair decimal odds of 1.61 for Australia and 2.63 for New Zealand. If the back price on the exchange is shorter than that, the bet has no value on our numbers.
What time does the AUS vs NZ 2nd Test start in India?
The series window puts it on Sat, 19 Dec 2026 (start time not yet confirmed) at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, but the board has not confirmed the date or start time yet. We update this page as soon as it does.
What is the pitch report for Adelaide Oval?
We expect a flat, batter-friendly pitch that should help the batters. Hard, true and quick, with short boundaries and a fast outfield. A below-par total will not be defended on this pitch.
Should the captain bat or bowl first in AUS vs NZ?
Whatever the captain chooses, both teams should get the runs on offer. The toss happens about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are confirmed.
Can New Zealand win this match?
Yes, but they need early wickets or a match-winning innings. We give New Zealand a 38% chance, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if Australia change their best XI.
How do I trade Australia vs New Zealand on the Goexch exchange?
On our numbers, back Australia at 1.61 or bigger, or lay New Zealand at 2.63 or smaller. Laying means you win if New Zealand do not win; at 2.63, a ₹100 lay risks ₹163. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.
Australia vs New Zealand match kaun jeetega?
Goexch model ke hisaab se Australia ka chance zyada hai: 62%, jabki New Zealand ka 38%. Match Sat, 19 Dec 2026 (start time not yet confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Adelaide ki pitch report kya hai?
Hamare hisaab se pitch flat, batter-friendly rahegi, yaani batting ke liye achhi pitch hai, bada score ban sakta hai. Toss match shuru hone se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.
Check it at the source
Sources and official information
- ICCICC tournament fixtures, results, rankings and team news.International Cricket Council
- ICC playing conditionsOfficial match rules for Tests, ODIs and T20Is, including rain-affected matches.International Cricket Council
- ESPNcricinfoScorecards, venue records and player statistics.ESPN
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