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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Fulham vs Liverpool prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictStrong lean

On our numbers, Liverpool beat Fulham 64% of the time, with the draw at 20%. We project 1.00 expected goals to 2.16 and a 1-2 score, with over 2.5 goals at 61%. Kick-off: Sat, 20 Mar 2027, 20:30 IST IST at Craven Cottage.

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. Fulham

    16%
    Back6.25Lay6.25

  2. Draw

    20%
    Back5.00Lay5.00

  3. LiverpoolPick

    64%
    Back1.56Lay1.56
Start
20:30
IST
Date
Sat, 20 Mar 2027 · 15:00 UK
Venue
Craven Cottage, London

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Fulham vs Liverpool in brief

  • Liverpool 64%, draw 20%, Fulham 16%, which makes this a strong lean.
  • Predicted score 1-2, with goals expected (3.2 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 56% on our model.
Predicted score
1-2
Goexch pick
Liverpool
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Fulham vs Liverpool on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

  1. Back64% chance

    Liverpool1.56

    Take 1.56 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.56 returns ₹156, stake included.

  2. Lay16% chance

    Fulham6.25

    Lay only at 6.25 or smaller. At 6.25, a ₹100 lay risks ₹525 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

  1. Home advantage

    Edge: Even

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Fulham. That narrows the gap but does not cancel Liverpool's extra quality.

  2. Expected goals

    Edge: Goals

    3.2 expected goals is above the league average, and over 2.5 goals lands 61% of the time in our simulations.

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Liverpool

    Liverpool rate clearly higher and the draw is only 20%. If they score first, the match should go their way.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Fulham vs Liverpool?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
61%
Expected goals
1.00 – 2.16
Half-time call
0-0

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Fulham

Fulham are a practical mid-table side: solid without the ball at Craven Cottage, but lacking the creativity to run a game.

Away

Liverpool

Liverpool have a squad deep enough to challenge for the title. They squeeze opponents on their trip to Craven Cottage, so Fulham will need a disciplined low block to stay in the game.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

  • If Liverpool name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.

  • If Fulham score first

    The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Fulham vs Liverpool match preview

Fulham host Liverpool in front of their own fans, and the Goexch numbers lean towards Liverpool. The expected-goals gap (1.00 for Fulham, 2.16 for Liverpool) is the clearest signal, and it is where our 64% for Liverpool comes from. Fulham's best chance is to keep it level into the last 30 minutes, when the draw becomes a real possibility.

Calendar

Calendar check: Fulham and Liverpool

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Fulham play 7 days after their game away at Palace on 13 Mar. After this, they go away at Chelsea 21 days after this one. League game 30 of 38.

Liverpool play 7 days after their game at home to Ipswich on 13 Mar. After this, they go at home to Newcastle 21 days after this one. League game 30 of 38.

These sides already met at Anfield on Sat, 12 Sept 2026, making this the return fixture.

  1. 13 MarPalace vs FulhamSelhurst Park
  2. 13 MarLiverpool vs IpswichAnfield
  3. 20 MarFulham vs LiverpoolCraven Cottage
  4. 10 AprChelsea vs FulhamStamford Bridge
  5. 10 AprLiverpool vs NewcastleAnfield

Keep reading

More Fulham and Liverpool predictions

  1. 10 AprChelsea vs FulhamPremier League · 19:30 IST
  2. 17 AprFulham vs SunderlandPremier League · 19:30 IST
  3. 10 AprLiverpool vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League · 19:30 IST
  4. 17 AprNottingham Forest vs LiverpoolPremier League · 19:30 IST
  5. 20 MarArsenal vs SunderlandPremier League · 20:30 IST
  6. 20 MarBrentford vs AFC BournemouthPremier League · 20:30 IST

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FAQ · 9

Fulham vs Liverpool FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Fulham vs Liverpool?

Goexch predicts Liverpool to win. Our goals model gives Fulham 16%, the draw 20% and Liverpool 64%, which we class as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Liverpool?

Our predicted score is 1-2, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 1-2, at 10%.

What are the fair odds for Fulham vs Liverpool?

On our numbers: Fulham 6.25, draw 5.00, Liverpool 1.56. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Fulham vs Liverpool kick off in India?

20:30 IST IST on Sat, 20 Mar 2027 (15:00 in the UK), at Craven Cottage in London. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Fulham vs Liverpool on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Liverpool at 1.56 or bigger, or lay Fulham at 6.25 or smaller. Laying means you win if Fulham do not win; at 6.25, a ₹100 lay risks ₹525. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Fulham vs Liverpool match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Fulham 16%, draw 20%, Liverpool 64%. Sabse sambhav score 1-2 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.

Can Fulham cause an upset?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined defence and a quiet day for Liverpool's attack. We give Fulham a 16% chance.

How many goals are expected in Fulham vs Liverpool?

3.2 expected goals in total. The most likely number of goals is 3, and a 0-0 comes up 4% of the time.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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Sources and official information

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