CricketIndia tour of New Zealand, 2026 · match 10 of 12
New Zealand vs India 5th ODI prediction
Goexch verdictCoin flip
Too close to call, with a slight lean to India. The Goexch model splits the NZ vs IND 5th ODI 49-51, so neither side is a confident back. On a flat, high-scoring pitch at Bay Oval, we project New Zealand near 341 and India near 354. Start: Mon, 23 Nov 2026 (start time not yet confirmed).
Quick read
NZ vs IND 5th ODI in brief
- India at 51%, a coin flip. Back only at 1.96 or bigger.
- Pitch suits batters, and India are projected to post the bigger total.
- New Zealand are playing in home conditions.
- Goexch pick
- India
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs
- Pitch
- flat, high-scoring
- Favours
- Batters
Exchange plan
How should you trade NZ vs IND on Goexch?
Our fair prices for both sides. Back the pick at the price or bigger; lay the outsider at the price or smaller.
Back51% chance
India1.96
Take 1.96 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 1.96 returns ₹196, stake included.
Lay49% chance
New Zealand2.04
Lay only at 2.04 or smaller. At 2.04, a ₹100 lay risks ₹104 to win ₹100.
Key factors
What will decide this match?
The pitch comes first, followed by the two factors with the most influence on this match.
Pitch read
Edge: Even
A batting pitch: even bounce, good carry and little movement. Death bowling and slower balls will decide how high the totals climb. Both sides will rely on the batters, so the deeper attack matters.
Batting edge
Edge: India
Our projection gives India a 13-run cushion, and that is the biggest single reason the model leans their way.
Series pressure
Edge: India
A win puts India in control with 2 matches left. A loss hands New Zealand the momentum.
Projection
How many runs will New Zealand and India score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a flat, high-scoring surface at Bay Oval.
- Powerplay (0-10)
- NZ52-62IND57-69
- Middle Overs (11-40)
- NZ174-194IND178-198
- Death Overs (41-50)
- NZ91-109IND95-111
Match-winners
Who can swing New Zealand vs India?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to decide the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
New Zealand
Daryl Mitchell80
Balances the XI
Kane Williamson94
Fast starter at the top
India
Shreyas Iyer87
Steady hand in a chase
Mohammed Shami87
Trusted at the end of the innings
Risk radar
What could change the prediction?
The news that would move our numbers before the first ball.
If Shreyas Iyer is left out
We would cut India by about five points, making this a coin flip.
If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
Extra help for the bowlers would close the gap between the two batting line-ups.
If rain shortens the match
Fewer overs add randomness, which helps the underdog.
Preview
New Zealand vs India match preview
With 2 matches of India tour of New Zealand, 2026 still to come, game 10 can swing the series. India come in at 51% because their batting and bowling both suit these flat, high-scoring conditions slightly better. New Zealand are at home, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. New Zealand's best chance of an upset is the first hour. If they get on top early, our 49% for them starts to look low.
On the toss: Whatever the captain chooses, both teams should get the runs on offer.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar
Calendar check: 5th ODI
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in India tour of New Zealand, 2026.
Bay Oval in Mount Maunganui hosts the 5th ODI on Mon, 23 Nov 2026: fixture 10 of 12 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 4th ODI, was played 4 days before this one at this same venue, so both teams already have a read on the surface. That is enough rest for both teams to pick their strongest XIs.
Up next: the 1st Test, 3 days after this match at Basin Reserve in Wellington.
Also at Bay Oval on the Goexch schedule: 4th ODI: New Zealand vs India (19 Nov), 1st Test: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka (12 Feb) (2 fixtures in all).
Keep reading
More cricket predictions
FAQ · 9
NZ vs IND 5th ODI FAQs
Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.
Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp
Who will win New Zealand vs India?
Goexch predicts India to win, with a 51% chance against 49% for New Zealand, which we class as a coin flip. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a flat, high-scoring pitch at Bay Oval is likely to play.
What are the fair odds for India in the NZ vs IND 5th ODI?
Our 51% rating works out to fair decimal odds of 1.96 for India and 2.04 for New Zealand. If the back price on the exchange is shorter than that, the bet has no value on our numbers.
What time does the NZ vs IND 5th ODI start in India?
The series window puts it on Mon, 23 Nov 2026 (start time not yet confirmed) at Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui, but the board has not confirmed the date or start time yet. We update this page as soon as it does.
What is the pitch report for Bay Oval?
We expect a flat, high-scoring pitch that should help the batters. A batting pitch: even bounce, good carry and little movement. Death bowling and slower balls will decide how high the totals climb.
Should the captain bat or bowl first in NZ vs IND?
Whatever the captain chooses, both teams should get the runs on offer. The toss happens about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are confirmed.
Can New Zealand win this match?
Yes, but they need early wickets or a match-winning innings. We give New Zealand a 49% chance, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if India change their best XI.
How do I trade New Zealand vs India on the Goexch exchange?
On our numbers, back India at 1.96 or bigger, or lay New Zealand at 2.04 or smaller. Laying means you win if New Zealand do not win; at 2.04, a ₹100 lay risks ₹104. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.
New Zealand vs India match kaun jeetega?
Goexch model ke hisaab se India ka chance zyada hai: 51%, jabki New Zealand ka 49%. Match Mon, 23 Nov 2026 (start time not yet confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Mount Maunganui ki pitch report kya hai?
Hamare hisaab se pitch flat, high-scoring rahegi, yaani batting ke liye achhi pitch hai, bada score ban sakta hai. Toss match shuru hone se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.
Check it at the source
Sources and official information
- ICCICC tournament fixtures, results, rankings and team news.International Cricket Council
- ICC playing conditionsOfficial match rules for Tests, ODIs and T20Is, including rain-affected matches.International Cricket Council
- ESPNcricinfoScorecards, venue records and player statistics.ESPN
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