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CricketIndia tour of New Zealand, 2026 · match 9 of 12

New Zealand vs India 4th ODI prediction

By Goexch Cricket Desk, match analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictCoin flip

Too close to call, with a slight lean to New Zealand. The Goexch model splits the NZ vs IND 4th ODI 50-50, so neither side is a confident back. On a flat, high-scoring pitch at Bay Oval, we project New Zealand near 336 and India near 353. Start: Thu, 19 Nov 2026 (start time not yet confirmed).

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. New ZealandPick

    50%
    Back2.00Lay2.00
  2. India

    50%
    Back2.00Lay2.00
Start
TBC
time
Date
Thu, 19 Nov 2026
Venue
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

NZ vs IND 4th ODI in brief

  • New Zealand at 50%, a coin flip. Back only at 2.00 or bigger.
  • Pitch suits batters, and India are projected to post the bigger total.
  • New Zealand are playing in home conditions.
Goexch pick
New Zealand
Format
ODI · 50 overs
Pitch
flat, high-scoring
Favours
Batters

Exchange plan

How should you trade NZ vs IND on Goexch?

Our fair prices for both sides. Back the pick at the price or bigger; lay the outsider at the price or smaller.

  1. Back50% chance

    New Zealand2.00

    Take 2.00 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 2.00 returns ₹200, stake included.

  2. Lay50% chance

    India2.00

    Lay only at 2.00 or smaller. At 2.00, a ₹100 lay risks ₹100 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

The pitch comes first, followed by the two factors with the most influence on this match.

  1. Pitch read

    Edge: Even

    A batting pitch: even bounce, good carry and little movement. Death bowling and slower balls will decide how high the totals climb. Both sides will rely on the batters, so the deeper attack matters.

  2. Toss call

    Edge: Even

    Batting or bowling first gives no real edge while the pitch stays this good.

  3. Series pressure

    Edge: New Zealand

    A win puts New Zealand in control with 3 matches left. A loss hands India the momentum.

Projection

How many runs will New Zealand and India score?

Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a flat, high-scoring surface at Bay Oval.

Powerplay (0-10)
Middle Overs (11-40)
Death Overs (41-50)
New Zealand IndiaInnings: NZ 313-359 · IND 330-376

Match-winners

Who can swing New Zealand vs India?

Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to decide the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.

New Zealand

  • Lockie Ferguson93

    Trusted at the end of the innings

  • Kane Williamson85

    Fast starter at the top

India

  • Ravindra Jadeja92

    Balances the XI

  • Rohit Sharma97

    Fast starter at the top

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before the first ball.

  • If Lockie Ferguson is left out

    We would cut New Zealand by about five points, making this a coin flip.

  • If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss

    Extra help for the bowlers would close the gap between the two batting line-ups.

  • If rain shortens the match

    Fewer overs add randomness, which helps the underdog.

Preview

New Zealand vs India match preview

Match 9 of 12 is where India tour of New Zealand, 2026 starts to take shape. New Zealand come in at 50% because their batting and bowling both suit these flat, high-scoring conditions slightly better. New Zealand are at home, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. India are still in this at 50%, but they need their best players to fire on the same day.

On the toss: Batting or bowling first gives no real edge while the pitch stays this good.

Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.

Calendar

Calendar check: 4th ODI

Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in India tour of New Zealand, 2026.

Bay Oval in Mount Maunganui hosts the 4th ODI on Thu, 19 Nov 2026: fixture 9 of 12 in the series.

The previous fixture, the 3rd ODI, was played 3 days before this one at Seddon Park in Hamilton, which means a travel day to Mount Maunganui in between. That is enough rest for both teams to pick their strongest XIs.

Up next: the 5th ODI, 4 days after this match, at the same ground.

Also at Bay Oval on the Goexch schedule: 5th ODI: New Zealand vs India (23 Nov), 1st Test: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka (12 Feb) (2 fixtures in all).

  1. 16 Nov3rd ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaSeddon Park
  2. 19 Nov4th ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaBay Oval
  3. 23 Nov5th ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaBay Oval

Keep reading

  1. 23 Nov5th ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaIndia tour of New Zealand, 2026
  2. 26 Nov1st Test: New Zealand vs IndiaIndia tour of New Zealand, 2026
  3. 30 Nov2nd Test: New Zealand vs IndiaIndia tour of New Zealand, 2026
  4. 09 Nov1st ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaIndia tour of New Zealand, 2026

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FAQ · 9

NZ vs IND 4th ODI FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win New Zealand vs India?

Goexch predicts New Zealand to win, with a 50% chance against 50% for India, which we class as a coin flip. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a flat, high-scoring pitch at Bay Oval is likely to play.

What are the fair odds for New Zealand in the NZ vs IND 4th ODI?

Our 50% rating works out to fair decimal odds of 2.00 for New Zealand and 2.00 for India. If the back price on the exchange is shorter than that, the bet has no value on our numbers.

What time does the NZ vs IND 4th ODI start in India?

The series window puts it on Thu, 19 Nov 2026 (start time not yet confirmed) at Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui, but the board has not confirmed the date or start time yet. We update this page as soon as it does.

What is the pitch report for Bay Oval?

We expect a flat, high-scoring pitch that should help the batters. A batting pitch: even bounce, good carry and little movement. Death bowling and slower balls will decide how high the totals climb.

Should the captain bat or bowl first in NZ vs IND?

Batting or bowling first gives no real edge while the pitch stays this good. The toss happens about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are confirmed.

Can India win this match?

Yes, but they need early wickets or a match-winning innings. We give India a 50% chance, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if New Zealand change their best XI.

How do I trade New Zealand vs India on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back New Zealand at 2.00 or bigger, or lay India at 2.00 or smaller. Laying means you win if India do not win; at 2.00, a ₹100 lay risks ₹100. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

New Zealand vs India match kaun jeetega?

Goexch model ke hisaab se New Zealand ka chance zyada hai: 50%, jabki India ka 50%. Match Thu, 19 Nov 2026 (start time not yet confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Mount Maunganui ki pitch report kya hai?

Hamare hisaab se pitch flat, high-scoring rahegi, yaani batting ke liye achhi pitch hai, bada score ban sakta hai. Toss match shuru hone se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.

Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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