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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Everton vs Newcastle United prediction

By Goexch Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

Goexch verdictCoin flip

Too close to call, with a slight lean to Newcastle. The Goexch goals model gives Everton 26%, the draw 25% and Newcastle 49%, and expects 2.8 goals in total. Our most likely score is 0-1. Kick-off: Sat, 06 Feb 2027, 20:30 IST IST at Hill Dickinson Stadium.

Exchange view

Fair prices

  1. Everton

    26%
    Back3.85Lay3.85

  2. Draw

    25%
    Back4.00Lay4.00

  3. Newcastle UnitedPick

    49%
    Back2.04Lay2.04
Start
20:30
IST
Date
Sat, 06 Feb 2027 · 15:00 UK
Venue
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool

Back at the gold price or bigger, lay at it or smaller.

Quick read

Everton vs Newcastle in brief

  • Newcastle 49%, draw 25%, Everton 26%, which makes this a coin flip.
  • Predicted score 0-1, with the goals line finely balanced (2.8 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 55% on our model.
Predicted score
0-1
Goexch pick
Newcastle
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Exchange plan

How should you trade Everton vs Newcastle on Goexch?

Our fair prices for the pick and the outsider. Laying the outsider wins if the favourite wins or it ends in a draw.

  1. Back49% chance

    Newcastle United2.04

    Take 2.04 or bigger. A ₹100 back at 2.04 returns ₹204, stake included.

  2. Lay26% chance

    Everton3.85

    Lay only at 3.85 or smaller. At 3.85, a ₹100 lay risks ₹285 to win ₹100.

Key factors

What will decide this match?

Home advantage first, then expected goals and the factor with the most influence on this match.

  1. Home advantage

    Edge: Even

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Everton. That narrows the gap but does not cancel Newcastle's extra quality.

  2. Expected goals

    Edge: Even

    At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to 50/50 (53% for the over).

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Newcastle

    Newcastle rate clearly higher and the draw is only 25%. If they score first, the match should go their way.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Everton vs Newcastle?

Our model's chance of each goal total, with the most likely outcome in gold.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.65
Half-time call
0-0

Team set-up

How will the two teams line up?

Confirmed line-ups are published about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Everton

Everton are a practical mid-table side: solid without the ball at Hill Dickinson Stadium, but lacking the creativity to run a game.

Away

Newcastle United

Newcastle are well drilled and have enough quality up front to punish mistakes on their trip to Hill Dickinson Stadium. Everything they do starts with control of midfield.

Risk radar

What could change the prediction?

The news that would move our numbers before kick-off.

  • If Newcastle name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would cut several points from their win chance. Line-ups are out an hour before kick-off.

  • If Everton score first

    The favourite has to chase the game, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Going down to ten men changes the expected-goals picture completely, whichever side it hits.

Preview

Everton vs Newcastle match preview

Everton host Newcastle United in front of their own fans, and the Goexch numbers lean towards Newcastle. The expected-goals gap (1.14 for Everton, 1.65 for Newcastle) is the clearest signal, and it is where our 49% for Newcastle comes from. Everton's best chance is to keep it level into the last 30 minutes, when the draw becomes a real possibility.

Calendar

Calendar check: Everton and Newcastle

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Everton play 7 days after their game away at Liverpool on 30 Jan. After this, they go at home to Leeds 4 days after this one. League game 24 of 38.

Newcastle play 7 days after their game at home to Brighton on 30 Jan. After this, they go at home to Chelsea 4 days after this one. League game 24 of 38.

These sides already met at St James' Park on Mon, 02 Nov 2026, making this the return fixture.

  1. 30 JanLiverpool vs EvertonAnfield
  2. 30 JanNewcastle vs BrightonSt James' Park
  3. 06 FebEverton vs NewcastleHill Dickinson Stadium
  4. 10 FebEverton vs LeedsHill Dickinson Stadium
  5. 10 FebNewcastle vs ChelseaSt James' Park

Keep reading

More Everton and Newcastle predictions

  1. 02 NovNewcastle United vs EvertonPremier League · 01:30 IST, next day
  2. 10 FebEverton vs Leeds UnitedPremier League · 01:30 IST, next day
  3. 20 FebSunderland vs EvertonPremier League · 20:30 IST
  4. 10 FebNewcastle United vs ChelseaPremier League · 01:30 IST, next day
  5. 20 FebManchester City vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League · 20:30 IST
  6. 06 FebArsenal vs LiverpoolPremier League · 20:30 IST

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FAQ · 9

Everton vs Newcastle United FAQs

Short, direct answers to the questions fans ask most.

Still unsure? Ask the Goexch team on WhatsApp

Who will win Everton vs Newcastle?

Goexch predicts Newcastle United to win. Our goals model gives Everton 26%, the draw 25% and Newcastle 49%, which we class as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Everton vs Newcastle United?

Our predicted score is 0-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.

What are the fair odds for Everton vs Newcastle?

On our numbers: Everton 3.85, draw 4.00, Newcastle 2.04. A back price shorter than that has no value on our model.

What time does Everton vs Newcastle United kick off in India?

20:30 IST IST on Sat, 06 Feb 2027 (15:00 in the UK), at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool. Kick-offs can move for TV, so check again closer to the day.

How do I trade Everton vs Newcastle on the Goexch exchange?

On our numbers, back Newcastle United at 2.04 or bigger, or lay Everton at 3.85 or smaller. Laying means you win if Everton do not win; at 3.85, a ₹100 lay risks ₹285. Prices move before and during the match, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Everton vs Newcastle match kaun jeetega?

Goexch goals model mein Newcastle United aage hain: Everton 26%, draw 25%, Newcastle 49%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh sirf anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

How many goals are expected in Everton vs Newcastle?

2.8 expected goals in total. The most likely number of goals is 2, and a 0-0 comes up 6% of the time.

Will both teams score in Everton vs Newcastle?

We put both teams to score at 55%, so we lean yes. Over 2.5 goals is 53%.

Where can I watch Everton vs Newcastle?

Indian TV rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings near the day.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from the Goexch model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and bets are settled on the live exchange odds you take. 18+ only. Set a budget before you bet and play responsibly.

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Sources and official information

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